Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Monday - January 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/3/4)-(6/5/3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(5/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(5/3/2)-(3/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-2   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(3/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(3/4/5)-(6/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-3   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(6/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(6/1/2)-(4/7/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-4   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2/7)-(6/1/2/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(4/7/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(4/7/1)-(5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-5   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(5/6)-(3/7/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-6   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (5/6)-(3/7/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(3/7/4)-(5/4/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-7   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4/2)-(3/7/4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(5/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(5/4/3)-(6/1/3/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-8   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(6/1/3/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SA-9   WIN (6/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/8)-(6/1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/8)-(6/1/3/8)-(6/1/3/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   01/15/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WESTWARD LOOK Oct27 Sep29 Sep10 Aug27 Aug06 (miller pe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 5.00    
2  DIVINE RASCAL Dec08 Oct29 May13 Apr28 Apr02 (naranjo salva)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 15.00    
3  BARRISTAN THE BOLD (GB) Aug06 Jun09 May13 Apr09 Mar12 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 122 2.50 ★    
4  PERFECTIONISTIC Nov18 Oct27 Sep22 Sep23 Jul22 (sadler w)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  KANDEREL Nov25 Mar31 Mar12 Feb05 Jan13 (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 5.00 29% 2.50    
6  GIVE ME THE LUTE Nov18 Oct27 Sep29 Sep04 Jul23 (knapp stev)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.60 47% 1.10    
7  TRUSTY RUSTY Dec09 Oct29 Oct07 Sep23 Sep09 (deleon rafa)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 20.00    
8  BRUTTO Dec08 Nov11 Aug18 May06 Mar04 (kitchingman a)VALDIVIA JR 120 15.00    
 
SA-2   01/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 45 M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMING GRAY Dec09 Nov18 Nov02 Sep30 Jun04 (gom)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 8.00    
2  LUCKY VEGAS Dec10 Dec02 Mar19 Jan28 Jan02 (papaprodromou ge)MACKAY JAY 117 6.00 7% 13.50    
3  BOGINSKAYA Nov17 Oct15 Sep22 Aug31 Jul23 (mendez luis)FREY KYLE 124 3.00 16% 5.30    
4  YVETT'S SURPRISE Dec09 Nov25 Oct15 Sep22 Aug18 (periban j)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.50    
5  MONIQUE Dec01 Nov18 Mar03 Nov25 Oct23 (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 124 1.80 44% 1.30    
6  STYLISH DRESS Nov23 Oct28       (blacker dan)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 4.00    
 
SA-3   01/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($38K) 3 ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARP LORENZO Dec30 Dec16 Nov23     (cam)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 10.00    
2  HANDSOME HARRY Dec02 Aug25 Jun11 May29   (mulhall k)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 8.00    
3  ZOMBO BOMBO Dec01 Sep02       (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
4  EXPRESS LINE (FR) Dec03 Jul23       (shirreffs john)SMITH E 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
5  DES DOIGTS Dec17 Dec02 Nov11 Oct07 Sep10 (deleon rafael)FREY KYLE 122 6.00 20% 3.90    
6  HEART HEADED Nov09 Oct13       (sadler w)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.60    
 
SA-4   01/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIGNORA VITTORIA Dec10 Nov19 Oct08 Sep30 Sep10 (nun)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 5.00 22% 3.60    
2  RAINBOWS ON ICE Jul23 Jul09       (farias ad)RAMIREZ S 121 30.00 15% 5.50    
3  EVA'S PARTY Jan01         (palma hecto)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 116 12.00    
4  IFUAINTFIRSTURLAST Dec03 Oct15 Sep09 Aug17 Jul27 (brinkerhoff val)FREY KYLE 119 8.00    
5  COCONUT GIRL Jan01 Dec10 Nov05 Oct22   (palma hecto)AGUILAR ARMANDO 121 5.00    
6  ELEVEN OUT OF TEN Jan01 Oct15 Jul30     (papaprodro)GONZALEZ RICARDO 119 4.00 23% 3.30    
7  AIR FORCE THUNDER Jan01 Nov12       (shirreffs joh)FRESU ANTONIO 121 0.80 ★    
 
SA-5   01/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPLAIN THIS AUDIT Jul28 Jul09 Jun10 May27 May13 (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 3.00 8% 11.50    
2  KIMMER Jan05 Nov18 Mar19 Mar04 Feb11 (vallejo genar)VALDIVIA JR 124 20.00    
3  SO I'M TOLD Oct22 Sep23 Sep15 Jun02 May07 (valenz)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 12.00    
4  BIG COUPE Nov19 Oct14       (powell leonard)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.80 38% 1.70    
5  MO REWARDS Dec17 Nov12 Oct14 Jul01 Jun04 (mullins jef)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00    
6  COMRADERY (IRE) Jan01 Nov11 Oct07 Jul23 Jun03 (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 124 4.00 ★    
7  MIDNIGHT FURY Dec17 Nov10 Oct08 Sep09 Aug18 (knapp steve)ESPINOZA V 124 5.00 25% 3.10    
 
SA-6   01/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($67K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG NOVEL Nov23 Oct29 Oct08 Sep08 Aug03 (sadler w)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.60 ★    
2  LISA'S NONNO Nov26 Oct07       (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 122 8.00    
3  GRACE PERIOD (FR) Nov26 Oct28       (powell leonard)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00    
SCR  LIBERAL LADY Nov23 Oct09 Aug31 Aug06 Jul02 (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
5  CLASS CLOWN Dec15 Nov10 Oct08 Sep17 Aug24 (koriner brian)VALDIVIA JR 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
6  NAUGHTY NADINE (GB) Dec03 Nov18 Sep16 Aug18 Jun24 (badilla manue)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 5.00 18% 4.50    
 
SA-7   01/15/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEGONAHAVAGOODTIME Dec17 Jul04 Jun25 Jun03 Apr02 (naranjo salva)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 6.00    
2  HOT BOX Nov18 Sep10 Aug06 Jan02 Dec03 (koriner brian)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.50 ★    
3  DISKO TRIBUTE Dec15 Nov26 Nov05 Oct01 Feb04 (knapp steve)ESPINOZA V 122 5.00 31% 2.30    
4  HAPI HAPI May21 Apr10 Mar18 Feb15 Jan31 (uranga j)GARCIA ERICK 122 15.00 20% 4.10    
5  MAVEN Nov18 Sep29 Aug27 Apr09 Mar12 (hanson ryan)BAZE C 122 2.00    
6  SAI CON (FR) Oct07 Aug18 Jul21 Apr29 Apr02 (baltas rich)HERRERA A 120 8.00    
7  SILARDI Nov26 Sep08 Jul07 Jun09 May14 (barocio lib)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
SA-8   01/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($67K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET HELLO Dec09 Nov23 Oct29 Sep29 Aug17 (hess b)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 8.00    
2  TIZZY TWISTER Dec09 Nov23 Oct29 Oct15 Aug03 (puype mike)VALDIVIA JR 124 5.00    
3  SENSIBLE MOVE Nov02 Oct15 Sep03 Aug04 Jun16 (pederson dean)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  RACE JUDICATA Jul29 Jul01 Jun10 May05 Jul29 (damato phi)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 5.00 11% 8.40    
5  CORNELIA FORT Dec09 Nov23 Oct29 Sep30 Sep03 (kruljac ian)FRESU ANTONIO 124 2.00 62% 0.60    
6  ISSA COURT Dec09 Nov17 Sep03 Jul30 Jun10 (pederson de)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 1.60    
 
SA-9   01/15/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($67K) 3 ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEER MONEY Dec17 Nov24 Sep16     (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 16% 5.30    
2  SIZE DOES MATTER Dec17 Nov03       (thomas ruby)HERRERA A 122 12.00    
3  SOMEONE LIKE YOU Dec01         (koriner brian)VALDIVIA JR 117 4.00 10% 8.60    
4  WINNING BIG Dec16 Dec01 Nov05     (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 6.00    
5  SALSATION Dec02 Nov03 Oct14 Aug27 Aug11 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 5.00    
6  GOOD LOVIN Dec02 Nov11 Oct15     (sherman steve )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 53% 0.90    
7  IMMELMANN Dec02 Nov17 Oct21 Sep29 Sep04 (nunez jesus)FREY KYLE 122 8.00    
8  THIRSTY THURSDAY Dec10 Nov18 Nov10 Sep08 Aug25 (fra)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.