Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Friday - December 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (1/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/3)-(1/5/6/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/3)-(1/5/6/3/8)-(1/5/6/3/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (1/5/6/3)-(2/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/3)-(2/6)-(1/6/3/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
SA-2   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (2/6)-(1/6/3/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(1/6/3/4)-(1/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SA-3   WIN (1/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/2)-(8/5/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-4   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(8/5/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(8/5/7/1)-(3/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-5   WIN (8/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/1)-(8/5/7/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/1)-(8/5/7/1/3)-(8/5/7/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (8/5/7/1)-(3/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/5/7/1)-(3/1/5)-(8/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-6   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(8/2/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(8/2/5)-(6/10/1/4/11) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SA-7   WIN (8/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/5)-(8/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/2/5)-(8/2/5)-(8/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (8/2/5)-(6/10/1/4/11) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (8/2/5)-(6/10/1/4/11)-(2/7/8/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-8   WIN (6/10/1/4/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/1/4/11)-(6/10/1/4/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/1/4/11)-(6/10/1/4/11)-(6/10/1/4/11) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (6/10/1/4/11)-(2/7/8/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
SA-9   WIN (2/7/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/10)-(2/7/8/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/10)-(2/7/8/4/10)-(2/7/8/4/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   12/29/2023 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($37K) 35 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARIBBEAN KING Nov26 Nov05 Aug19 Jul29 Jun18 (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
HARDMONEYMUCHACHOS Apr14 Mar04 Jan21 Nov24 May04 (puype mike)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 12.00    
SMOOTH SALUTE Nov10 Oct14 Aug19 Jul29 May29 (mccarthy )DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 3.00 9% 10.70    
PRAY FOR ME RAY Dec16 Aug17 Aug13 Jul22 Jun19 (puype mike)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 6.00    
QUINTECENTS Nov10 Oct20 Sep29 Sep10 Aug26 (barocio li)HERNANDEZ J 125 5.00 24% 3.20    
GHOST COAST Nov26 Nov05 May17 Apr08 Mar03 (mullins jef)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 3.50 11% 8.50    
AUTOLINE (IRE) Nov10 Sep29 Sep09     (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 6.00    
CHROME TO RICHES Oct22 Sep10 Aug05 Mar25 Jan07 (gaines carla)FRESU ANTONIO 122 12.00    
NYQUILER Dec09 Nov10 Sep23 Sep04 May20 (saavedra anthony )FREY KYLE 123 30.00    
 
SA-2   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOTROD RIDE Aug28 Jul30 Jun19 May27 Apr15 (mccarthy sean)BAZE C 124 4.00    
MISTER BEAMS Oct23 Oct07 Jan21 Dec03 Nov05 (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 122 4.00 46% 1.20    
SOUL OF MIDNIGHT Dec08 Sep15 Aug26 Jul22 May26 (uranga j)MALDONADO E 122 3.00    
STAN FROM MALIBU Sep09 Aug13 Jul21 Jun24 Jun02 (hanson ryan)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 122 2.00    
EAGLES LANDING Dec08 Nov24 Sep23 Sep04 Aug18 (brinkerhoff val)FREY KYLE 122 2.50 13% 6.50    
SCR  GOLF DRAMA Sep23 Aug11 Jul09 Jun11 Apr30 ( )TBA null      
 
SA-3   12/29/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($67K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE JAB Nov18 Aug11 Feb04 Nov20   (mathis andy)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.80 58% 0.70    
SQUALOTORO Dec03 Sep02 Aug18 Jun11 May15 (moger j)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
GYPSY TEARS Nov18 Oct27 Sep23 Sep10 Aug13 (brinkerhoff val)FREY KYLE 124 8.00 5% 18.60    
WINDING Jul09 Feb11 Jan22 Aug22   (uranga jesu)HERRERA A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
EDDIE'S LAST Nov25 Nov02 Aug31 Aug05 Jun10 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 4.00    
MAN O ROSE Nov17 Oct21 Sep29 Nov27   (mullins jeff)MALDONADO E 120 3.00 14% 6.10    
ANDY CAN U HEAR ME Dec02 Oct27 Sep30 Sep08 Jul28 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 4.00    
SCR  HEY BATMAN Sep17 Jul08 Sep23     (gonzale)LOPEZ REYNOSO 122 20.00    
SCR  IRISH HEATWAVE Oct15 Sep30 Aug27 Jul23 Jun17 (puype mik)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 6.00    
SCR  RAGING WATERS Aug18 Jul22 Jun19 May28 May15 (knapp steve)BAZE C 124 8.00    
 
SA-4   12/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WISHTHEYALLCOULDBE Dec15 Nov10 Oct08 Sep08 Aug24 (morfin ser)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
FLATTERWITHJEWELS Dec10 Nov11 Jun09 May19 Apr22 (nar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
HOT ROD MAMA Dec09 Nov02 Oct20 Aug17 Jul29 (brinkerhoff )ALSAGOOR ABDUL 122 8.00    
ROMAN EMPRESS Dec10 Nov02 Oct14 Sep22 Aug26 (saavedra anthony )FREY KYLE 122 15.00    
IRISH WAHINE Dec10 Jan28 Jan13 Dec09 Sep23 (knapp steve)BAZE C 122 2.00    
DANCING DANA Dec26 Oct16 Aug20 Aug07 May27 (lewis craig )KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
SA-5   12/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Blue Norther Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HATTIE T Dec02         (moger jr)AYUSO ARMANDO 118 20.00 8% 12.20    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of GABBY'S BROWN by BIG BROWN)
ANTIFONA (FR) Dec02         (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 6.00    
  (by RECOLETOS out of SURVIVED by STRAVINSKY)
CHATALAS Dec09 Nov03 Oct07 Sep09 Jul30 (glatt mar)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 5.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of INDIAN SAFARI by INDIAN CHARLIE)
BLUE OASIS Dec02 Oct28 Oct06 Jul29   (yakteen tim)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 20.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of BLUE NIGHT by GALILEO (ARG))
HIGHLANDS Nov24 Sep19       (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 11% 7.80    
  (by AUDIBLE out of LEDECKA by TIZNOW)
ZONA VERDE (IRE) Dec02 Oct08 Sep08     (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50    
  (by CALYX out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MEDORO Dec01         (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 118 4.00 8% 12.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of ACHIRA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
MO FOX GIVIN Dec02 Nov03 Sep29 Aug12   (powell leon)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 4.00 45% 1.20    
  (by MO TOWN out of GIVINE by BLACKDOUN)
APRIL VINTAGE Nov10 Oct07 Sep01 Jul22   (miller peter)MALDONADO E 118 12.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of BEAUTISSIMO by UNCLE MO)
 
SA-6   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($67K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLOUSEAU Nov11 Oct14 Sep03 Aug04 May28 (kruljac ian)MALDONADO E 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
MISCHELOF (CHI) Dec17 Oct14 Aug19 Jul22   (polanco m)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 8.00    
MATANZAS CREEK Nov19 Oct22       (yakteen tim)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.60 30% 2.40    
DE LA LUNA Dec02 Nov05 Oct21 Sep11 Aug05 (rivera leobar)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 20.00    
AMERICAREDWHITEBLU Nov19 Oct22 Oct07 Sep09 Jul22 (glatt mar)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 2.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  MY PARTNER GLEN Dec09 Nov24 Nov05 Oct14 Sep09 (kruljac ian)HERRERA A 120 20.00    
ORDER AND LAW Nov24 Oct01 Sep02 Jul23 Jun06 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 125 3.50    
 
SA-7   12/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Eddie Logan Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARGE FOR GOLD Dec03 Oct07 Aug24     (oviedo phi)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 12.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of GASP by TINAJERO)
LORD BULLINGDON Dec03 Nov03 Oct07 Sep10 Jul09 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by LORD NELSON out of MS SILVER OAK by LEROIDESANIMAUX)
SCR  PRACTICALLY BROKE Nov23         (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SHOWGIRL FORM by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  INVINCIBLE Dec03 Nov11 Oct08 Aug24 Jul29 (o'neill doug)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MAGICAL MOOD by FORESTRY)
TWIRLING POINT Dec01 Oct08 Sep02     (thomas jonat)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 6.00 12% 7.30    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of KITTEN'S POINT by KITTEN'S JOY)
FINAL BOSS Nov02 Sep02       (sadler jo)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SCREAMING SKYLAR by SMART STRIKE)
MIRACLE MARK Dec03 Oct29 Sep24 Aug26 Jul23 (damato phil)HERRERA A 120 3.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MELODY'S SPIRIT by SCAT DADDY)
AMERICAN HOPE Nov12 Oct08       (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of ROOM SERVICE by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  STAY HOT Dec03 Nov03 Oct07 Sep02 Aug05 (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 3.50    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of ETSU by SMART STRIKE)
 
SA-8   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 2 F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHERE'S MY RING Nov03 Oct08 Oct01 Aug13   (brinkerhoff val)ESPINOZA V 121 5.00 18% 4.70    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MAPIT by TAPIT)
TOULOUSE DETRAC Nov26 Sep10       (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 121 50.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of COLDGREYDAWN by FLASHY BULL)
PETITE ANGE Nov02 Sep09 Aug06     (gar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 50.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of BIG MAPLE by OVERANALYZE)
CREATIVE QUALITY Dec02         (moger )BERRIOS ISAAC 121 20.00 14% 6.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of SWEET ALTERNATIVE by ALTERNATION)
SHE'Z THE LAW         (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of BACK FLIP by SUPER SAVER)
KINZA         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of SECRET WONDER by QUALITY ROAD)
SPLENDORA         (baffert b)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 4.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MISS FREEZE by FROST GIANT)
TAHINI         (papaprodromo)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 20.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MORE FUN AGAIN by ARCH)
COASTAL COWGIRL         (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 6.00    
  (by CONNECT out of BABBS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  MS BO J         (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 121 3.00 21% 3.70    
  (by MITOLE out of BODACIOUSNESS by BODEMEISTER)
11  MOTET Oct28 Oct07 Sep09 Aug12   (gomez rub)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of MISS HOLIDAY INN by TACTICAL CAT)
 
SA-9   12/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 2 ALL PT- 6:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC ALPHIE Nov11         (pap)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 50.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MISS ALPHIE by CANDI'S GOLD)
GUY NAMED JOE Dec03 Oct29 Oct07 Aug25   (o'neill dou)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 2.00 60% 0.70    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of HUNGRY ISLAND by MORE THAN READY)
SHOT OF COURAGE Nov12         (papaprodromo)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 30.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of TEQUILA SUNRISE by LEMON DROP KID)
POTENTIAL SPAM Dec03 Nov12 Sep24 Jul30 Jun04 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 4.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of INTIMACY by AWESOME AGAIN)
NO SHOW JONES Nov24 Sep17 Aug27     (naranjo sal)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 50.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of SUN BELT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
LET SEAMUS GO Dec03 Nov02       (koriner brian)VALDIVIA JR 120 3.00 9% 9.90    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LET YOURSELF GO by WAR FRONT)
EIGHT CLAP Nov23 Oct08 Aug24     (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 6.00 8% 11.60    
  (by AUDIBLE out of BEAR by SUPER SAVER)
ARIO Dec03 Nov10 Oct15 Sep09 Aug12 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of INFLICTION by STORMY ATLANTIC)
10  GORILLA BOY Oct07 Aug24       (mullins jef)HERRERA A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of VIVERE by WAR FRONT)
SCR  UNCHARTED Nov03 Oct08 Aug24     (hanson rya)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50    
  (by BERNARDINI out of LIVE YOUNG by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  GOLD FOOT Nov12 Oct08 Aug24     ( )TBA null      
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TIZ LADYS LEGS by TIZNOW)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.