Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hastings Racecourse
Sunday - April 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HST-1   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
HST-2   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
HST-3   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(2/3/5)-(3/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
HST-4   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
HST-5   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
HST-6   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
HST-7   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/3/6)-(4/2/3/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HST-1   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THERE GOES MY HERO         (henson steve)AEBLY FRASER 105 8.00    
2  TEXAS LEGACY Oct09 Sep24 Aug06 Jul17 Jun05 (snow john)SANTO KIMAL 117 1.60 14% 6.40    
SCR  SELF SERVING         (henson stev)MORALES SILVINO 115 5.00    
4  MILO'S COMMAND Aug13 Jul16       (mendoza edg)KHELAWAN KERRON 115 3.00 10% 9.30    
5  FILLY FATALE Oct16 Oct01 Sep17 Aug22 Aug01 (grieve larry)PEREZ AMADEO 115 2.00 50% 1.00    
 
HST-2   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS THE HYPE Oct22 Sep25 Sep10 Aug14 Jul23 (mendoza edgar)PEREZ AMADEO 124 1.60 41% 1.40    
2  PERFECT PENNY Oct16 Oct02 Sep17 Aug23   (henson stev)MORALES SILVINO 124 10.00    
SCR  LILSISTERLEE Aug13 Jul24 Jul01 Jun05   (cloutier)SEECHARAN C 117 6.00 9% 9.80    
4  BEST ONE YET Oct02 Sep17 Aug23 Jul23 Jun25 (henson steve)AEBLY FRASER 114 2.50    
5  DRILL BABY DRILL Oct16 Oct02 Sep25 Aug30 Aug06 (snow mel)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 124 1.80 21% 3.80    
 
HST-3   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M A CHI TOO Dec09 Dec02 Nov11 Oct14 Sep23 (condilenios di)AEBLY FRASER 114 3.50 26% 2.90    
2  MAKEITORBREAKIT Oct22 Oct01 Sep18 Jul17 Jul01 (cloutier mark)PEREZ AMADEO 120 6.00    
3  DON W Oct22 Oct02 Aug01 Jun05 May22 (neigel tara)KHELAWAN KERRON 124 1.80 23% 3.30    
4  FOOT SOLDIER Oct22 Oct01 Sep18 Jul31 Jul10 (condilenios)MORALES SILVINO 120 2.50 24% 3.30    
5  BARNEY GOOGLE Oct22 Oct15 Oct02 Sep18 Aug23 (henson rober)WILLIAMS SCOTT 120 3.00    
 
HST-4   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH LUNA Oct22 Oct09 Sep18 Aug30 Aug07 (henson steve)AEBLY FRASER 110 4.50    
2  IMA DAREDEVIL Dec08 Dec01 Nov05 Oct20 Sep13 (condilenios di)PEREZ AMADEO 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
3  PINEAPPLE TIDBITS Oct16 Sep24 Sep10 Aug30 Aug06 (pederson ke)MORALES SILVINO 120 2.00 19% 4.20    
4  ARIKARA Oct16 Oct09 Sep17 Aug13 Jul23 (condilenios )WILLIAMS SCOTT 120 3.50    
5  ANOTHERSUNNYDAY Oct16 Sep18 Aug30 Jul31 Jul17 (cond)REYES AMBROSIO 120 3.00 14% 5.90    
 
HST-5   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUVEE TOO Oct08 Sep18 Aug06 Jul10 Jun19 (snow john)AEBLY FRASER 110 6.00    
2  RACING RIVER Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 Aug30 Aug14 (henson rober)WILLIAMS SCOTT 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
3  APPELLANT Oct15 Oct08 Sep25 Sep10 Aug06 (jewe)REYES AMBROSIO 120 5.00 30% 2.30    
4  KNOPFLER Oct22 Oct02 Sep17 Aug23 Aug06 (pederson ke)KHELAWAN KERRON 120 6.00    
5  MR. QUALITY Oct22 Oct02 Aug29 Aug14 Jul16 (condilenios di)PEREZ AMADEO 120 3.00 9% 9.90    
6  YOU DON'T OWN ME Oct09 Sep25 Sep10 Aug30 Aug14 (milburn )SEECHARAN C 120 4.50    
SCR  AVE'S IN COMMAND Oct15 Oct09 Sep18 Aug29 Aug14 (beneen g)GOMEZ ROBERTO 120 5.00 ★    
 
HST-6   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EDDIE WHO Sep18 Aug22 Aug13 Jul10 Jun25 (snow mel)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 120 10.00    
2  EARS TO US Sep11 Aug19 Jul24 Jun25   (vanoverschof ro)SANTO KIMAL 120 5.00    
3  PRINCE CAIRO Oct22 Oct02 Aug30 Aug13 Aug01 (snow john)AEBLY FRASER 110 3.50 ★    
SCR  AROLLERCOASTERRIDE Oct22 Oct08 Sep10 Aug13 Jul09 (heads barbara)PEREZ AMADEO 120 1.20 68% 0.50    
5  STORMY BLUE Sep10 Aug30 Aug14 Jul24 Jul10 (head)REYES AMBROSIO 120 2.00 ★    
 
HST-7   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARKER POINT Oct15 Sep25 Sep10 Aug13 Jul17 (pederson ke)KHELAWAN KERRON 120 8.00    
2  SMART LAD Oct09 Aug30 Aug13 Jul17 Jun19 (cloutier ma)MORALES SILVINO 120 5.00 9% 9.80    
3  BLACK METAL Oct09 Sep18 Aug13 Jul17 Jun25 (head)REYES AMBROSIO 120 4.50 ★    
4  BIG UNION Oct09 Sep10 Aug22 Aug01 Jun19 (rycroft nicole)PEREZ AMADEO 120 2.00 58% 0.70    
5  HE'S RELENTLESS Oct15 Sep25 Aug13 Jul17 Jun25 (o'connell br)WILLIAMS SCOTT 120 8.00    
6  FORT LANGLEY Apr01 Feb28 Jan19 Dec20 Nov16 (leaney patricia)SANTO KIMAL 120 4.00 ★    
7  STAR ENTRY Mar08 Feb13 Jan26 Dec27 Nov23 (henson steve)AEBLY FRASER 110 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.