Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Grants Pass
Saturday - July 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GRP-2   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-4   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-6   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GRP-2   07/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWISS SCRIPT Aug27 Aug12 Jul04 Jun21   (boyle )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 6.00 22% 3.60    
BADGER GAL Jun24 Jun18 May21 May13 Jan15 (hof d)SMITH E 126 3.00 23% 3.30    
CAL'S GIRL Aug11 Jun21       (bumgardner)PRECIADO A 126 4.00    
HYPHY Jun18 Oct15 Oct09 Aug27 Aug21 (maelfeyt brun)LOPEZ E 126 1.00 30% 2.40    
UNBRIDLED BIRDIE Jun24 Jun27 Jun21     (goode cry)JENSEN P 126 8.00    
 
GRP-4   07/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAD ACTRESS Jun17 Oct15 Aug26 Aug21 Aug11 (maelfeyt b)PRECIADO A 126 3.50 18% 4.50    
ELECTRIC ELIZABETA Jun24 Aug28 Aug19 Jun27 Jun20 (hurley denn)GUERRERO C 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
STEEL NERVES Jun17 Aug21 Jul16 Jul01 Jun12 (hurley de)JENSEN P 126 4.50    
SWEET MEG Jun17 Nov16 Oct15 Oct09 Sep18 (williams gab)SMITH E 126 3.00    
MISSY PARKER Jun17 Jun10 Aug26 Aug19 Aug10 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 126 4.00    
BABY CHOCOLATE Jun21         (boyle )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.00 54% 0.80    
 
GRP-6   07/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENSATIONAL CITY Jun17 May04       (lyons kendra)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by GIACOMO out of CITY SENSATION by CITY ZIP)
SCR  FOOLISH FLASH         (hof d)SMITH E 124 4.00 15% 5.50    
  (by SIXTHIRTEEN out of MISS CHATT by WAR CHANT)
JADED SECRETS Jun18 Mar08 Feb07 Jan12   (lopez s)LOPEZ E 126 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by RAISED A SECRET out of JADELET by SKIP AWAY)
ELLE VICTOIRE Jun17 Aug27 Aug06 Jul11 Jun27 (crystal du)PRECIADO A 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRAVE VICTORY out of CONGO KAYE by CONGAREE)
WARNING SOUND Jun17 Aug27 Aug19 Aug07 Jul09 (hurley)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.50    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of SOUL SOUND by ELUSIVE WARNING)
DASHINGMOONLIGHT Jun17         (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 124 10.00    
  (by GIACOMO out of CHURCHBELLSRINGING by IN EXCESS (IRE))
ZEPHYR CAT Aug21 Jul09 Jun17     (hurley de)JENSEN P 126 10.00    
  (by SIERRA SUNSET out of STARRY CAT by TABASCO CAT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.