Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Sunday - February 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(4/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(4/6/1)-(2/5/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-2   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(2/5/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(2/5/7/1)-(7/6/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-3   WIN (2/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/7/1)-(7/6/3/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7/1)-(7/6/3/2)-(4/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-4   WIN (7/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/3/2)-(4/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-5   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(4/6/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(4/6/3)-(2/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-6   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(2/6/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(2/6/4)-(3/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-7   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4/8)-(2/6/4/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(3/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(3/5/1)-(12/5/7/6/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SA-8   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(12/5/7/6/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
SA-9   WIN (12/5/7/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/5/7/6/3)-(12/5/7/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/5/7/6/3)-(12/5/7/6/3)-(12/5/7/6/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   02/18/2024 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMELIA BLEU Oct28 Sep08       (gallagher pat)VALDIVIA JR 121 15.00    
2  ENGLISH DANGER Jan19 Dec02 Oct21     (quinonez r)VAN DRAYDEN 119 2.50 33% 2.10    
3  AURATIUM Jan20 Dec26 Oct06 Sep09 Jul29 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 2.50    
4  ELLIE MOORE (IRE) Jan19 Jan01 Nov11 Oct14 Aug06 (damato phili)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 1.80    
5  NAKOTA (IRE) Jan19 Dec02 Oct28     (gallagher)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
6  LANESRA Jan14 Dec01       (gaines car)GONZALEZ RICARDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-2   02/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET GEM         (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MISS CATOMINE by BERNARDINI)
2  CORPOSO         (eurton peter)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 6.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MANKI by ARCH)
3  VEGAS CONDO Jan21         (ellis w)SMITH E 122 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CHASE MOTTO by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  BONAQUA Jan21         (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
  (by TONALIST out of MA MO by UNCLE MO)
5  NAY V BELLE         (glatt mar)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 4.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CAFE BELLE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  SHOW CARD Jan21         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.60 27% 2.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of COGNITIVE by UNCLE MO)
 
SA-3   02/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINCERO GRANDE Jan21 Nov25 Oct22 Nov19 Oct28 (puype mike)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CONTROL FUNCTION Jan12 Mar25 Feb11 Jan28 Nov04 (baltas richa)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  SHE'S A JOKER Jan27 Jun16 May06 Apr07 Sep01 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00    
4  IN YOUR FACE Jan12 Nov25 Oct14 Sep03 Aug05 (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00    
5  KATERINI Jan12 Nov17 Nov10 Oct14 Sep04 (knapp steve)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
6  SPRING MAGIC Dec21 Nov21 Oct30 Oct05 Jul27 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 12.00    
7  FIRSTTIMEINFOREVER Jan01 Nov12 Oct09 Sep03 Aug12 (powell le)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.00 7% 12.90    
 
SA-4   02/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 45 M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMING GRAY Jan15 Dec09 Nov18 Nov02 Sep30 (gom)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 4.50    
2  LUCKY VEGAS Jan15 Dec10 Dec02 Mar19 Jan28 (papaprodromo)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  UNKEPT SECRET Jan21 Dec02 Nov12 Oct22 Sep10 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 124 2.50 14% 6.00    
4  PLUM CREEK Jan28 Jan19 Dec16 Dec10 Nov25 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 15.00    
5  WARREN'S SHOWGIRL Aug19 Jun03 Apr17 Jan08   (lewis craig )KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 4.00    
6  LOVE MY CANDY Dec19 Nov19 Oct31 Sep25 Sep04 (mullins jeff)MALDONADO E 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
7  CLASSY Feb20 Jan22 Nov13 Oct08 Sep11 (puype mike)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
 
SA-5   02/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOL DEL SUR Jan21 Dec09 Nov19 Sep08 Aug18 (glatt mark)BAZE C 122 2.50    
2  GRANADA FLAVOR Aug19 Jul01 Apr23 Mar18 Jan21 (mcc)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 10.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  BIG BUZZ Feb02 Dec30 Nov24 Oct21 Aug19 (knapp steve)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 122 4.00    
4  GOOD JUJU Dec30 Nov24 Oct21 Oct06 Sep10 (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 46% 1.20    
5  ZIMBA WARRIOR Jan26 Dec30 Dec15 Nov12 Oct21 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 122 8.00 13% 6.60    
6  BRAZENLY Nov19 Oct29 Oct07 Sep04 Aug12 (azcarate dan)GARCIA ERICK 122 12.00    
8  NAUVOO Feb02 Dec31 Nov12 Oct06 Sep08 (mulhall kristin)FREY KYLE 122 2.00    
SCR  DIRECT LINE Dec30 Aug12 Dec03 Jul24 May28 ( )TBA null      
 
SA-6   02/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($69K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESCAPE ROUTE Jan06 Dec10 Oct09 Aug26 Jul22 (glatt mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 6.00    
SCR  MOOSE MITCHELL Jan13 Nov18 Nov05 Sep22 Aug26 (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00    
3  KINGDOM HEART Jan29 Nov25 Oct09 Sep17 Aug26 (cerin vla)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  ELWOOD BLUES Jan07 Dec09 Jun18 Oct09   (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
5  PRINCIPE CARLO Jan29 Jan13 Dec10 Nov18 Aug26 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 124 5.00    
6  SIR ATTICUS Jan06 Nov17 Sep30 Aug26 Jul21 (shirreffs john)SMITH E 122 1.80 22% 3.50    
 
SA-7   02/18/2024 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 45 M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APPLE FEST Jan14 May14 Apr23     (baffert bo)VAN DRAYDEN 124 4.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of STARLIKE by ESKENDEREYA)
2  PRINCESS MIDNIGHT Dec31 Nov18 Oct20 Aug27 Mar25 (herrick joe)ESPINOZA V 124 3.50 43% 1.40    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of PRINCESS ROI by ROI CHARMANT)
3  ORDERLY TRANSITION (GB) Aug22         (badilla manuel)FREY KYLE 124 15.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  COLLECTIVELY Jan14 Nov05 Oct15 Aug26   (hanson ryan)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 124 10.00 7% 13.70    
  (by COLLECTED out of SASSY ALI JOY by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  HOT LAVA CAKE         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of VOIDED CONTRACT by ZENSATIONAL)
6  STRIKINGLY Jan14 Sep01 Aug12 Jul21 Jun11 (polanco marcelo)BAZE C 124 3.00 27% 2.80    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of STAR SERENADE by CATRAIL)
SCR  SPARROW Jul23         (drysda)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BELLESKI by POLISH NUMBERS)
8  JENNIFER'S D'LIGHT Mar18 Dec30 Nov13 Oct02 Aug14 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00 ★    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of MODESTY BLAISE by A.P. INDY)
 
SA-8   02/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Spring Fever Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCARY FAST RIDE Jan20 Dec09 Nov10 Oct15 Aug13 (mccarthy sea)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of SCARY FAST by CONGAREE)
2  BIG POND Dec26 Nov25 Aug19 Jul27 Jun16 (yakteen t)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 2.50    
  (by MR. BIG out of BESIDE STILL WATER by LEMON DROP KID)
3  DADDYSRUBY Dec26 Oct27 Sep03 Aug04 Mar11 (miller peter)MALDONADO E 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of YOUTHEPRIZEANDI by YOU AND I)
4  ROSE DAWSON Jan13 Nov12 Oct14 Sep16 Aug31 (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50    
  (by GRAZEN out of SUDDEN SUNDAY by BERTRANDO)
5  ROSE MADDOX Jan13 Nov03 Oct14 Aug25 Jul04 (miyadi steven)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
  (by GRAZEN out of HEAT THE ROCKS by UNUSUAL HEAT)
6  ALL DIALED IN Dec09 Jan28 Dec10 Nov13 Aug21 (mccarthy sean)BAZE C 122 15.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of NUFFSAID NUFFSAID by MUTAKDDIM)
 
SA-9   02/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 ALL PT- 7:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CITADINO Jan12 Oct21 Oct08     (polanco marc)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 20.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CALAIS by A.P. INDY)
2  NITTI (IRE)         (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00    
  (by MAKE BELIEVE out of BABY LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
3  BRITISH ISLES Jan21 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21   (baffert bo)VAN DRAYDEN 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of PURELY HOT by PURE PRIZE)
4  CHASING RAIN         (hanson ryan)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 15.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of DESERT ROSE DRIVE by A.P. INDY)
5  MESSAGE OF HOPE (IRE) Jan21 Oct13       (dutrow ri)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of REVERED by IN REALITY (GB))
6  LET SEAMUS GO Dec29 Dec03 Nov02     (koriner brian)VALDIVIA JR 121 6.00 5% 18.90    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LET YOURSELF GO by WAR FRONT)
7  EL REY REY Jan06 Nov12 Oct08     (mullins jeff)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 5.00 8% 12.10    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of CH CH CHERRY BOMB by NOT FOR LOVE)
8  AMERICAN GLORY (GB)         (powell leon)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 8.00    
  (by ZARAK out of ZEGNA by SHIROCCO)
9  UNCHARTED Jan06 Nov03 Oct08 Aug24   (hanson ryan)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 12.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of LIVE YOUNG by SMART STRIKE)
10  SKETCHY Jan06 Nov23 Nov02     (ellis ronald )PEREIRA TIAGO 121 15.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of RELAXING GREEN by FORMAL GOLD)
11  BOUND TO SUCCEED         (eurton peter)BAZE C 121 15.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of EMPRESSOF THE NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
12  FAST CHAZ Feb03         (o'neil)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 4.00 36% 1.80    
  (by FAST ANNA out of WABANAKI by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  BARTHOLDY Feb03 Nov10 Sep30     (callaghan si)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 5.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BLAZEN BETSY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  GAZON (GB) Feb03 Jan06       (sadler john )LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 15.00    
  (by LAND FORCE out of COIN A PHRASE by DUBAWI)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.