Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hastings Racecourse
Friday - August 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HST-1   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HST-2   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
HST-3   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(2/4)-(4/1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
HST-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
HST-5   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(7/6/8/2)-(1/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HST-6   WIN (7/6/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/8/2)-(7/6/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/8/2)-(7/6/8/2)-(7/6/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/8/2)-(1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HST-7   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HST-1   08/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANZAC BAY Jul08 Oct15       (neigel tara)PEREZ AMADEO 120 1.80 40% 1.50    
EBONY EYES Jul28 Oct01       (may)MAMDEEN ROY 117 3.50    
B C CHU CHU Jul22 May28 May06 Oct15 Oct01 (snow mel)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 117 2.00 23% 3.30    
MS. STANFORD Jul22 Jul09 Sep17 Aug01 Jul01 (condilenios di)AEBLY FRASER 111 4.50    
STILETTOS ONLY         (snow john)BALGOBIN RIDGE 117 5.00 9% 10.60    
 
HST-2   08/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMELESS SHRUG Jul22 Jul09 Jun25 Oct15 Oct01 (zaft ralp)SANCHEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
ACE DEUCE Jul22 Jul09 Jun18 Oct15 Sep10 (head)REYES AMBROSIO 124 2.00 25% 3.10    
VANCOUVER'S HUNTER Jul22 Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 May27 (barroby harold )SANTO KIMAL 124 3.50    
VALUE MAX Jul09 Jun18 May28 Sep24 Aug23 (maybin robe)MORALES SILVINO 124 3.00 11% 7.70    
BODEGA Jul22 Jul09 Jun18 Feb28 Oct22 (snow mel)AEBLY FRASER 119 1.80 41% 1.40    
 
HST-3   08/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT-11:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRILL BABY DRILL Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 May27 (grieve larry)SANTO KIMAL 122 3.00    
LIL'MISS INTAGLIO Jul22 Jun24 Aug06     (snow mel)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 120 12.00    
STRIKING VALUE Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 Oct22 (barr)REYES AMBROSIO 122 3.50 14% 6.10    
PEACEHAVEN Jul30 Jun10 May26 May04 Apr07 (milburn peter)POWELL KURI 120 2.00 38% 1.70    
SILVER ARROW Jul22 Jul09 Jun11 Oct22 Oct15 (henson steve)AEBLY FRASER 115 1.60 14% 6.00    
 
HST-4   08/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-11:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DESIRED OUTCOME Jul28 Jul09 Jun17 Oct08   (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 117 1.20    
CROWN COUNCIL Jul15 Jul02 Oct01     (gilker robe)KHELAWAN KERRON 117 3.50 41% 1.40    
SHESBOURBONONICE Jul28 May28 May13 Sep24 Aug27 (martin ashley )AEBLY FRASER 110 10.00    
BRIAN'S DE LEIGHT Jul01 Jun17 May27 May06 Aug13 (mill)REYES AMBROSIO 117 2.50 32% 2.10    
CAIRO CRUSADER Jul15 Jun11 May22 Oct08 Sep25 (heads barbar)BALGOBIN RIDGE 117 4.00    
 
HST-5   08/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT-12:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOBESUNNY Jul22 Jul01 Jun17 Jun04 Oct16 (unwin br)GOMEZ ROBERTO 124 3.50 25% 3.10    
ISLAND LIVING Jul30 Jul08 Jun11 May28 May13 (pederson keith)AEBLY FRASER 112 4.50 10% 8.90    
SCR  CARLA'S HONOR Jul15 Jul01 Jun10 May25 Apr29 (krasner cin)MORALES SILVINO 120 8.00    
VISENYA Jul28 Jul15 Aug22 Jul31 Jul16 (cloutier mark)PEREZ AMADEO 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
PROUD CAUSE Jul28         (lavallee m)POWELL KURI 120 10.00    
SCR  FILLY FATALE Jul09 Jun04 May13 Apr30 Oct16 (freeman a)SANTO KIMAL 118 2.50    
ROSE OF TEXAS Jul28 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 May27 (snow mel)SANCHEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
 
HST-6   08/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICE BREAKER Jul23 Jul01 Jun11 May14 Oct22 (grieve larry)SANTO KIMAL 120 5.00    
ARIKARA Jul23 Jun25 Jun11 May20 Apr30 (maybin rober)BALGOBIN RIDGE 120 3.50 8% 11.90    
DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER Jul15 Jul02 Jan28 Jan03 Dec14 (leaney patr)KHELAWAN KERRON 120 12.00    
ANAAMY Jul15 Jun25 Jun10 May27 May06 (rycroft n)SANCHEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
ZETAMARIE Jul30 Jul15 Jun24 Jun10 May20 (barroby frank )AEBLY FRASER 115 8.00    
BELLAROO Jul28 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 May20 (condilenios di)PEREZ AMADEO 120 4.50 23% 3.30    
AMANDA Jul15 Jun10 May13 Sep17 Aug22 (heads barba)MORALES SILVINO 124 5.00 37% 1.70    
LASTING LIGHT Jul28 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May27 (milburn )SEECHARAN C 120 4.00 8% 11.70    
 
HST-7   08/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M ALL SHOOK UP Jul28 Jun02 May14 Apr07 Mar18 (snow john)PEREZ AMADEO 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
HOAX (IRE) Jul23 Jul02 Apr28 Mar12 Feb23 (laws)REYES AMBROSIO 116 5.00 11% 8.20    
NO PEOPLE Jun10 May28 Mar29 Mar14 Feb21 (lemasurier p)BALGOBIN RIDGE 120 12.00    
LICORICE Jul23 Jul08 Jun11 May22 May06 (condilenios di)AEBLY FRASER 110 3.00 22% 3.50    
CHI CHI'S SONG Jul22 Jul02 Jun17 Jun03 May22 (forster dav)MORALES SILVINO 117 8.00    
SCR  ADDENDUM Jul08 May20 Oct15 Oct01   (neigel tara)KHELAWAN KERRON 116 4.00 8% 11.90    
ALOBRAH Jun24 Jun10 May22 Oct16 Sep17 (barroby e)SANTO KIMAL 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.