Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Thursday - May 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(4/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(4/7/2/5)-(5/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
GP-2   WIN (4/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/2/5)-(5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2/5)-(5/6/2)-(7/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
GP-3   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(7/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(7/3/5)-(1/8/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
GP-4   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5/2)-(7/3/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/5)-(1/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5)-(1/8/2)-(6/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
GP-5   WIN (1/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/2)-(1/8/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/2)-(1/8/6/2)-(1/8/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/8/2)-(6/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2)-(6/2/3)-(2/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
GP-6   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(2/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(2/6/4)-(8/3/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
GP-7   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(8/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-8   WIN (8/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/2/1)-(8/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/2/1)-(8/3/2/1)-(8/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   05/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 2 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIP THE DISTANCE May02         (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 118 10.00 24% 3.10    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of HAUNTING MELODY by SONGANDAPRAYER)
GLORY GLORY         (lightner mar)ZAYAS J 118 4.50    
  (by BUCCHERO out of IMPERIAL STRIKE by IMPERIALISM)
BREEZEY Z         (yates michael)RIOS M 118 3.50    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of BELLA CAPRI Z by STRONG HOPE)
CHINA BLUE May02         (gonzalez jav)MORELOS E 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of IMPERIAL LADY by INTIDAB)
CLASS PLAY         (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 118 1.60 31% 2.20    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PLAY BALLADO by SAINT BALLADO)
SCR  LADY COLLECTED         (minguet ramon)REYES LEONEL 118 20.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of MRS. COOPER by UNIFIED)
CAJUN PRIME         (yates )VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 2.50    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of MISS PRIMETIME by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
 
GP-2   05/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAPALU Apr12 Mar17 Feb18 Dec30 Oct07 (budhoo steve)REYES LEONEL 121 10.00    
EL SOCIO Apr20 Mar23 Feb24 Jan28 Dec30 (croft barry)LEON SONNY 121 15.00 15% 5.80    
BRINGER OF RAIN Apr18 Mar17 Feb15 Jan26 Dec28 (d'ange)VASQUEZ ANGEL 121 1.60    
POUND GREEN Apr27 Mar03 Jan31 Dec02 Nov04 (miller herbe)THOMAS ANTHONY 121 2.00 20% 4.00    
COACH ABERNATHY May04 Apr20 Mar23 Feb17 Jan28 (labo frederick )PANICI LUCA 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
GUILLAUME Apr20 Mar30 Mar13 Feb25 Jan27 (torres pablo)ZAYAS J 123 6.00    
BRYCE CANYON Apr20 Mar23 Feb25 Jan28 Dec09 (parbhoo shiv)MORELOS E 123 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
GP-3   05/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($35K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCAR May29 May10 Jan05 Nov12 Oct01 (klesar)VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 4.00    
POWER HUMOR Feb11 Jan20 Dec26 Sep16 Aug12 (barboza vict)GONZALEZ EDWIN 121 6.00 5% 18.00    
MACLIN Apr06 Mar20 Feb16 Feb01 Jan01 (klesaris steve)LEON SONNY 121 6.00    
FLOAT ON Apr14 Feb29 Feb07 Jan13 Dec24 (hernandez sand)REYES LEONEL 123 15.00    
THE SKIPPER TOO Mar30 Jan20 Dec09 Oct21 Aug26 (alvarado jua)ZAYAS J 123 1.60 29% 2.50    
NOBLE DRAMA Apr14 Mar16 Feb15 Dec26 Nov12 (fawkes david)JARAMILLO E 123 1.80 22% 3.60    
 
GP-4   05/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMONDS FOR LILY May03 Apr07 Nov23 Nov09 Oct05 (dye steven)REYES LEONEL 122 8.00    
LADY AZTECA Apr19 Mar10 Feb14 Jan24 Dec17 (sanchez m)LEON SONNY 122 3.50    
MAD MADAME MIM (IRE) Apr19 Feb29 Feb01 Jan04 Oct14 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
MY ROYAL VOW Apr19 Mar17 Feb08 Jan10 Nov05 (fawkes)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
ANDIE ONE Apr19 Mar17 Feb08 Jan25 Jan11 (biancone p)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
VAL'S GAL Apr25 Mar22 Feb25 Jan24 Dec26 (maragh a)JARAMILLO E 122 12.00    
OKAY FINE Apr21 Mar21 Feb21 Jan19 Dec28 (david carlos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 1.00 47% 1.10    
 
GP-5   05/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TINKI ABARRIO Apr14 Mar17 Feb11 Jan14 Nov19 (perez l)RIOS M 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of PROUD DAME by PROUD ACCOLADE)
SECRET REVENGE         (lerman michael)JARAMILLO E 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of CRESPANO by MINESHAFT)
SCR  DREAM DIAMOND Dec07 Nov12 Oct28 Jun09   (biancone p)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 30.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of SKIP A STEP by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
CAP FERRAT (ARG)         (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 3.00    
  (by DESTIN out of ABUNDANTLY CLEAR by PULPIT)
RIDE ON CUPID Apr19 Mar29       (barbazoniii les)PANICI LUCA 118 30.00    
  (by RIDE ON CURLIN out of MISS KNOW IT ALL by TALE OF EKATI)
SPICY GUACAMOLE Apr12 Oct07 Aug20 Jul23   (o'dwyer jere)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of SAVINGTIME by KANTHAROS)
LAURIE BLUE Apr14         (yates )VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 10.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of WELL HELLO by QUALITY ROAD)
VINCEY GIRL Mar17 Feb11 Dec31     (d'angelo jose )REYES LEONEL 118 2.00 34% 2.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of GRACIOUS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
GP-6   05/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARSHIP NALA Apr04 Mar03 Feb09 Jan06 Nov19 (dwoskin steven)PANICI LUCA 122 20.00    
HIHELLOHOWAREYOU Apr13 Mar14 Feb03 Jan13 Dec09 (d'angelo jose )REYES LEONEL 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
COUSIN KRISTI Apr04 Mar14 Feb09 Nov16 Oct19 (gambo)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
ROSIE'S HALO Mar17 Dec30 Dec03 Oct07 Aug19 (crichton rohan)PEREZ EDGAR 120 2.50    
SHE'S OUTTA HERE Apr13 Feb25 Jan27 Dec24 Oct20 (real manny)MORALES ANGEL 120 30.00    
BLUEFIELD Feb17 Jan27 Dec23 Dec09 Oct07 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 122 0.60 53% 0.90    
 
GP-7   05/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TATOR MADE Apr24 Nov03 Oct13 Sep28 Sep07 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 20.00    
NIKEE KAN Apr19 Mar21 Feb23 Jan14 Sep08 (d'angelo jo)GONZALEZ MELVIS 110 1.80 38% 1.70    
SCR  GITANA May04 Apr13 Mar24 Feb22 Jan24 (abreu fernan)ZAYAS J 120 2.50    
STARSHIP SUNRISE Mar24 Feb22 Jan24 May07 Apr07 (dwoski)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
CLAY SOLDIER Apr12 Mar24 Feb22 Feb03 Dec26 (collazo henry)REYES LEONEL 120 5.00    
CHAINA Jan24 Dec26 Nov24 Nov05 Sep30 (cordero eniel)PEREZ EDGAR 120 4.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  DEFENDED Mar31 Jan17 Dec17 Nov24 Oct29 (gonzalez oscar )JARAMILLO E 120 12.00    
 
GP-8   05/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWN IN THE VALLEY Nov12 Sep01 Jul16 Jun10   (david carl)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
GABAGOOL Apr28 Apr07 Mar14 Feb01 Jan01 (williams andr)TREJOS JOSEPH 125 12.00 8% 11.70    
FRISSON Mar27 Feb28 Feb07 Jan21 Dec31 (hess r)VASQUEZ ANGEL 125 2.50 23% 3.30    
WINE EMPIRE Apr28 Mar27 Feb28 Jan25 Jul01 (parbhoo shiv)MORELOS E 125 12.00    
DROPKICK MURPHY Apr18 Mar20 Feb28 Feb07 Oct28 (cazares laura)PEREZ EDGAR 125 4.50    
SCR  KING SKULL Jan12 Dec21 Nov03 Sep16 Aug12 (barboza victor )JARAMILLO E 120 2.00    
KATRIEL May04 Sep09 Aug17     (ochoa gerard)RIOS M 120 30.00    
YEAGER Mar27 Aug20 Jul14 May14 Apr21 (orseno josep)ZAYAS J 125 3.00 39% 1.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.