Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Los Alamitos Tb
Saturday - July 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRC-1   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(3/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(3/5/1)-(3/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-2   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(3/2/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(3/2/5)-(6/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-3   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(6/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(6/5/4)-(1/5/7/2/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
LRC-4   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(1/5/7/2/9) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(1/5/7/2/9)-(5/4/6/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
LRC-5   WIN (1/5/7/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/2/9)-(1/5/7/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/2/9)-(1/5/7/2/9)-(1/5/7/2/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (1/5/7/2/9)-(5/4/6/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/2/9)-(5/4/6/1)-(2/5/7/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
LRC-6   WIN (5/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/6/1)-(2/5/7/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/1)-(2/5/7/1)-(8/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
LRC-7   WIN (2/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/7/1)-(8/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7/1)-(8/6/2)-(3/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-8   WIN (8/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/2)-(8/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/2)-(8/6/2)-(8/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (8/6/2)-(3/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
LRC-9   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRC-1   07/08/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($29K) 2 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PRIME TIME PORTA         (howey quinn)VAZQUEZ A 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
3  ACE OF CLUBS         (o'neill do)VAN DRAYDEN 120 3.00    
4  SALSATION         (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 120 3.50    
5  HALO UNCLE         (bonde jeff)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 5.00 7% 14.10    
6  ELIGIO         (oviedo phi)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 2.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  FACT OR FICTION         ( )TBA null      
 
LRC-2   07/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHVERE ARBETER May19 Apr22 Mar25 Mar03 Feb10 (cam)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 2.00 12% 7.70    
2  TALKATIVE GAL Jun23 May27 Apr02 Jan06 Dec18 (gomez ruben)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 3.50    
3  LUCY L Jun23 Jun09 Apr30 Mar19 Feb17 (metz jeffrey)VAZQUEZ A 126 3.00 50% 1.00    
4  MOVINGLIKEAWINNER Jun17 May27 May05 Sep05 Aug07 (metz jeffre)HERRERA A 124 10.00    
5  TROJAN WAY May07 Mar17 Feb17 Jan20 Dec17 (aguirre pau)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 1.80 18% 4.70    
 
LRC-3   07/08/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTY MUPPET         (mccarthy mi)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 6.00    
  (by TONALIST out of DELLAROSA by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  KALIFORNA K         (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 120 2.00 18% 4.70    
  (by YOSHIDA (JPN) out of TOTAL WAR by WAR PASS)
3  BENEDETTA         (callaghan )HERNANDEZ J 120 1.80 42% 1.40    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of TESSIE FLIP by GRAND SLAM)
4  IFUAINTFIRSTURLAST May27         (brinkerhoff va)CEDILLO ABEL 120 10.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of MORNING DANCE by BROKEN VOW)
5  TAMBO         (eurton peter)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00 7% 13.60    
  (by ENTICED out of FLATTER ME FIRST by FLATTER)
6  HAYLEY AMBER         (dealba cesa)HERRERA A 117 4.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of BABY ZITO by CURLIN)
 
LRC-4   07/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEEDING STYLE Jun23 May21 Apr02 Mar19 Mar04 (metz jeffre)HERRERA A 124 3.50    
2  BIG CHEDDAR Jun23 Oct10 Sep25 Sep17 Jul09 (rivera sally)ORTEGA CESAR 124 2.50    
SCR  OIL CAN KNIGHT Feb11 Dec18 Dec09 Nov18   (pineda g)VAZQUEZ A 124 1.80    
4  DEBT MONGER Jun23 Dec18 Sep23 Aug27 Aug21 (aquino m)HARVEY B 124 20.00 6% 15.00    
5  AWESOME HEIGHTS May13 Apr21 Mar25 Mar04 Feb18 (vuocolo al)AGUILAR ARMANDO 121 8.00 10% 9.00    
6  FACTS MATTER Jun23 Jun04 May07 Apr29 Mar19 (ruiz lorenzo)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 119 3.50 46% 1.20    
7  BIG CREEK Jun23 Feb26 Jan23     (farias adan)GARCIA ERICK 124 20.00    
 
LRC-5   07/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORCESTER Jun11 May26 Feb04 Jan15 Dec26 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.00 41% 1.50    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of LIL SUPER BEAR by SUPER SAVER)
2  FLAT ON May29 Apr30 Apr01 Jan22 Jan02 (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SHANON NICOLE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
3  CAPTAIN CHOOCHIES Jun18 May05       (pap)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 20.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MIGHTY RENEE by MARIA'S MON)
4  ADVENTURESOME May29 May12 Apr22     (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 120 10.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of BOODLES by FORTY NINER)
5  FIFTH STREET Jun18         (baffert bob)BRAVO J 120 4.50 27% 2.70    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MILAM by STREET SENSE)
6  HAPPY TEARS May29         (mccarthy mi)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WATCH YOUR SIX by DISCREETLY MINE)
7  MUCINO Jun09 Apr07 Jan27 Jan01 Dec09 (o'neill dou)HERRERA A 120 15.00 9% 9.60    
  (by NYQUIST out of INDIAN TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
8  CLASSICALLY May12 Mar25 Feb20     (d'amato philip)FREY KYLE 126 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FANTICOLA by SILENT NAME)
9  PURE FIRE Jun03 Jul24 Jun18     (sadler w)CEDILLO ABEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of JULIETTE AVA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
LRC-6   07/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISTANT STEPPES         (knapp steve)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 119 6.00 6% 15.10    
2  LA'OCH ALOYSIUS May14 Dec03 Nov11 Sep30 Sep03 (herrick joe)ORTEGA CESAR 126 8.00    
3  TIGER'S ARROW Jun24 Apr14 Feb17 Jan20 Jan02 (vallejo gen)RAMIREZ RICARDO 126 4.50    
4  MY BROTHER MIKE Dec31 Dec10 Nov23 Nov05 Oct14 (barocio lib)AGUILAR ARMANDO 121 5.00 13% 6.80    
5  CHARLIE'S GHOST Jun23 May19 Apr28 Feb26   (pal)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 1.60 41% 1.50    
6  DANZING DREAM         (sise j)MALDONADO E 120 6.00 13% 6.80    
7  PAT CAN'T COUNT Jun24 Mar04 Feb10 Dec17   (guillen s)HARVEY B 120 30.00    
8  WE NEED MARKETING Jun24 May12 Apr01 Mar17 Feb10 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 8.00    
SCR  REAL THIRSTY         (aquino angela )GARCIA ERICK 120 30.00    
 
LRC-7   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZZYZX Jun11 May19 Apr23 Jul23   (ordonez agg)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  TEEN DRAMA Jun24 Jun02 May07 Apr09 Mar12 (knapp steve)CEDILLO ABEL 126 1.80 51% 1.00    
3  ROSY EDGE May12 Mar27 Feb20 Jan21 Sep25 (powell leon)HERRERA A 126 4.50    
4  DALLAS ALICE Jun25 May29 Apr22 Feb03 Jan16 (naranjo sa)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 120 12.00    
5  HOT THOUGHTS Mar11 Dec11 Nov20 Sep22 Aug25 (koriner brian)VAZQUEZ A 120 2.50 17% 4.80    
6  ROMAN EMPRESS Jun25 Jun02 May19 Apr22 Mar27 (saavedra anthony )FREY KYLE 126 10.00    
7  SPOILED ROTTEN Jun24 Jun02 May07 Mar12 Feb12 (stute gary)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 119 3.00 8% 11.20    
SCR  LASTING LOVE Apr23 Mar09 Jan22 Dec18   ( )TBA null      
 
LRC-8   07/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISS MY KAT Jun18 Jun04 May07 Apr23 Mar27 (periban jorge)CEDILLO ABEL 124 8.00    
2  LA DEUXIEME ETOILE Jun10 Mar27 Mar09 Feb10 Feb03 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 8.00 10% 9.40    
3  ESSENTIAL BUSINESS Jun11 Oct30 Oct07 Sep11 Aug07 (o'neill dou)HERRERA A 124 3.00    
SCR  EVERLYS GIRL Jun23 Jun02 Apr02 Mar04 Feb05 (pineda g)MALDONADO E 126 8.00    
SCR  BELLA RENELLA Jun18 Jun02 Apr02 Mar17 Apr02 (pin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 2.00    
6  SHEZA GIRLY GIRL Jun02 May06 Apr07 Mar09 Feb10 (ruiz lorenzo)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 119 8.00 29% 2.40    
7  SHANGHAI SUNRISE Jun18 Mar19 Feb10 Jan13 Dec17 (morfin serg)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 12.00    
8  DON'T JU FORGET Nov25 Nov04 Oct09 Sep05 Jul29 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.50 30% 2.30    
 
LRC-9   07/08/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Los Alamitos Derby Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 8:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YELLOW BRICK May29 Apr30 Mar11 Feb12 Jan22 (mandel)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 8.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of A LITTLE BIT SASSY by MORE THAN READY)
2  REINCARNATE May06 Apr01 Feb25 Jan08 Nov25 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.40    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of ALLANAH by ALWASMI)
3  SKINNER Apr08 Mar04 Feb12 Oct08 Sep11 (shirreffs john)SMITH E 122 1.60 36% 1.80    
  (by CURLIN out of WINDING WAY by MALIBU MOON)
4  PRINCE ABU DHABI May28 Apr29 Mar31 Feb11 Sep04 (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 8.00 25% 3.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  SMART MO May26         (shirreffs john)BRAVO J 122 4.50 14% 6.10    
  (by MO TOWN out of VENDITA by SMART STRIKE)
6  ABELIEFINTHISLIVIN Jun03 May04 Mar27 Aug13 Jul31 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 122 15.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of HALF A. P. by PULPIT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.