Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Del Mar
Thursday - August 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DMR-1   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(7/5/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(7/5/8)-(4/7/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DMR-2   WIN (7/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/8)-(7/5/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/8)-(7/5/6/8)-(7/5/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/8)-(4/7/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/5/8)-(4/7/1)-(8/6/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DMR-3   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(8/6/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(8/6/4/7)-(8/1/9/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
DMR-4   WIN (8/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/7)-(8/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/7)-(8/6/4/7)-(8/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/4/7)-(8/1/9/2/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (8/6/4/7)-(8/1/9/2/3)-(2/5/7/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
DMR-5   WIN (8/1/9/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/9/2/3)-(8/1/9/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/9/2/3)-(8/1/9/2/3)-(8/1/9/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/9/2/3)-(2/5/7/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (8/1/9/2/3)-(2/5/7/6)-(3/4/8/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
DMR-6   WIN (2/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/6)-(2/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/6)-(2/5/7/6)-(2/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/7/6)-(3/4/8/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7/6)-(3/4/8/6)-(5/10/11/4/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
DMR-7   WIN (3/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/8/6)-(3/4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/8/6)-(3/4/8/6)-(3/4/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/8/6)-(5/10/11/4/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
DMR-8   WIN (5/10/11/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/10/11/4/1)-(5/10/11/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/10/11/4/1)-(5/10/11/4/1)-(5/10/11/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DMR-1   08/17/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISSED BY FIRE Jul23 May21 Sep10 Jul31   (eurton peter)SMITH E 120 0.80 50% 1.00    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of KISS IN THE FOREST by FOREST WILDCAT)
2  CHRISTINA'S CANDY Jul23 Nov18 Aug26     (d'amato phil)DESORMEAUX J 120 4.00 10% 8.80    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of OAK MARSH by FIRST SAMURAI)
3  CALMING SEA Sep04         (wilensky herm)VALDIVIA JR 120 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of LOVE AVA LOVE by MR. GREELEY)
4  THIRTY CARATS Jul15         (hofmans da)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of BLUE HEART by EXCHANGE RATE)
6  MAKE IT SNOW Jul23 Mar17 Feb12     (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SNOW KID by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  SWEET MOTHER MARY Jun16 May26       ( )TBA null      
  (by WEST COAST out of COLONEL DETTWILLER by COLONEL JOHN)
 
DMR-2   08/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZZYZX Jul29 Jul08 Jun11 May19 Apr23 (ordonez aggie)COUTON JULIEN 120 50.00    
SCR  MISS KALINE Jun17 Apr21 Feb12 Jan02 Oct23 (bell t)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 6.00    
3  MAGAZINE Aug06 Jul07 Jun16 Mar18 Nov18 (france reid)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 2.50    
4  COMPTONS HOUSE Jun09 May12 Apr21 Mar05 Dec17 (bell r)TORREALBA JG 116 15.00    
5  HOT ROD MAMA Jul29 May27 Apr21 Mar26 Mar05 (brinkerhoff )ALSAGOOR ABDUL 118 3.00 30% 2.30    
6  MODERA Jun25 May19 Apr21 Dec21 Dec09 (scolamieri )AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 6.00 ★    
7  SWEET HELLO May26 Apr21 Mar19 Mar09 Jan28 (hess b)MALDONADO E 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
8  LOVE OUR FAMILY Jul30 Jun11 May14 Apr07 Mar26 (truman eddi)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
DMR-3   08/17/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($62K) 3 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER LIGHTENING Jul23 Aug26 Aug12     (o'neill doug)AYUSO ARMANDO 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  MINEDANDREFINED Jul22 Jul01 Jun04 May14   (mccarthy sean)FRESU ANTONIO 120 8.00    
3  COURT SNORT Aug04 Jun16 May19 Oct09 Sep10 (koriner brian)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.00    
4  SHE'S RESILIENT Jul23 Jun17 Apr29 Mar26 Mar04 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 4.00 44% 1.30    
5  SHE'S INTHEARMYNOW Jul29 May19 Sep04 Aug21   (thomas rub)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 6.00    
SCR  PRIMROSE RIDGE (GB) Mar25         (callaghan s)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 2.50    
7  UNA PALABRA Jul22 Jun10 Apr29 Mar26 Mar11 (belvoir van)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 6.00 31% 2.20    
 
DMR-4   08/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIFTY STARS Jul27 Jul01 Jun09     (agarie rick)HERRERA A 120 30.00    
2  HIGH FLYING GRACIE Jul27 Jun09 May20     (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 10.00    
3  CAPO SORELLA Jul27         (yakteen tim)TORREALBA JG 113 8.00    
4  MISTY MUPPET Jul08         (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 11% 8.00    
5  IFUAINTFIRSTURLAST Jul27 Jul08 May27     (brinkerhoff)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 8.00    
6  AMERICAN TSUNAMI Jul27 Jun10 Apr28     (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 4.00 22% 3.60    
7  MISS PIXY STIX Jul27 Jun10       (hess b)MALDONADO E 120 3.00 10% 8.70    
8  BEAU SOLEIL Jul21         (sanche)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 4.00 32% 2.10    
 
DMR-5   08/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEGS A. K. GIRL Jul29 Jul04 Jun11 May28 Dec31 (wilens)BERRIOS ISAAC 125 3.50 23% 3.30    
2  A CROWN FOR KITTEN Jul27 Jun09 May14 Apr21 Mar09 (yakteen tim)AYUSO ARMANDO 123 20.00 12% 7.70    
3  BUILT DIFFERENT Jun16 May18 Apr28 Mar29 Mar08 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  QUICKLY PARK IT Feb12 Jan07 Dec03 Oct29 Aug28 (mccarthy sea)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 111 10.00    
5  AWESOME TAYLOR Jul29 Jun16 May26 May14 Apr21 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 125 6.00    
6  ROSE BARTON (IRE) Jun16 May26 Apr08 Mar04   (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 125 4.00    
7  DENDERA Aug03 Jun16 May26 May07 Apr07 (powell leonar)COUTON JULIEN 123 8.00    
8  PALEO'S PRINCESS Jun18 Jun02 May20 Apr22 Mar18 (barocio librado)VAZQUEZ A 123 5.00 26% 2.90    
9  ZEYARAAT Jul27 Jun18 Apr30 Apr01 May03 (cerin vlad)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  ANNIE'S SONG (IRE) Aug05 Jul02 May06 Apr01 Feb04 (yak)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 10.00    
 
DMR-6   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO SECRET         (o'neill do)VAN DRAYDEN 120 15.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of SECRET ACTION by TIZ WONDERFUL)
2  WILL BE Jun25         (d'a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of WAVERLY PLACE by AWESOME AGAIN)
3  MIXTO Nov20 Oct10 Sep11 Sep03   (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 6.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of MUSICAL MYSTERY by CONCERTO)
4  BAD SNEAKERS Sep04 Aug05       (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CAROLYN'S CAT by FORESTRY)
5  BYE BYE RAY Jul21 Feb18 Jan21 Nov07   (fincher w)SMITH E 120 5.00 12% 7.20    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of TANGO JULIET by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  ARROWTHEGREAT Feb04 Jul30       (blacker daniel)ESPINOZA V 120 10.00 8% 12.30    
  (by ARROGATE out of BURNING ARCH by ARCH)
7  BROADWAY UNIONS Jul21 Jun18 May20     (kitchingman a)VALDIVIA JR 120 5.00 10% 9.10    
  (by UNION RAGS out of BROADWAY PLAY by QUALITY ROAD)
8  AARON Jun04 May06 Mar16 Jul03   (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of FLEET DUDE by FIRST DUDE)
 
DMR-7   08/17/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($83K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOL PAPA G Jan01         (barocio librado)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00    
2  YOGI BOY Jul21 Jun17 May13 Mar26   (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 122 20.00    
3  DANIEL'S MAGIC Jan22 Nov27 Oct15 Aug25 Aug11 (harty eoin)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
4  LIBERTY FOREVER Jul21 Nov26 Nov05 Oct07 Sep25 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
5  MISTER ICEMAN Jul21 Jul03 Aug06 Jul24   (miller peter)MALDONADO E 118 6.00    
6  BARSABAS Jul21 Jun23 May26 May06 Mar31 (farias adan)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  REXFORD Jul21 Jun11 May06 Mar19 Jan27 (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 4.00    
8  HELLADIC Jul21 Apr09 Mar05 Nov11 Oct02 (hanson)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 4.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  GRANITIANSEVENSIX Jul28 Apr26       (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 118 10.00    
SCR  GOLDEN ALE Jul29 Mar07 Jan12 Dec08 Nov19 (moger jr)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 8.00    
 
DMR-8   08/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($62.5K) Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMERALD UNION May29 May05       (shirreffs john)TORREALBA JG 112 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CLASSICAL May04         (barocio libra)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 8.00    
3  CHAOS REIGNS Jun19 May30       (ellis ronald)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 112 12.00    
4  FOREIGN INFLUENCE Jul30 May29 May06 Mar26 Mar04 (belvoir van)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 119 12.00 9% 10.70    
5  BURTON WAY Jul30 Jun23 Sep25     (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 124 5.00 36% 1.80    
6  CAPTAIN SPARROW Jul28 Nov19       (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 110 8.00    
7  BENDETTIJOE Jul27 Jun08       (cerin vladim)DESORMEAUX J 119 5.00    
8  TOKAMAK Nov19 Sep30 Aug13 Jul22   (harty eoin)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 8.00    
9  STORM THE NIGHT Jun09 May14 Apr23 Mar12 Feb17 (miller peter)MALDONADO E 115 8.00    
10  CENTRAL DISPATCH Jul21 Jun25       (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
11  PRAY FOR ME RAY Aug13 Jul22 Jun19 May08   (puype mike)VALDIVIA JR 119 5.00 12% 7.30    
12  HAPPY TEARS Jul08 May29       (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 115 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.