Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Los Alamitos Qh
Sunday - December 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LA-1   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(3/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LA-2   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LA-1   12/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAZY ABOUT YOU Sep02 Aug20 Aug13 Jul16 Jul01 (raudales jo)AGUILAR ARMANDO 118 1.80 18% 4.70    
AUNT OPAL Oct01 Sep03 Jun23 Apr07 Jan08 (morfin serg)LEON PABLO 123 3.00    
NICE AND TRUE Nov26 Oct14 Sep23 Aug13 Jul15 (uranga je)RAMIREZ S 125 6.00 15% 5.90    
AFTER SUNDOWN Nov26 Nov11 Oct29 Oct07 Oct22 (perez santo)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 116 20.00    
CROWN KITTEN Oct22 Oct01 Sep16 Jul30 Jul02 (vallejo genar)PAYERAS EDGAR 125 2.50 28% 2.60    
FLASHY PASS Nov11 Oct14 Oct01 Sep03 Jul02 (aquino m)HARVEY B 123 10.00    
MO CONNELLY Nov26 Nov11 Oct14 Sep17 Sep03 (garcia jesus)GARCIA ERICK 125 8.00    
 
LA-2   12/10/2023 1650ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAMPTONRUN Nov18 Sep23 Sep16 Aug25 Aug18 (aquino ange)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 116 4.50    
SCR  FRIENDLY SHUFFLE Dec02 Nov11 Sep17 Jun24 May07 (uranga jes)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 120 15.00    
RUN AUNTIE T RUN Nov18 Oct01 Aug06 Jul15 Jun04 (nunez jesus)PAYERAS EDGAR 123 1.60 28% 2.60    
AUNTIE BEV Nov12 Oct28 Oct01 Sep16 Aug27 (aquino )CAMACHO JESUS 125 3.50    
ABBEY OOPS Nov12 Aug18 Aug06 Jul15 Jul01 (aquino )ALCALA ROSARIO 123 12.00    
PETE'S INFERNO Nov18 Sep23 Aug27 Jul09 May07 (farias )LOPEZ REYNOSO 123 5.00 16% 5.10    
QUIET FOREST Nov18 Oct14 Oct01 Aug27 Jun11 (nunez jesus)GARCIA ERICK 123 8.00 25% 3.00    
CHEDOODLE RYLEE Dec02 Sep25 Sep11 Sep03 Aug12 (lawrence heath)MATIAS J 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.