Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Sunday - February 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (5/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/6)-(5/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/6)-(5/2/7/6)-(5/2/7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/2/7/6)-(3/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7/6)-(3/2/5)-(2/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-2   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(2/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(2/5/3)-(2/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-3   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(2/6)-(7/2/8/9/5) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
SA-4   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/3/4)-(2/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (2/6)-(7/2/8/9/5) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(7/2/8/9/5)-(2/6/3) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
SA-5   WIN (7/2/8/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/8/9/5)-(7/2/8/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/8/9/5)-(7/2/8/9/5)-(7/2/8/9/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (7/2/8/9/5)-(2/6/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (7/2/8/9/5)-(2/6/3)-(11/7/4/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-6   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(11/7/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(11/7/4/1)-(8/7/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-7   WIN (11/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/7/4/1)-(11/7/4/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/7/4/1)-(11/7/4/1/6)-(11/7/4/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (11/7/4/1)-(8/7/5/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (11/7/4/1)-(8/7/5/3)-(7/3/2/11) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SA-8   WIN (8/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/3)-(8/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/3)-(8/7/5/3)-(8/7/5/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (8/7/5/3)-(7/3/2/11) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
SA-9   WIN (7/3/2/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/11)-(7/3/2/11/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/11)-(7/3/2/11/10)-(7/3/2/11/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   02/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY PARTNER GLEN Jan14 Dec09 Nov24 Nov05 Oct14 (kruljac ian)HERRERA A 124 8.00    
NATIONAL GENERAUX (IRE) Jan07 Dec09 May20 Apr16 Mar25 (moger jr)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
HARD MISSION Jul21 Jun17 May28 Feb09 Jan01 (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 124 8.00    
INTO IT Jan14 Oct06 Aug23 Jun17 Apr08 (dutrow richard)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.00    
STREET HUMOR Jan28 Jan05 Apr11 Mar26 Mar04 (ortiz sr)FREY KYLE 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
SUPERMAX Nov24 Jun04 May27 Sep04 Aug07 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
FORE FLAG Dec26 Dec03 Nov17 Oct09 Sep02 (moger jr)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 6.00 23% 3.40    
 
SA-2   02/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TROUBLE N PARADISE Nov11 Aug10 Aug04 Jul08   (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
GYPSY LYNN Jan19 Dec31 Nov02 Oct22 Sep03 (knapp stev)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.20 39% 1.60    
KEEP YOUR COIL Nov24 Jul02 Mar12 Jan20 Dec17 (naranjo salva)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 3.00    
MANGO MOON Dec15 Nov10 Oct08 Sep22 Sep09 (raudales jos)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
SUGAR SUGAR Jan13 Dec08 Nov02 Oct20 Sep23 (morfin ser)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 122 10.00    
SCR  IRISH WAHINE Jan20 Jan12 Dec29 Dec10 Jan28 ( )TBA null      
 
SA-3   02/11/2024 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUDDIN HEAD JONES Jan28 Dec09 Sep16 Sep03 Aug04 (vallejo gen)HERRERA A 122 6.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of THALIA by TIZBUD)
OOBUBBAKAKAYO Jan13         (hanson ryan)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.60 42% 1.40    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of LOVEFROMAFAR by DISTANT VIEW)
TROTSKY         (hernandez jr)FREY KYLE 122 8.00 15% 5.60    
  (by EMPIRE WAY out of ALPINE ECHO by SWISS YODELER)
DRIVE FOR SHOW Jan27 Dec31 Dec01 Oct22   (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 3.00    
  (by PAVEL out of SILAR RULES by TEN MOST WANTED)
TRAVELIN' SHOW Jan13 Dec08       (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 21% 3.70    
  (by GRAZEN out of FREEDOM RIDE by CLUBHOUSE RIDE)
CLUBHOUSE CHARLIE Jan13         (miyadi steven)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 12.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of SWEET CONNIE GIRL by LEMON DROP KID)
 
SA-4   02/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($38K) 3 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOULOUSE DETRAC Dec29 Nov26 Sep10     (papaprodromo)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 12.00    
SHE'S MY NIECE Jan14 Jan01 Nov18 Nov02 Sep24 (ortiz manu)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
ASIAN MATRIARCH Nov18 Oct22 Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 (sadler w)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00    
PANDA PEAK Jan14 Aug25 May25     (puype mike)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 5.00    
SAKURA BLOSSOM Nov24 Oct15 Jul28 Jun29   (powell leonard)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00    
DEFICIT MAJA Jan06 Dec01 Oct29     (marquez alfre)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 5.00 31% 2.20    
PINK WHITNEY Jan19 Dec02 Nov11 Oct07 Sep08 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 5.00    
 
SA-5   02/11/2024 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 45 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAYER B Jan20 Jan07 Dec17 Nov26 Oct20 (o'neil)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of BALLETTE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
DEVILISH DESIRE Jan07 Dec09 Nov19 Oct22   (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of WILD HICKORY by TERRELL)
METEOR MAN         (glatt mark)HERRERA A 124 6.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MADEMOISELLE COCO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
ALPHA OMEGA         (shirreffs john)FREY KYLE 124 10.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of STYLISH WAYS by EMPIRE MAKER)
PRECISION STRIKE Dec17 Nov05 Sep04 Jul29 Jun18 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of INCENTIVE by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  BRONSTER         (vallejo gena)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of STONECOLDFOX by IN EXCESS (IRE))
CAPTAIN CHOOCHIES Jan07 Nov26 Nov05 Sep29 Sep04 (papaprodromo)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 4.00 28% 2.50    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MIGHTY RENEE by MARIA'S MON)
UNCLE REG Jan07 Nov05 Aug26 Jul21 May29 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 8.00 12% 7.10    
  (by LEA out of SIERRA OLIVIA by PULPIT)
PETCOFF Jan07 Nov18 Oct27 Oct01 Sep10 (yakteen tim)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00 10% 9.30    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MYLITTA by SKY MESA)
10  MR. MENDELSSOHN         (shirreffs joh)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 12.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MISS RELENTLESS by MR. GREELEY)
 
SA-6   02/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($67K) 3 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REVISED STATUTE         (mandella richard )SMITH E 122 6.00    
MAYMUN Jan20         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 0.60 39% 1.60    
LAST CALL LONDON Jan13 Dec17 Nov03 Sep08 Aug11 (miller peter)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
IMAGINATION Jan01 Dec02 Nov11     (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00    
THOMPSON Dec10 Oct28 Sep04 Aug11   (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 122 30.00    
AMERICAN HOPE Dec29 Nov12 Oct08     (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 122 5.00 25% 3.00    
 
SA-7   02/11/2024 4290ft TURF RC11 FIRM Sweet Life Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLURING (IRE) Jan01 Nov19       (mandella ri)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of ENTHRALLING by ARCH)
GIRL OF MY DREAMS Jan28 Jan01 Dec01 Nov12 Sep03 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 12.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of NAPLES DREAM by UNCLE MO)
SEA DANCER Jan20 Dec26 Dec02 Sep10 Aug13 (yakteen tim)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 15.00    
  (by MASTERY out of CUYATHY by CONGRATS)
ZONA VERDE (IRE) Dec29 Dec02 Oct08 Sep08   (damato phili)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CALYX out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
VISUALLY Dec26 Dec02 Oct28 Oct14 Sep08 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 120 12.00    
  (by ENTICED out of EYE CANDY ANNIE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
ELEGANT Jan01 Nov12 Oct01 Aug13   (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of LOVELY by PULPIT)
VOODOO MAGIC (FR)         (damato philip)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 34% 2.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
DIAL A FRIEND Jan14 Dec10       (miller peter)MALDONADO E 120 12.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of SUGAR BABE by QUIET AMERICAN)
GRANNY BUDGIE (GB)         (damato philip)ESPINOZA V 122 10.00    
  (by MASSAAT out of CALEDONIA DUCHESS by DUTCH ART)
10  ANTIFONA (FR) Dec29 Dec02       (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 12.00    
  (by RECOLETOS out of SURVIVED by STRAVINSKY)
11  JULIAS DREAM Dec23 Nov10 Sep09 Aug06   (mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 37% 1.70    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of CINNAMON GIRL by MEADOWLAKE)
 
SA-8   02/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($37K) 45 ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRATCHETT         (puype mike)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 10.00    
DISOBEY         (scolamieri sa)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 6.00    
DANGEROUS GAME         (pederson dea)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 6.00 6% 14.60    
THEGINGERBREADMAN         (kitchingman a)VALDIVIA JR 124 12.00    
HUNGRY HEARTS         (koriner bria)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 4.00 9% 10.70    
SPEND IT ALL         (pederson dea)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 124 5.00    
ANTONSEN Jan12 Nov17 Aug26     (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 14% 6.20    
GETEMDUSTY Jan14 Dec08       (miya)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
 
SA-9   02/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALI BAY (IRE) Nov12 Oct14 Aug03 Jun17 May06 (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 9% 10.00    
GIOVINAZZO Dec31 Nov24 Oct14 Aug24 Aug13 (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 5.00 18% 4.50    
MARKS HIP Jan06 Nov18 Oct14 Aug27 Aug10 (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 122 12.00    
FLY THE SKY Jan13 Sep08 Aug19 Aug03 Jun09 (knapp steve)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 12.00    
SILENT SUNDAY Jan12 Nov11 Sep24 Aug31 Aug10 (galvin brenda)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 12.00    
MIDNIGHT JOSTAR Apr08 Mar09 Nov04 Oct08 Sep10 (cerin vladi)HERRERA A 122 4.00 49% 1.00    
ORIGINAL Dec31 Nov03 Oct06 Jun04 Feb05 (dutrow richard)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00    
MASTERMIND Jan27 Jan01 Nov11 Oct14 Sep16 (bar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 12.00    
10  COMRADERY (IRE) Jan15 Jan01 Nov11 Oct07 Jul23 (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 124 6.00    
11  DON'T SWEAR DAVE Jan01 Nov23 Oct22 Aug13 Jul21 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EREBUS Jan26 Sep10 Jun24 Aug19 Jul28 ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.