Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Monday - September 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-5   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(7/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(7/6/3)-(5/6/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-6   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/3)-(5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(4/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-7   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(4/5/1)-(4/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-8   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(4/6/2)-(3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-9   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(3/4)-(3/1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-10   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PRM-11   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-5   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27.518K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATE FOR LUNCH Sep04 Aug04 Jul23 Jun23 Jun09 (jacquot gene)JORDAN R 125 3.00 20% 4.00    
2  SNAP'N TAP Aug25 Aug07 Jul24 Jul01 Jun05 (wellington tom)TOHILL S 123 6.00    
3  SECRET BLARNEY Aug25 Aug07 Jul24 Jul14 Jun23 (mcshane david)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 10.00 12% 7.00    
4  MAHOMES Sep04 Aug07 Jul16 Jun23 Jun04 (rufino eusebio )CORBETT W 125 12.00    
5  KNIGHT COMMANDER Jul02 Jun11 May19 Nov26 Nov11 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 125 1.80 37% 1.70    
6  COWBOY CASANOVA Aug25 Jul01 Jun05 May20 Apr29 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 125 5.00    
7  RED WHITE AND LOUD Aug25 Jul29 Jul10 Jun16 May12 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.00    
 
PRM-6   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVER BOY Sep01 Aug12 Jul29 Jul14 Jun25 (martinez kel)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 3.50    
2  CANDY'S LITTLE TIP Sep10 Aug25 Aug06 Jul23 Jul03 (green gerald)ZIMMERMAN R 123 12.00    
3  REPLETE Aug20 Jul28 Jul14 Jun26 Jun03 (gleason t)TRIANA JR 121 10.00 15% 5.50    
4  BLUESKIESANDANGELS Sep01 Aug12 Aug04 Jul03 Jun09 (martinez )DE CRUZ 123 3.00    
5  NEW STRIPE Sep01 Aug21 Aug04 Jul22 Jul01 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 4.00    
6  OCEAN RIDE Sep03 Jul28 Jul09 Jun18 May21 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 123 6.00 25% 3.10    
7  GOLDEN LUNA Sep10 Sep01 Jul28 Jul14 Jun23 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
PRM-7   09/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHE'S A BIG STAR Aug19 Jul31 Jun18 May28 Mar16 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 124 2.50    
2  JERI DAWN Sep02 Jul28 Jul10 Jun17 May20 (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 122 10.00    
3  WEST SIDE GIRL Aug05 Jun11 May04 Mar26 Feb24 (loy dew)TRIANA JR 122 8.00 14% 6.30    
4  REINA DEL SUR Aug12 Jul31 Jul21 Jun02 May22 (donlin la)DE CRUZ 122 4.00    
5  REBEL RISING Jul07 Jun18 May22 Sep26 Aug29 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 119 2.00 42% 1.40    
6  SOCIAL CIRCLE Aug19 Jul31 Jun17 May19 Sep30 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 15% 5.80    
 
PRM-8   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEDICINE TAIL Aug25 Jul27 Jul13 Jun12 Apr29 (wellington tom)ROMAN KEVIN 123 6.00 9% 10.70    
2  SAILOR CHOW Aug07 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May28 (guillory )DE CRUZ 121 8.00    
3  TIZHOTNDUSTY Sep03 Jul22 Jul03 Jun12 May29 (rufino euseb)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 2.50    
4  GERARD Aug21 Jul03 May29 Apr12 Apr01 (arnett g)BIRZER E 122 2.00 32% 2.10    
5  BUZZER Aug19 Jul02 Jun16 Sep23 Sep04 (hemba brad)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 3.00 28% 2.50    
6  BROADWAY PETE Aug27 Aug19 Jul31 Jul16 Jun12 (condon schuyler)TOHILL S 123 5.00    
 
PRM-9   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($29.484K) 2 ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUPITER MISSION Sep04 Aug21 Aug05 Jul08 Jun23 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 119 4.00    
2  FLEETWOOD SMACK Sep11         (schutz pam)SALAZAR TERESA 114 10.00 20% 4.00    
3  KICKIN' CHARLIE Sep04 Aug12       (dieter dalton)ZIMMERMAN R 119 8.00    
4  WICKLOW LADDIE Aug27 Aug05       (wellingto)TRIANA JR 119 1.20 26% 2.80    
5  GUNPOWDER N' LEAD Sep04         (jacquot gene)EDWARDS JAVIS 114 5.00    
6  DO IT LIKE KEVIN Aug27         (compton jess)JORDAN R 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
PRM-10   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.67K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SONG OF PRAISE Aug28 Jul30 Jun30 Jun05 May26 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 120 5.00    
2  HARD SPIRITS Sep01 Aug18 Aug06 Jul09 Jun25 (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 1.60    
3  MY FIRING LINE Sep01 Jun19 May27 Jun24   (jacquot gene)ZIMMERMAN R 123 2.50 63% 0.60    
4  C L LEGACY Sep01         (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ESPIRIDION Aug28 Jul09 Jun25 Jun02 May12 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 4.00 ★    
6  THE AWFUL TRUTH Aug18 Jul23 Jul02 Jun16 May29 (fett brandi)SALAZAR TERESA 115 6.00    
 
PRM-11   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($26.732K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELIOT NESS Jul15 Jun19 May28 Dec28 Oct15 (clay pat)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00 23% 3.40    
2  A BRUSH OF LUCK Sep09 Aug27 Jul29 Jul16 Jun16 (arceo sal)TRIANA JR 121 4.00    
3  WOKE UP IN LOVE Sep04 Aug19 Jul22 Jun23 May21 (johnston lan)JORDAN R 121 3.50 39% 1.60    
4  ROCKIN THE DAD BOD Sep04 Jul29 Jul20 Jul02 May29 (martinez esteban)BIRZER E 118 10.00 9% 10.80    
5  DREADPIRATEROBERTS Sep01 Aug20 Jul28 Jul15 Jul03 (murphy sw)TOHILL S 120 5.00    
SCR  CHINLEE Sep11 Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 May21 (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 121 6.00    
SCR  TEMPLE CITY RUN Sep09 Aug26 Aug18 Aug07 Jul15 (guillory )DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
8  UNCLE SINGH Aug27 Aug18 Jun30 Jun18 May29 (donlin d)ZIMMERMAN R 123 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.