Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Del Mar
Thursday - August 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DMR-1   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(6/1/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(6/1/3/7)-(3/10/2/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
DMR-2   WIN (6/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/3/7)-(3/10/2/4/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/7)-(3/10/2/4/6)-(11/5/4/2/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
DMR-3   WIN (3/10/2/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/2/4/6)-(3/10/2/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/2/4/6)-(3/10/2/4/6)-(3/10/2/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/10/2/4/6)-(11/5/4/2/6) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
    PK3 (3/10/2/4/6)-(11/5/4/2/6)-(2/4/10/8/1) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
DMR-4   WIN (11/5/4/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/5/4/2/6)-(11/5/4/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/5/4/2/6)-(11/5/4/2/6)-(11/5/4/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/5/4/2/6)-(2/4/10/8/1) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
    PK3 (11/5/4/2/6)-(2/4/10/8/1)-(5/9/6/8/4) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
DMR-5   WIN (2/4/10/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/10/8/1)-(2/4/10/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/10/8/1)-(2/4/10/8/1)-(2/4/10/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/4/10/8/1)-(5/9/6/8/4) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
    PK3 (2/4/10/8/1)-(5/9/6/8/4)-(3/1/4/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
DMR-6   WIN (5/9/6/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/6/8/4)-(5/9/6/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/6/8/4)-(5/9/6/8/4)-(5/9/6/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/6/8/4)-(3/1/4/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (5/9/6/8/4)-(3/1/4/6)-(6/8/1/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
DMR-7   WIN (3/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/6)-(3/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/6)-(3/1/4/6)-(3/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/4/6)-(6/8/1/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
DMR-8   WIN (6/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/1/5)-(6/8/1/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/1/5)-(6/8/1/7/5)-(6/8/1/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DMR-1   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLONDE BOMBSHELL Jun09 May14 Feb25 Jan15   (winick debb)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 15.00    
PINK ACE Apr22 Mar18       (d'a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 1.80 48% 1.10    
SCR  CAMP BASHORS CANDY Jul23         (baffert bob)BRAVO J 120 3.00    
SONG OF SHADOWS Jul02 Mar19 Feb19 Jan02   (miyadi steven)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 3.00    
QUICKLIKEABUNNY Jun25 Apr21 Mar18 Nov26 Oct21 (powell leon)HERRERA A 122 10.00 6% 15.70    
HOUSE OF MAGIC Jul04 Aug21       (miller peter)MALDONADO E 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
 
DMR-2   08/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHERN SLANG         (fincher to)VAN DRAYDEN 120 6.00 13% 6.80    
FACT OR FICTION Jul29         (nun)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 30.00    
ROJO PEQUENO         (howey quin)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 6.00 13% 6.80    
NESSO'S LASTHARRAH Jul08         (hernandez san)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 5.00    
PLEASEUSETHEPORTAL Jun18         (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 2.50    
DES DOIGTS Jun16         (ward a)SMITH E 120 1.60 38% 1.60    
VERITAS AEQUITAS         (dollase craig)MALDONADO E 120 6.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  NURCAN Apr07         ( )TBA null      
 
DMR-3   08/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACHGRASS Jul08 Jun11 Apr30 Apr02 Feb26 (fra)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 5.00    
PENS STREET Jul29 Jun16 Apr23 Feb05 Dec26 (crichton roha)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 4.00 11% 8.00    
AGREETODISAGREE Jul29 Jun11 May14 Apr01 Mar11 (mathis and)GONZALEZ RICARDO 121 4.00 55% 0.80    
BLOSSOMING Jul01 Jun23 Apr09 Feb25 Feb03 (nunez jesus)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
ROSES R BLUE Jun24 Jun02 May07 Apr30 Apr09 (aquino m)HARVEY B 121 20.00    
JACRODRA'S DEVIL Jul29 Jul08 May14 Apr15 Mar24 (mccanna tim)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
B B GUN BULLSEYE Jun10 May13 Apr07 Mar15 Feb23 (stevens sat)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 114 12.00    
LUCY L Jul29 Jul08 Jun23 Jun09 Apr30 (metz jeffrey)VAZQUEZ A 123 8.00    
DALLAS ALICE Jul08 Jun25 May29 Apr22 Feb03 (naranjo sa)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 116 15.00    
10  MORNING ADDICTION Jun25 Aug26 Jul04 Jun25 Apr15 (howey quinn)MALDONADO E 121 2.50 13% 6.80    
SCR  ZZYZX Jul29 Jul08 Jun11 May19 Apr23 (ordonez aggie)COUTON JULIEN 116 30.00    
SCR  ASPIRATIONAL May28 Apr21 Feb12 Dec22 Oct21 ( )TBA null      
 
DMR-4   08/10/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($82K) 2 ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GANTRY         (hanson r)ELLINGWOOD A 120 5.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of VIVACIOUS BEAUTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
STOLEN TREASURE         (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of LITTLE TREASURE by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
SPECIAL CLUB         (lewis a)FRESU ANTONIO 120 6.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of LOTTAWAMPUM by INDIAN CHARLIE)
CAPITAL OUTLAY         (miller peter)MALDONADO E 120 4.00 9% 10.40    
  (by MARKING out of GATOR PROWL by ROAR OF THE TIGER)
IMPEACHALOT         (koriner brian)VALDIVIA JR 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of IMPEACHED by PETESKI)
CUSSIN N FUSSIN         (freeman edw)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OM out of STARLET SKY by SKYWALKER)
HALO UNCLE Jul08         (bonde jeff)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 12.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of MO STYLE by UNCLE MO)
SCR  DONNIE THE CHIRO Jul22         (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 4.00    
  (by GRACE UPON GRACE out of ROBOTICA by IDE)
BURAQ'S REFLECTION Jul22 Jul02 Jun11     (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 8.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SMILING TIGRESS by SMILING TIGER)
SCR  GENTLEMEN'S CLUB Jul28         (lewis a)FRESU ANTONIO 120 10.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of GIRL DOWNSTAIRS by A. P. WARRIOR)
11  MR. CHIVAS Jul29 Jun11 May29 May12   (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 4.00 36% 1.80    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MISS ATHENA by CITY ZIP)
SCR  BALLYMUN Jul28         (miller peter)MALDONADO E 120 6.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of GRATTO by DISCREET CAT)
 
DMR-5   08/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($44K) 3 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WRONG SPOT Jun24 May21 May06 Apr05 Feb16 (ovi)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
DOS VICIOS Jun17 May28 May05 Apr15 Mar24 (calvario samuel)MALDONADO E 120 4.50 41% 1.50    
THIRSTY PAPPY Aug03 Jun18 Apr21 Mar19 Feb05 (miller pete)AGUILAR ARMANDO 113 5.00    
NAUVOO May26 Apr29 Mar31 Mar03 Jan21 (mulhall kristin)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00 22% 3.50    
STAR PROSPECT Jul03 Jun11 Apr02 Mar03 Feb03 (gaines carla)FRESU ANTONIO 120 6.00    
POST FACTO Apr29 Apr02 Mar03 Feb03 Jan08 (sadler w)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 5.00    
GOLDENSPA Jul23 Jun03 May13 Apr09 Mar11 (o'neill dou)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 10.00    
JERRY JEFF WALKER Jul09 Jun17 May14 Apr30 Apr02 (rivera leoba)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
CIRCLE THE MOON Jul03 Jun04 Jan06     (powell leon)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 118 15.00    
10  TRUSTY RUSTY Jun16 May26 May05 Apr29 Mar18 (d'amato phi)HERRERA A 120 4.00 7% 13.90    
SCR  TIZ TOK May26 Mar11 Feb17 Jan22 Jan15 (sadler john)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 5.00    
 
DMR-6   08/10/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($62K) 3 ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASTLEKNOCK Jun11 May06 Nov13 Oct23 Oct09 (miller peter)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 111 6.00    
ACQUIRED CLASS Jun11 May21 Apr22 Mar26 May20 (miller pete)HERRERA A 118 5.00    
MARKS HIP Jun11 May05 Apr09 Mar19 Jan21 (knapp steve)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 12.00    
ROLLING ON Jun17 May11 Apr16 Dec04 Oct07 (crichton rohan)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00 7% 12.90    
PLEASE FOCUS Jun17 May26 Apr30 Apr02 Mar19 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
SILENT SUNDAY Jun30 May29       (mathis andy)DESORMEAUX J 120 6.00 13% 6.40    
MENDEZ MILE Jul02 Apr21 Mar11 Mar04 Jun25 (mendez luis)LOPEZ D 122 20.00    
CRUZIN MAN Jun16 May11 Apr02 Mar10 Feb10 (crichton roha)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 6.00 13% 6.70    
RACHEL'S COACH Apr07 Mar12 Feb11 Jan16 Dec11 (kitchingman ada)MALDONADO E 120 8.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  JOHNNY DRAMA Jun18         (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 118 8.00    
 
DMR-7   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($83K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S BULLETPROOF Dec17 Nov12 Oct16 Sep09 Aug11 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
ROUBAIX Jun09 May05 Mar19 Nov04 Sep17 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 122 20.00    
STAY AND SCAM Jun18 May09       (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
TROUBLE N PARADISE Aug04 Jul08       (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
FLYMETOTHEMOONBABY Jul28 Jul04 Jun16 May26 Apr29 (val)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 12.00    
FRIED ASPARAGUS Jun23 Jun11 May19 Jan13 Nov26 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
DANZING CAT Jun10 Apr29 Jul22     (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 118 4.00    
EVERLYS GIRL Jul28 Jun23 Jun02 Apr02 Mar04 (stute gary)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 3.00    
 
DMR-8   08/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHT FURY Jul23 May14 Apr09 Mar16 Feb26 (crichton ro)HERRERA A 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
MONGOLIAN WIND Jul02 Jul24 Mar19 Jan28 Jan02 (lewis a)VAZQUEZ A 125 6.00    
NEW YORK DREAMS (GB) Jun04 May13 Apr29 Mar27 Mar05 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 125 12.00    
DANIEL SUN Jan04 Dec16 Sep24 Sep07 Aug08 (crichton roha)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 12.00    
CHASIN MUNNY Jul21 Jun16 Oct22 Sep04 Jul30 (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
OUR SILVER OAK Jun09 May20 Apr28 Apr08 Mar11 (puype mike)BRAVO J 125 4.00 69% 0.40    
DERECHO DANDY Jun02 May07 Jan27 Dec11 Nov05 (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 125 2.50    
CANE CREEK ROAD Jul22 Jun02 Aug27 Jun04 May30 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 125 4.00 6% 16.70    
DOMINANT SOUL Jul22 Mar25 Jan20 Nov26 Sep10 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 125 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.