Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lethbridge
Sunday - September 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LBG-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
LBG-2   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LBG-3   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
LBG-4   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
LBG-6   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LBG-1   09/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLYING ROAR Aug19 Aug05       (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 3.00    
  (by GOTTCHA GOLD out of DAKOTA RED by FLYING CHEVRON)
2  EXPLICIT FIRE Aug19 Jun09 May26 Nov05   (robson tra)APANGO JOSE 124 2.50    
  (by FIRESPIKE out of RESCUE EXPLICIT by EXPLICIT)
3  DO YOU NO WHO I AM Aug19 Jul22       (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 4.50    
  (by FLAT OUT out of LOGAN'S HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
4  PEPPER HEAD Nov04         (adams les)POWELL ANDRE 124 7.00 31% 2.20    
  (by EXHI out of PORCELAIN by CANDI'S GOLD)
5  NIGHTFALL Jul30 Jun30       (ferguson laurie)SIMPSON W 124 7.00 18% 4.50    
  (by NUMAANY out of DA SVEDONYA by LIL TYLER)
 
LBG-2   09/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEEMANS FLAIR Aug29 Aug01 Jul17 Jul04 Jun19 (brown p)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TEEMAN out of CUVECIOUS by CUVEE)
2  DEFINATELYATEN Aug27         (perry car)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 10.00    
  (by EL CHURRUCA out of TEN EVEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
3  FLASHING JOKER Aug20 Jul30 Jul22 Jul08 Jun25 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 1.80    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of AMNESIAN by BOLD N' FLASHY)
4  YOGA RULER Aug20 Jul30 Jul22 Oct08 Oct01 (blattler codi)APANGO JUAN 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of MOVE WITH JOY by WHERE'S THE RING)
5  HASHTAGUGOTTHIS Aug27         (blattler cod)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 12.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of KATY'S KITTY by OSIDY)
6  EVERYTHING TO GAIN Aug26 Jul25 Jul12 Jul04 Jun19 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 3.50    
  (by MR. Z out of GLAMOUR MANOR by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  PAINTLAKEPRIDE Aug27 Aug20 Aug05     (rycroft cli)GORDON GARFIELD 124 4.50 23% 3.40    
  (by EDISON out of DAUGHTER'S PRIDE by GIACOMO)
 
LBG-3   09/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LASKA (CHI) Aug27 Aug20 Jul29 Jul08 Sep17 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
2  FAMILY IS GOLD Aug20 Jul30 Jul15 Jun23 Oct08 (bugeaud mik)GORDON GARFIELD 124 4.50    
3  DYLAN'S SAVE Aug26 Jul23 Jul01 Jun16 May27 (rycroft clinton)SIMPSON W 124 3.00 28% 2.50    
4  ZIBO Aug20 Jul29 Oct08 Sep23 Sep13 (oberholtzer danie)BUGEAUD L 124 10.00    
5  CRITICAL CONDITION Aug20 Jul22 Jul15 Sep07 Aug31 (speaks de)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 5.00    
6  UBBADEETS Aug20 Aug05 Nov04 Oct08 Sep24 (smith darc)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 12.00    
SCR  MOORE'S MIRACLE Aug21 Jul25 Jul11 Sep24 Sep17 (rowe michael)POWELL ANDRE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LBG-4   09/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  INTO BOURBON Aug20 Jul23 Jun21 May29 Feb04 (fogle allen)ROCHA O 124 5.00 24% 3.10    
2  FORGOTTEN VOWS Jul30 Jul22 Jul15 Jun24 Jun17 (fantin cai)APANGO JOSE 124 10.00 14% 6.40    
3  SPEIGHTSFORCE Aug27 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 6.00    
4  STARWALKER Aug13 Jul30 Jul09 Sep24 Sep11 (rutherford elly)SIMPSON W 124 8.00    
5  SHINBORO Aug13 Jul30 Jul23 Jun20 May29 (weaselhead god)POWELL ANDRE 124 3.00    
6  JERSEY SHADOW Aug20 Jul30 Jun19 Jun05 Sep19 (oberholtz)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 1.80 40% 1.50    
 
LBG-6   09/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLD DOUBLE DIAMOND Aug20 Aug13 Jul30 Jul09 Jun23 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 8.00    
2  BLUE JEANS N BEER Aug19 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun10 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 5.00    
3  BERNALINHO Aug13 Jul30 Jun10 Jun03 Jan04 (smith jackie)POWELL ANDRE 124 2.50    
4  BOURBON BANDIT Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul22 Jul09 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 4.50 23% 3.40    
5  GRAY GEM Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul23 Jun25 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.