Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Sunday - May 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/5)-(6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
GP-2   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/3/5)-(6/1/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/1)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-3   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3/5)-(4/6/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(4/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-4   WIN (4/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/2)-(4/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/2)-(4/7/3/2)-(4/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/3/2)-(3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
GP-5   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/1)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-6   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(2/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-7   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5/1)-(2/7/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(4/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-8   WIN (4/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/7)-(4/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/7)-(4/8/7)-(4/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/8/7)-(6/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-9   WIN (6/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   05/14/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHROME GHOST May04         (sano antonio)MENESES MARCOS 118 12.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of PINK TRILLIUM by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
LAST SHIFT Apr15 Mar12       (sano antonio)REYES LEONEL 118 4.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of NATALIE VICTORIA by INDIAN OCEAN)
MR. RHODIUM Apr23 Apr06 Mar19 Feb10 Dec26 (plesa edward)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 4.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of CARESSIVE by A.P. INDY)
BALTIC MULE         (o'dwyer j)CAMACHO JR 118 12.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of SPELLKER by CITY ZIP)
YEAGER Apr21 Aug22       (orseno f)PEREZ EDGAR 118 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of GOOD TIME SALLY by FORESTRY)
FREE SMOKE Apr06 Mar09 Feb09     (david carlos )MORALES ANGEL 111 3.50 40% 1.50    
  (by BUCCHERO out of MISS PROPITIOUS by J P'S GUSTO)
CHAPLIN Apr07 Mar25       (weaver george)JARAMILLO E 118 4.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CLASSY DANCER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
GP-2   05/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICKSTYLE Apr20 Mar19 Mar05 Feb08   (yanez re)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 1.80 19% 4.30    
GRATIA Mar31 Mar19 Mar08 Feb23 Feb10 (dakin a)HENRY WESLEY 118 20.00    
APPLE LOVER Apr23 Mar31 Mar02 Jan26 Jan06 (orseno f)PEREZ EDGAR 118 6.00    
SUBTLE SENORITA Apr23 Mar19 Feb23     (palmer ni)CAMACHO JR 118 6.00    
BONNIE SANDRA Apr29 Apr07 Mar24 Feb25   (gulick m)PANICI LUCA 118 5.00    
TROTTING GEAR Apr20 Apr02 Mar01     (pompay terri)MORALES ANGEL 111 2.00 51% 0.90    
LADY BOURBON Apr20 Mar05 Feb24 Jan27 Dec30 (simms herold)BORACO DAVID 118 20.00    
 
GP-3   05/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($29K) 3 ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COPPERMASTER Apr20 Jan06 Dec10 Nov05 Oct15 (d'angelo jos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 4.00    
CAJUN HOPE Apr15 Oct01 Sep03 Aug06 Jul16 (yates michael)RIOS M 120 3.50    
GRAND ROCK Jan12 Nov26 Oct22 Jul16   (barboza victor )JARAMILLO E 120 8.00 8% 11.40    
QUINCY CAFE Apr15 Mar09 Feb12 Jan18 Dec17 (valery paul)REYES LEONEL 120 3.00 39% 1.50    
ENGLISH BOB Apr26 Mar31 Mar16 Jan29 Dec23 (pita daniel)MORELOS E 122 4.50    
D COLDEST Apr28 Mar19 Feb15 Oct07 Aug28 (crichton roha)MORALES ANGEL 113 3.50 24% 3.20    
HEXAGON (IRE) Mar05 Nov20       (barboza vict)MENESES MARCOS 120 15.00    
 
GP-4   05/14/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHT FURY Apr09 Mar16 Feb26 Jan20 Oct21 (crichton roh)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 8.00    
NOVGOROD THE GREAT Apr29 Mar18 Jan20 Nov26 Oct09 (gulick m)PANICI LUCA 120 12.00 7% 12.80    
KARTANO Mar12 Feb11 Jan01 Dec16 Nov06 (barboza victor )PEREZ EDGAR 120 4.50 7% 12.70    
CHARLES CHROME Apr23 Mar08 Feb09 Jan18 Dec14 (crichton )CAMACHO JR 120 3.50 42% 1.40    
CASHIER CHECK Apr22 Mar26 Feb18 Nov05 Sep30 (barboza victor)REYES LEONEL 120 6.00    
VLADISLAV Apr22 Apr07 Mar25 Mar16 Feb15 (sano anton)PIMENTEL JR 122 3.50    
INDY LYON Apr07 Mar19 Feb18 Dec28 Dec07 (maragh shamir)JARAMILLO E 120 2.50 18% 4.50    
 
GP-5   05/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPETUOUS SOUL Apr30 Apr21 Apr07 Mar12 Feb17 (sierra r)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 125 4.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  PROPELLANT Mar31 Mar19 Mar04 Jan22 Dec14 (maker j)JARAMILLO E 118 3.50    
EMBER Apr21 Mar26 Mar05 Apr24   (d'angelo jose)MORALES ANGEL 118 3.00 60% 0.70    
ROCK THE WEEKEND Apr22 Mar11 Feb19     (antonucci je)MORELOS E 118 10.00    
BROOKLYN DREAMS Apr27         (sano antonio)KRIGGER K 118 12.00    
NOTARY SOJAC         (joseph saffie )REYES LEONEL 125 3.50    
ENZO'S WORLD Apr30 Mar23 Feb26 Jan29 Dec02 (hernandez)CAMACHO JR 118 4.00    
 
GP-6   05/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUDESFIRSTDARLING Apr23 Mar25 Feb24 Apr16   (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 124 15.00    
AWESOME ANNMARIE Mar22 Feb17 Jan19 Dec21 Dec08 (wilensky her)GONZALEZ EDWIN 124 3.00 14% 6.30    
RAIN Apr02 Mar03 Feb03 Jan13 Dec11 (maragh colli)MORELOS E 124 6.00 12% 7.10    
DOVE IN CHARGE Apr09 Feb01 Mar16 Feb25 Jan06 (crichton roh)MORRISON AILSA 117 6.00    
MILES OF SMILES Dec09 Nov04 Sep23 Aug14 Jul15 (orseno joseph)MORALES ANGEL 117 3.50    
SOPHIA'S STORM Apr22 Apr02 Mar17 Feb15 Jan26 (sierra ruben)REYES LEONEL 124 1.40 43% 1.30    
 
GP-7   05/14/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Mr. Steele Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND DAVID Mar15 Dec26 Nov05 Sep06 Jul30 (barboza victor )PEREZ EDGAR 122 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of TIZA SMARTY by TIZNOW)
ME AND MR. C Mar26 Jan21 Nov06 Sep05 Jul24 (maker j)JARAMILLO E 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
  (by KHOZAN out of ABIDING by DYNAFORMER)
FREDO Apr22 Mar19 Feb17 Jan20 Dec16 (sano antonio)ZAPICO SILVIA 120 20.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ALIENATED by GONE WEST)
SCR  HOT BLOODED Apr20 Mar10 Feb10 Jan21 Dec15 (david carlos)MORELOS E 122 4.00    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of HOT CAPPUCINO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
CANDY TYCOON Apr30 Mar04 Feb10 Jul04 Jun10 (goodman gedali)RIOS M 122 6.00 11% 8.10    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of LIBERTY'S LYRIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SARATOGA FLASH Apr02 Feb12 Dec24 Oct13 Aug20 (joseph saffie )REYES LEONEL 120 4.50    
  (by LAOBAN out of FLASH ACT by ACTIVADO (URU))
MAX K. O. Apr02 Feb26 Jan21 Dec15 Sep01 (joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 4.00 21% 3.70    
  (by J P'S GUSTO out of FUNKY FRAULEIN by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
VALUE PROPOSITION (GB) Apr29 Apr02 Mar04 Feb10 Jan01 (goodman ge)PIMENTEL JR 122 15.00    
  (by DANSILI (GB) out of DASH TO THE FRONT (GB) by DIKTAT (GB))
 
GP-8   05/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CREATE AGAIN Apr20 Feb24 Jan05 Oct13 Sep03 (walder peter)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 2.00    
I'LL FIGURE IT OUT Apr21 Mar25 Mar11 Feb24 Jan27 (sweezey kent)PEREZ EDGAR 120 6.00    
SCR  ADVENTURE SEEKER Mar02 Jan29 Feb25 Jan12   (croft bar)CAMACHO JR 120 15.00    
RHYMES LIKE DIMES Apr20 Mar24 Feb16 Feb03 Jan08 (young jennif)MORELOS E 120 6.00 27% 2.80    
ASSERTIKO Apr22 Mar25 Feb24 Jan15 Dec11 (jackson gary)MENESES MARCOS 120 15.00    
LOUD MOUTH Apr16 Feb24 Sep02 Aug18 Jul24 (hernandez sandi)JARAMILLO E 120 2.50    
MR MAC QUHAE Oct09 Sep07 Aug20 Aug07 May12 (richards renal)REYES LEONEL 120 8.00 16% 5.30    
TONE FEELIN Mar25 Mar01 Feb16 Jan25 Dec30 (orseno joseph)MORALES ANGEL 113 8.00 18% 4.40    
 
GP-9   05/14/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIVA VICTORY Apr15 Mar13 Feb19 Jan26 Jan08 (dobber arnoud )RIOS M 123 30.00    
POINT LIAM Apr21 Feb11 Dec17 Nov19 Oct15 (pompay terri)REYES LEONEL 118 10.00    
EXECUTIVE SEARCH Mar30 Mar02 Nov26 Nov06 Oct16 (palmer nicho)MENESES MARCOS 123 6.00 16% 5.10    
UNSOCIABLE Apr16 Mar19 Jan14 Nov25 Sep16 (d'angelo f)JARAMILLO E 123 2.50 23% 3.30    
SILARDI Apr07 Mar08 Feb15 Nov24 Aug20 (sweezey kent)PEREZ EDGAR 123 3.00    
ADIOS ASHER Apr22 Mar16 Mar02 Jan22 Nov26 (hurtak daniel)MORALES ANGEL 116 4.50 25% 3.00    
RICHY Apr16 Mar18 Aug27 Jul30 Jun03 (gulick m)PANICI LUCA 125 4.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  JETAROS Apr23 Apr07       (pompay terri)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.