Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Saturday - February 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (4/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/1/2)-(4/5/3/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/3/2)-(5/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/2)-(5/1/3)-(5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-2   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3/2/4)-(5/1/3/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(5/3)-(6/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-3   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/1/2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/1/2/6)-(5/3/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3)-(6/3/7/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(6/3/7/1)-(2/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-4   WIN (6/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/1)-(6/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/1)-(6/3/7/1)-(6/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/7/1)-(2/1/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7/1)-(2/1/6)-(8/11/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-5   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6/5/4)-(2/1/6/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(8/11/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(8/11/5)-(4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-6   WIN (8/11/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/11/5)-(8/11/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/11/5)-(8/11/5/7/1)-(8/11/5/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/11/5)-(4/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/11/5)-(4/7)-(5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-7   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7/6/8/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/7)-(4/7/6/8/3)-(4/7/6/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7)-(5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/7)-(5/7)-(4/6) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
SA-8   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/3/2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/3/2/6)-(5/7/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7)-(4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
SA-9   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   02/18/2023 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAN FROM MALIBU         (gaines)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 5.00 ★    
  (by STANFORD out of REAL BRIGHT BOOTS by HIGH BRITE)
2  TOPPERS WAGER         (polanco marcel)CEDILLO ABEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of TOPPERS SUNSHINE by OLD TOPPER)
3  BOTH AT FAULT Jan28 Jan07       (freeman edwar)CURATOLO RYAN 122 15.00 9% 10.50    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of NICOLE AND BEN by RUSSIAN COURAGE)
4  OLD PAL         (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by GRAZEN out of ATHINA LEE by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
5  BUCK OWENS Jan28 Jan08 Nov27 Nov06   (miyadi stev)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 3.00 27% 2.60    
  (by GRAZEN out of CARRIE ROSE by OLD TOPPER)
6  SHIP AND SCAM Feb03 Nov27 Oct29 Sep04 Aug13 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 4.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of ALBEIT by MINESHAFT)
7  COUNTRY BOY Jan28         (drysdale ne)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 12.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of IDIDNTMEANTOO by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
8  UPWARD MOBILITY Feb04         (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of ALLSHEWROTE by MONARCHOS)
 
SA-2   02/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIROLI Jan06 Nov25 Oct23 Sep02 May29 (mccarthy )DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 2.50 19% 4.30    
2  GOLDENEYE Nov26 Apr02 Mar05 Feb10   (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 124 8.00 ★    
3  CAISSON Jan27 Nov11 Oct16 Sep11 Aug14 (ort)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 5.00 8% 11.30    
4  CANELO Nov27 Oct16 Sep11 Aug27 Jan07 (mulhall kr)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 5.00 ★    
5  AMERICAN REFUGEE Dec31 Dec10 Sep02 Aug05   (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 0.80 49% 1.00    
 
SA-3   02/18/2023 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATALINA EDDY Feb04         (lewis craig )KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 1.60 ★    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of FREGE by JOHAR)
2  FINALLY AN EDDIE         (callaghan s)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 4.00 ★    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of TOO MUCH EXCESS by IN EXCESS (IRE))
3  TRANSITORY Jan28 Jan07 Dec09     (freema)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 6.00 10% 8.70    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of ASCRIPTION by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  MY RANSOM Jan08 Dec16 Nov06 Oct22 Sep23 (sie)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 15.00    
  (by U S RANGER out of JETTIE ANN by BERTRANDO)
5  MOON ICE Jan28 Jan07 Nov06 Sep09   (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.80 67% 0.50    
  (by HE BE FIRE N ICE out of WILD PHOEBE by OFFLEE WILD)
6  THE O G         (metz jeffrey)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 20.00 ★    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of TRYPHENA by BERTRANDO)
7  MY DAD IS THIRSTY         (miyadi steven)CEDILLO ABEL 122 8.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of HAWK'S JOURNEY by GOOD JOURNEY)
 
SA-4   02/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANORELLI Jan22 Dec31 Nov20 Mar27 Feb27 (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 122 8.00 8% 11.10    
SCR  DELTA WIND Feb03 Nov12 Feb20 Jan16   (sadler john )ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 15.00 9% 10.10    
3  ROSE MADDOX Jan28 Dec30 May28 May14 Apr15 (miyadi)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
4  MICRO SHARE Jan20 Apr09 Mar11 Jan07   (mandella )DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 3.00    
5  AQUA JULIA Jan28 Dec18 Dec02 Oct30 Sep04 (papaprodromou)VALDIVIA JR 122 30.00    
6  BIG SWITCH Jan20 May28 Feb25 Jan08   (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.60 30% 2.40    
7  SMOOTHLIKEBUTTAH Jan15 Dec02 Oct30 Oct01 Sep05 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 4.00 13% 6.80    
 
SA-5   02/18/2023 5940ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISTLER'S STYLE Dec18 Nov26 Oct21 Oct10 Aug06 (cerin vlad)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 25% 2.90    
2  ALOHA KITTEN Feb10 Jan20 Sep16 Aug28 Aug06 (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 122 3.50 34% 2.00    
3  TIZNO'S DILEMMA Jan20 Jan08       (psarras andr)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 20.00    
4  HARPER'S GALLOP Jan20 Dec16 Oct15 Sep17 Aug21 (powell le)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 2.00 ★    
5  KUORA (PER) Feb03 Nov12 Oct15 Aug28 Aug06 (azcarate dan)CURATOLO RYAN 122 3.00 ★    
6  VANDALIA Dec31 Dec11 Nov19 Oct07 Sep04 (bar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 5.00 11% 8.50    
 
SA-6   02/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($24K) 45 ALL PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONEYMOON SUITE Jan29 Nov05 Sep05 Jul24   (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 4.00 ★    
2  CURLY ESA Dec31 Dec11 Nov20 Sep30 Aug28 (oviedo phil)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 20.00    
3  MEMORANDUM Nov20 Nov04 Oct02 Sep01   (hess b)CURATOLO RYAN 124 12.00    
4  VALIENTE Jan06 Dec11 Nov26     (dunham danie)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 30.00    
5  HYDRO FROST Jan13 Nov24       (papaprodr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
6  IRONDALE Jan20 Nov26 Oct16 May13   (hea)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 8.00    
7  TENTH STREET DON Jan13 Dec26 Nov05 Oct23 Jul09 (cerin vladimir)FREY KYLE 124 6.00 ★    
8  WEGONAHAVAGOODTIME Dec31 Nov26 Oct23 Aug27   (sadler john )KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
9  MASTERMIND Dec26 Nov25 Nov05 Oct22 Sep01 (ruiz lorenzo)MALDONADO E 124 15.00    
10  SHADY STAR Nov20         (spawr william)CEDILLO ABEL 124 20.00    
11  LEMON DROP SHOT Jan27 Dec16 Nov26 Jan17   (wong jonathan)VAZQUEZ A 124 6.00 21% 3.70    
 
SA-7   02/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($62.5K) Purse ($42K) 3 F PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAYETTE FOX Jan22         (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 123 3.50    
2  LUMINIFEROUS Dec30 Nov13       (papaprodromo)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 8.00    
3  CALIFORNIA BLING Jan20 Nov13 Oct29     (mendez luis)AGUILAR ARMANDO 116 12.00 ★    
4  MOUNT MARY (IRE) Jan22 Nov13 Oct22     (callaghan)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 2.00 49% 1.00    
5  ANACARAVA (IRE) Dec10 Nov05 Sep17     (hernandez jose)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00    
6  CHEEKIEST Nov04 Oct01       (puype mike)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 ★    
7  TENACIOUS LADY Dec04 Oct01 Aug28     (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 121 8.00 20% 4.00    
8  CAMERON SLOUGH         (dry)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 8.00 ★    
 
SA-8   02/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSICAL ROMANCE Dec31 May08 Apr08 Mar06 Feb13 (nehf jay)CURATOLO RYAN 122 30.00    
2  AIN'T EASY Dec26 Nov19 Jul04 May06 Apr09 (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00 ★    
3  IRONIC TWIST Mar06 Jan29       (glatt mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  SHARED FUTURE Jan20 Dec18 Nov13 Sep22 Sep02 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 8.00    
5  ADARE MANOR Sep24 May20 Apr09 Feb06 Jan07 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.60 40% 1.50    
6  MALIBU MARIE Jan19 Dec03 Sep04 Aug20 Apr08 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 124 30.00 ★    
7  TEDDY'S BARINO Oct02 Sep05 Aug07 Jun05 May13 (glatt mar)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
8  UNA CHIQUITITA (CHI)         (polanc)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 8.00    
 
SA-9   02/18/2023 4290ft TURF RC11 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STELLA NOIR Jan13 Oct29 Sep30 Sep02 May21 (desormeaux j)DESORMEAUX J 122 6.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of GUADALUPE HIGH by CUVEE)
2  LADY JAE Jan02 Nov24 Oct29 Sep04 Aug06 (barocio libra)CURATOLO RYAN 120 8.00 ★    
  (by BIG DRAMA out of LADY LOUSHE by BLACK MINNALOUSHE)
SCR  FOUNDER'S DAY Jan13 Dec18 Nov19 Oct16 Sep18 (hess b)MALDONADO E 120 20.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of TIAMARIA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  BAY STORM Feb04 Dec31 Sep10 Aug07 Jul08 (thomas jonat)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 3.00 55% 0.80    
  (by KANTHAROS out of STORMY REGATTA by MIDSHIPMAN)
SCR  EDDIE'S NEW DREAM Jan07 Dec04 Oct15 Sep10 Aug21 (cecil d)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 4.00 ★    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of WALKINGONADREAM by TAPIT)
6  BIG SUMMER Jan07 Dec10 Nov12 Oct07 Aug28 (gaines carla)BRAVO J 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by MR. BIG out of ULTIMATE SUMMER by CEE'S TIZZY)
7  COUNTESS ROSINA (IRE) Jan02 Nov19 Oct01 Jul23 Jun12 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 6.00    
  (by DANDY MAN (IRE) out of MISREPRESENT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  FREEDOM FLYER Jan02 Oct29 Sep30 Aug06 Jul22 (powell le)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of REBUKE by CARSON CITY)
SCR  AQUA SEAFORM SHAME Jan13 Oct29 Sep02     (papaprodro)VAN DRAYDEN 122 20.00 ★    
  (by KANTHAROS out of CHANDELEUR by REPENT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.