Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Monday - February 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5/1/3)-(4/2/5/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(2/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(2/5/1)-(5/1/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-2   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1/6/4)-(2/5/1/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(5/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(5/1/4)-(5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-3   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/3/8)-(5/1/4/3/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(5/1)-(2/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-4   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/4/3)-(5/1/4/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/1)-(2/7/3/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(2/7/3/6)-(1/4) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
SA-5   WIN (2/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/6)-(2/7/3/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/6)-(2/7/3/6/8)-(2/7/3/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/3/6)-(1/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3/6)-(1/4)-(1/5) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
SA-6   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/5/6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/5/6/2)-(1/4/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4)-(1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(1/5)-(3/5/2/4/6) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
SA-7   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/6/8/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/6/8/2)-(1/5/6/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5)-(3/5/2/4/6) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(3/5/2/4/6)-(8/6/4/5/9) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
SA-8   WIN (3/5/2/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/4/6)-(3/5/2/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/4/6)-(3/5/2/4/6)-(3/5/2/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/2/4/6)-(8/6/4/5/9) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2/4/6)-(8/6/4/5/9)-(8) 25 $0.50 $12.50 
SA-9   WIN (8/6/4/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/5/9)-(8/6/4/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/5/9)-(8/6/4/5/9)-(8/6/4/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/4/5/9)-(8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
SA-10   WIN (8) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (8)-(8/3/6/10) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (8)-(8/3/6/10)-(8/3/6/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   02/20/2023 5940ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPLAIN THIS AUDIT Jan16 Oct02 Sep11 Aug13 Jul30 (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 124 12.00 ★    
2  ONCOMING Jan21 Jan08 Dec31 Dec04 Nov11 (saldana ree)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 3.00 12% 7.40    
3  RIMPROTECTOR Jan15 Nov25 Sep25 Sep05 Aug14 (mcc)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 8.00 ★    
4  OUR SHINING LIGHT (IRE) Jan21 Nov06 Oct15     (wong jona)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 1.20 55% 0.80    
5  GENERAL MATHIS Jan27 Mar07       (mulhall kris)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 3.00 12% 7.70    
6  BENDER Jan20 Nov06 Oct07 Sep02 Feb18 (puype )BERRIOS ISAAC 124 6.00    
 
SA-2   02/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAZZLEMESILVER         (desormeaux j)DESORMEAUX J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of INDIAN GODDESS by WAQUOIT)
2  SONORAN Jan29 Dec26       (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 122 0.60 61% 0.60    
  (by RIDE ON CURLIN out of AWESOME SUNRIZE by AWESOME AGAIN)
3  XANDER Jan21         (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 122 12.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of CASEYS IRISH PRIDE by SALT LAKE)
4  BRING HIM HOME Jul31         (krulja)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 12.00 ★    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CATCH MY EYE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  CASTLE ISLAND         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 13% 6.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LISZY'S UNION by DIXIE UNION)
6  DON CORLEONE Sep03         (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 ★    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BROAD SPECTRUM by BROAD BRUSH)
 
SA-3   02/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAISMITH Jan21 Nov25 Sep30 Sep03 Jul30 (mandella r)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
2  SILENT DISCO Apr27 Mar04 Jan16     (spawr william)FREY KYLE 124 12.00    
3  ARREST Jan08 Nov27 Oct28 Sep24 Sep01 (puype mike)DESORMEAUX J 124 4.00 ★    
4  WHAT A DUDE Jan01 Dec03 Nov20 Nov06 Sep10 (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.00 16% 5.20    
5  FLINT STROLL Jan27 Jan08 Nov11 Oct16 Sep11 (o'neill doug)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
6  GRAZEN SUN Feb03 Jan20 Dec11 Nov11 Oct10 (m)ROJAS EDUARD 124 20.00    
7  ROSENQUIST Jun10 May08 Apr03 Feb20 Jan14 (alvarado ruben )MALDONADO E 124 15.00    
8  KO SAMUI (IRE) May20 Mar18 Feb13 Jan09   (d'amato phili)CURATOLO RYAN 124 6.00 ★    
9  ALGERIA (IRE) Jan08 Feb11 Jan28 Jan14   (knapp stev)VAN DRAYDEN 120 20.00    
 
SA-4   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COALINGA ROAD Jan07 Nov19 Oct16 Sep10 Jul30 (gaines carla)VELAZQUEZ R 124 2.50 18% 4.70    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of COCO ECOLO by JOHANNESBURG)
SCR  FINNEUS Jan28 Jan07 Dec17 Dec03 Nov26 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 120 20.00 ★    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MY FIONA by GHOSTZAPPER)
3  CLUB CAL Jan20 Dec30 Nov11 Oct16 Sep16 (pin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 20.00 ★    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of YAWANNAGOKID by ROCKY BAR)
4  LEYAS CANDY Jan07 Nov11 Oct07 Aug28 Aug07 (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 ★    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of ILIKECANDY by MALIBU MOON)
5  THE CHOSEN VRON Jan07 Nov19 Oct16 Sep17 Aug27 (krulja)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 0.40 55% 0.80    
  (by VRONSKY out of TIZ MOLLY by TIZ WONDERFUL)
 
SA-5   02/20/2023 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 45 ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSICALLY         (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FANTICOLA by SILENT NAME)
2  ADMIRAL HALSEY May08 Mar20 Feb25 Jan09   (miller peter)VELAZQUEZ R 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
  (by WAR FRONT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  ADMIRALTY PLACE (GB) Jan27 Jul22       (mcc)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 4.00 14% 6.00    
  (by TERRITORIES out of IMPERIALISTIC by IMPERIAL BALLET (IRE))
4  QUALITY WINS         (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 124 6.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SILVERTONI by TAPIT)
5  VANCOUGAR Jun04 May08       (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 12.00    
  (by VANCOUVER (GB) out of SHARPLAW AUTUMN by RED RANSOM)
6  NASHOBA'S JOY Dec03 Nov11 Oct08 Sep03   (gaines ca)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 8.00 6% 14.40    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of NASHOBA'S GOLD by SMART STRIKE)
7  DANCING RINCA Jan27 Nov19 Oct01 Sep03   (drysdale n)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 23% 3.30    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ENTRECHAT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  PRINCIP Dec26 Nov18 Oct23     (glatt mark)SMITH E 124 4.00 ★    
  (by VIOLENCE out of MY ROYALTY by STREET SENSE)
9  BLUE DOG Jan30         (headley kar)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 30.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of POSSIBLY A TEN by SEEKING THE GOLD)
 
SA-6   02/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNRISE JOURNEY Jan20 Dec11 Oct16 Sep25 Sep03 (knapp steve)MALDONADO E 124 3.00 55% 0.80    
2  SUZIE QZZ BROTHER Feb03 Aug13 Jun11 May15 Apr17 (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 8.00 ★    
3  SMILE FOR GLORY Jan07 Dec16 Oct16 Oct02   (mccarthy s)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00    
4  JACK SIXPACK Dec02 Apr17 Mar26 Feb06 Jan15 (d'amato philip)FREY KYLE 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
5  I KNOW CASH FLOW Jan07 Dec04 Nov05 Oct07 Sep30 (miller peter)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 4.00 ★    
6  BIG TALKER Feb04 Jan07 Dec16 Nov11 Oct16 (pineda milton)CURATOLO RYAN 124 4.00 ★    
7  ECONOMICAL Dec30 Dec17 Oct28 Oct07 Sep17 (mccarthy sean)CEDILLO ABEL 122 10.00    
 
SA-7   02/20/2023 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 45 M/F PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUBAN CRISIS (GB) Jan28 Jan02 Nov13 Oct08 Feb19 (glatt mar)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.50 69% 0.50    
2  ROSY EDGE Jan21 Sep25 Aug25     (gla)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 8.00 ★    
3  AMAGE Feb12 Jan22 Dec31 Oct30 Apr17 (metz jeffrey)FREY KYLE 122 50.00    
4  SQUARE FUN Jan08 Jan02       (o'neill dou)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 20.00    
5  REAL FIRE Jan28 Dec31 Nov13 Oct08 Sep09 (knapp steve)MALDONADO E 124 4.00 8% 11.00    
6  PRECOCIOUS TIMES Jan08         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 ★    
7  STRIKINGLY Dec22 Oct06 Sep03 Aug01 Jun04 (polanc)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 15.00    
8  CLASSY Jan22 Nov13 Oct08 Sep11   (puype mike)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 ★    
9  MAP TO MY HEART Jan29         (koriner brian)VAZQUEZ A 124 10.00    
10  ONE ARROW Dec10 Nov13       (drysdale nei)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 30.00    
11  AVA'S STORM         (sadler w)CEDILLO ABEL 124 8.00    
 
SA-8   02/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACT OF SERENDIPITY Dec18 Nov27 Oct29 Sep24 Sep09 (vallej)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 12.00    
2  YOUTEYOURHONOR Jan22 Nov13 Sep02 Aug14 Jul24 (cerin vlad)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 10% 8.90    
3  PRINCESS ADALEIGH Jan22 Nov19 Sep11 Aug14   (cerin vladimir)VAZQUEZ A 122 1.20 44% 1.30    
4  BOWL OF CHERRIES Jan22 Jan06 Dec16 Nov19 Oct21 (morfin sergio)HARVEY B 122 3.00 7% 13.20    
5  TROUVILLE Jan20 Dec16 Dec02 Sep18 Sep05 (powell leon)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 4.00 11% 7.70    
6  KRISTI'S TIGER Jan06 Oct15 Oct01 Sep05 Aug07 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 124 8.00 7% 13.30    
 
SA-9   02/20/2023 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SYMPHONY PERFECT (IRE)         (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 124 6.00    
2  FOUNDER'S DAY Jan13 Dec18 Nov19 Oct16 Sep18 (hess b)MALDONADO E 122 12.00    
3  XMAS SURPRISE Jan13 Nov19 Aug19 Jul29 May22 (powell leonard)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00    
4  PHENOM Jan13 Nov20 Oct30 Oct08 Mar12 (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 10% 8.70    
5  SECRETS TOLD Jan13 Oct30 Oct02 Jul30 Jun18 (d'amato philip)FREY KYLE 122 5.00 5% 17.70    
6  DANCE TO THE MUSIC (GB) Aug28 Jul28 Jun04 May07   (glatt mark)SMITH E 122 5.00 15% 5.50    
7  UNBRIDLED MARY Jun11 May22 Apr15 Feb25   (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 12.00    
8  TOM'S BEAUTY Feb04 Nov20 Oct30 Aug27   (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 4.00 42% 1.40    
9  AQUA SEAFORM SHAME Jan13 Oct29 Sep02     (papaprodro)VAN DRAYDEN 124 12.00 5% 18.20    
 
SA-10   02/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOUBLE FANTASY Jan06 Dec16 Sep11     (quinonez roland)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.50 62% 0.60    
2  SOUL SWEET Jan22 Dec18 Nov25 Sep23   (agarie ricky)CURATOLO RYAN 124 15.00    
3  MAJESTIC GIGI Jan06 Sep24 Aug26 Apr03 Mar18 (palma hecto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 8.00 ★    
4  ROSES R BLUE Jan06 Dec17 Nov24 Nov06 Oct07 (knapp steve)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 10.00    
6  HEAD START Jan20 Nov26 Apr10 Feb13 Jan02 (mullins je)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 3.00 ★    
7  KEEPURSELF ALIVE Dec31 Dec09 Sep24 Sep11 Aug21 (vallej)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 20.00    
8  LA V. Jan06 Oct22 Aug14 Jul29 Jun11 (stu)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 3.00 10% 8.50    
9  BONITA LEONA Jan06 Dec17 Nov06 Sep22 Jul31 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 12.00    
10  DRIZELLA Dec11 Nov18 Nov04 Oct10 Sep18 (alva)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 124 15.00 ★    
11  NEVER SWAY Feb11 Jan20 Nov04 Oct22 Sep30 (pineda milto)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 12.00    
SCR  BLUSHING (FR) Nov25 Oct30 Oct15 Sep04 Aug14 ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.