Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Sunday - April 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/5)-(1/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(1/3/4)-(6/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-2   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(6/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(6/2/4)-(1/6/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-3   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(1/6/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(1/6/4/3)-(5/7/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SA-4   WIN (1/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/3)-(1/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/3)-(1/6/4/3)-(1/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/4/3)-(5/7/1/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4/3)-(5/7/1/3)-(6/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SA-5   WIN (5/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/3)-(6/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/3)-(6/5/7)-(2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-6   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/7)-(2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7)-(2/3)-(7/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-7   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/3)-(7/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(7/1/6)-(2/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-8   WIN (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/6)-(7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/6)-(2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6)-(2/1)-(1/5/3/12/7) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
SA-9   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/8)-(2/1/8) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/1)-(1/5/3/12/7) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
SA-10   WIN (1/5/3/12/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/12/7)-(1/5/3/12/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/12/7)-(1/5/3/12/7)-(1/5/3/12/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   04/30/2023 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG HOPES Mar31 Jan29 Sep05 Aug13   (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 6.00    
SQUARED SHADY Apr07 Mar05 Mar11 Feb20 Jan23 (ordonez aggi)DESORMEAUX J 126 6.00    
HOTITUDE Apr10         (mulhall kristin)BRAVO J 126 4.00    
VELLA Apr07 Jan13 Dec17 Nov12 Sep24 (trela rosem)HERRERA A 126 12.00    
KLEEN KARMA Jan07 Oct15 Oct02 Sep04 Jul29 (lewis a)MALDONADO E 126 1.60 10% 8.60    
BOSS LADY Mar19         (mul)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 2.50 57% 0.80    
LOV U MEAN IT Apr08 Mar11 Jun04 May14   (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 118 12.00    
 
SA-2   04/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISSA COURT Mar26 Jan28 Nov27 Oct07 Jan16 (blacker daniel)VAZQUEZ A 126 1.40 42% 1.40    
LUCY L Mar19 Feb17 Jan20 Dec17 Nov18 (yakteen tim)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 3.00    
BEACHGRASS Apr02 Feb26 Jan28 Jan13 Nov20 (desormeaux j)DESORMEAUX J 126 2.50 22% 3.60    
CALIFORNIA GIGI Mar25 Mar17 Feb10 Dec29 Dec04 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 126 4.00 8% 11.20    
ROSES R BLUE Apr09 Mar19 Feb20 Jan06 Dec17 (knapp steve)HERRERA A 126 8.00    
 
SA-3   04/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I WILL BE KING         (deleon rafael)PAYERAS EDGAR 118 4.00    
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of CHELCEE'S HOPE by BARTOK (IRE))
LAST CALL LONDON         (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 17% 4.80    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of ZO LO'S LOV by EMPIRE WAY)
THIRSTY THURSDAY         (howey quinn)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 8.00 5% 17.20    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of BRILLIANT MELODY by CORNISH PRINCE)
THIRSTY GAMBLER         (craigmyle keit)GARCIA ERICK 118 5.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of VEGAS BOUND by STORM WOLF)
GOING MOBILE         (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MOBILIZE by WAR FRONT)
MICI'S EXPRESS         (knapp steve)VAZQUEZ A 118 4.00    
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of HARLAN EXPRESS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  SMOKEM EZ         ( )TBA null      
  (by SMOKEM out of EZ INDY by A.P. INDY)
 
SA-4   04/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 M/F PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAREEHA (IRE) Apr02 Feb26 Jan29 Nov11 Sep18 (mccarthy mic)DESORMEAUX J 126 1.80 47% 1.10    
  (by SHAMARDAL out of SARAHA by DANSILI (GB))
MAGIC LIGHT Apr07 May07 Jan06     (drysda)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 8.00    
  (by CURLIN out of RIGOLETTA by CONCERTO)
ANKYRAH Jan21 Nov06 Oct01 Sep03 Feb18 (han)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of DOUXRAH by RAHY)
MARINAS TINA (IRE) Apr02 Jan22       (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 2.50 12% 7.40    
  (by BELARDO out of PILE OU FACE by EXCEED AND EXCEL (AUS))
CREATIVELY (IRE)         (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
  (by ZOFFANY (IRE) out of GENUINE QUALITY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
LUMINIFEROUS Apr02 Feb18 Dec30 Nov13   (papaprodromou geo)SMITH E 118 2.50 18% 4.60    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of WAVE THEORY by SMART STRIKE)
HAPPY HAPPY Apr02 Mar11 Feb12     (gallagher )VAN DRAYDEN 126 30.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LAKE NAIVASHA by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
SA-5   04/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 ALL PT- 6:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXTHELEGEND Feb12 Jan22 Nov26 Oct30   (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00 15% 5.60    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LIFE'S BLESSINGS by TAPIT)
FLAT ON Apr01 Jan22 Jan02 Nov13   (eurton peter)SMITH E 118 5.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SHANON NICOLE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SEVENTEEN BLACK Apr01 Mar04       (hofmans dav)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 20.00 14% 6.20    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of AMERICAN SUGAR by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
BLUE DOG Apr07 Feb20 Jan30     (headley kar)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 8.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of POSSIBLY A TEN by SEEKING THE GOLD)
YELLOW BRICK Mar11 Feb12 Jan22 Dec26   (mandella richar)VAZQUEZ A 118 1.80 31% 2.20    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of A LITTLE BIT SASSY by MORE THAN READY)
EL PERFECTO Apr08 Aug13       (desormeaux j)DESORMEAUX J 118 20.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of VOYAGE by RAHY)
PALAGIO Apr01 Jan27 Dec26 Nov18 Sep02 (shirreffs john)BRAVO J 126 3.00 20% 4.10    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of HOT ROOTS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
SA-6   04/30/2023 7920ft TURF RC11 FIRM Santa Barbara Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXIT SOUL Mar18 Jan29 Apr08 Jan29   (mccarthy mic)DESORMEAUX J 120 4.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of MAHEE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  JIBBER JABBER (IRE) Mar25 Feb11 Jan20 Nov18 Oct16 (sal)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 8.00 16% 5.20    
  (by UNKNOWN out of QUICK CHAT by FIRST DEFENCE)
DUVET DAY (IRE) Mar12 Jan21 Dec26 Nov24 Oct15 (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50    
  (by STARSPANGLEDBANNER out of JE T'ADORE by SPUN TO RUN)
SCARABEA Apr22 Dec31 Nov24 Oct08 Aug19 (harty eoin)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of STARSTRUCK (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
QUEEN OFTHE TEMPLE Mar12 Jan21 Nov24 Oct08 Jul28 (blacker daniel)BRAVO J 120 3.00 20% 3.90    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of QUEENAMEINA by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
SEISAI (IRE) Apr01         (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LILLEBONNE by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
ZEYARAAT Apr01 May03 Mar27 Feb19   (cerin )BERRIOS ISAAC 120 20.00 9% 10.40    
  (by HONOR CODE out of BUNEYA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
SA-7   04/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIMBA WARRIOR Mar31 Mar04 Feb03 Jan06 Nov05 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 124 10.00    
ULTIMATE GAMBLE Apr01 Aug13       (glatt mark)SMITH E 118 1.20 57% 0.80    
KATONAH Apr09 Mar05 Feb03 Jan13   (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 2.00 19% 4.20    
GHAZAALY         (cerin vladim)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 6.00    
MASTERING Apr07 Dec03 Oct08 Jul23   (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 126 4.00    
GOT THUNDER Mar17 Feb11 Jan15 Jul09 May30 (sadler w)FREY KYLE 124 12.00    
 
SA-8   04/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC12 FIRM Wilshire Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACADAMIA (BRZ) Mar04 Feb03 Dec03 Aug19 Jul22 (d'amato phili)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 5.00 14% 6.00    
  (by HAT TRICK (JPN) out of UNE AUTRE ETOILE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
VERY SCARY Apr01 Mar11 Feb04 Dec19 Nov29 (kruljac ian)DESORMEAUX J 120 10.00    
  (by CONNECT out of SUMMER READING by HARD SPUN)
SCR  RHEA MOON (IRE) Dec26 Oct29 Aug21 Jul24 Jun04 (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
  (by STARSPANGLEDBANNER (AUS) out of CALLISTO STAR by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
THUNDER RUN Mar25         (knapp steve)SMITH E 120 30.00    
  (by LEA out of MARI'S THUNDER by THUNDER GULCH)
CLOSING REMARKS Apr01 Mar04 Feb04 Dec31 Mar26 (gaines carla)BRAVO J 124 3.00    
  (by VRONSKY out of ORANGE COVE by UNUSUAL HEAT)
CANOODLING Apr08 May30 May01 Mar05 Jan29 (puype mike)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 6.00 7% 12.90    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MIZ KELLA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
QUATTROELLE (IRE) Mar04 Feb04 Dec31 Nov24 Oct15 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by MEHMAS out of HEAVENLY RIVER by HEAVENLY CHORUS)
 
SA-9   04/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER CHIEF May13         (barocio lib)HERRERA A 126 3.00 8% 12.00    
MY MAN BAGS Mar19 Jan20 Dec09 Nov18 Sep18 (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 2.50 69% 0.40    
MOOSE MITCHELL Mar18 Feb10 Jan07 Dec02 Nov06 (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 4.00    
STAY IN THE GAME Apr09 Mar19 Mar04 Jan21 Jan07 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 116 4.00    
SCR  EL DIABLO ROJO Mar19 Jan21 Dec18 Nov06 Oct21 (pin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 8.00    
SMILE FOR GLORY Feb20 Jan07 Dec16 Oct16 Oct02 (mccarthy sean)FREY KYLE 126 12.00    
SCR  ROYAL HALO Mar25 Jul23 Jul01 Jun12 May14 (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 118 10.00    
GOLF DRAMA Oct29 Sep23 Sep04 May14   (bonde jeff)SMITH E 118 12.00    
 
SA-10   04/30/2023 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 M/F PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA PEER Dec30 Nov13 Oct02 Sep09 Aug04 (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 118 4.00 21% 3.80    
  (by GIRVIN out of TANITA BELLE by PULPIT)
JAI HO         (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ADJUST by AFFIRMED)
FREE AND HUMBLE Sep09 Jul30 Jul04     (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 12% 7.70    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of HELP THE CHILDREN by STORMY ATLANTIC)
JENSCO         (shirreffs john)BRAVO J 118 6.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of RON RHONDA by LAWYER RON)
FOOLISH Mar17 Feb12 Jan20     (yakteen tim)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 3.50 16% 5.30    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of PEARL IN THE SAND by FOOTSTEPSINTHESAND)
CARSON JEN Mar17 Feb12 Dec30 Dec03 Oct08 (papaprodro)VAN DRAYDEN 118 20.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MISS MAHALIA by UNCLE MO)
SOCIALLY SMART Jan28 Jan02 Nov13     (koriner bri)HERRERA A 126 8.00 9% 10.10    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SOCIAL CALL by TOPSIDER)
UNJOKABLE         (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 118 6.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of WILLOWBERN by BERNARDINI)
10  STRIKINGLY Mar18 Feb20 Dec22 Oct06 Sep03 (polanc)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 15.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of STAR SERENADE by CATRAIL)
11  ROCKIN TO THE BOSS         (gal)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 20.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of ROCK WALL by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
12  IRRESISTIBLE FORCE Mar31 Mar05       (nehf jay)SMITH E 118 12.00 10% 8.80    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of PARISIAN AFFAIR by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  HOT TEA Mar18         ( )TBA null      
  (by NYQUIST out of TEA TIME by PULPIT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.