Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Friday - January 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2/8/3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/2)-(7/2/8/3/4)-(7/2/8/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2)-(4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/2)-(4/5)-(6/4/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-2   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/5)-(6/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(6/4/2)-(8/2/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-3   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2/1/5)-(6/4/2/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(8/2/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(8/2/1/7)-(3/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-4   WIN (8/2/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/1/7)-(8/2/1/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/2/1/7)-(8/2/1/7/4)-(8/2/1/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/2/1/7)-(3/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/2/1/7)-(3/7/5)-(4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-5   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5/6/4)-(3/7/5/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/7/5)-(4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5)-(4)-(6/4/2/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-6   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/3/5/2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/3/5/2)-(4/3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4)-(6/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4)-(6/4/2/5)-(3/2/4/9) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
SA-7   WIN (6/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/5)-(6/4/2/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/5)-(6/4/2/5/7)-(6/4/2/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/2/5)-(3/2/4/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
SA-8   WIN (3/2/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/9)-(3/2/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/9)-(3/2/4/9)-(3/2/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   01/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH PROPHET Nov19 Sep05 Aug13 Jun18 May07 (drysdale n)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00    
  (by IRISH SURF out of PLAY IT TRUE by YES IT'S TRUE)
ADMIRALTY PLACE (GB) Jul22         (mcc)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 4.00 12% 7.70    
  (by TERRITORIES out of IMPERIALISTIC by IMPERIAL BALLET (IRE))
PALAGIO Dec26 Nov18 Sep02 Aug04 May14 (shirreffs )VAN DRAYDEN 124 6.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of HOT ROOTS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
THIRTY FOUR COUPE Jan23         (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 124 6.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of FULL OF JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
OVERRULE Apr02 Mar05       (mandel)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 15.00    
  (by MASTERY out of ENTHRALLING by ARCH)
WARRIOR ROAD Dec18 Nov18 Jun19     (yakteen tim)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 15.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MISS ELLA by EXCHANGE RATE)
DANCING RINCA Nov19 Oct01 Sep03     (drysdale neil)BRAVO J 124 2.50 62% 0.60    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ENTRECHAT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
RIDLEY'S MAJOR May28 Apr10       (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GRAND SOFIA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
CUPID'S CRUSADER Dec18         (marquez alf)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 15.00    
  (by CUPID out of SOUL CRUSADER by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
 
SA-2   01/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMAN EMPRESS Jan13 Dec09 Nov13 Oct22 Sep30 (saavedra an)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 8.00    
SCR  CHAO MAR Jan15 Dec11 Nov06 Oct22 Oct10 (stute gary)HERRERA A 122 8.00 14% 6.20    
NAUGHTY EVELYN Mar25 Jan22       (meredith de)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.00    
AWESOME PAMELA Dec09 Oct22 Sep30 Aug25 Jul31 (heap r)CEDILLO ABEL 124 2.50 32% 2.20    
PARCO Jan08 Dec17 Oct30 Sep24 Sep02 (papaprodromo)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 2.50 26% 2.90    
SHEMAKESCENTS Dec09 Nov20 Nov04 Sep30 Sep11 (brinkerhoff )CONTRERAS LUIS 124 5.00    
 
SA-3   01/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLOUSEAU Jan06 Nov18 Oct16     (kru)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 6.00    
RED CROSS KNIGHT Dec10 Sep18 Aug13     (sadler w)FREY KYLE 120 6.00 7% 13.50    
DEVIL AMONG US Dec16 Nov06       (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 20% 4.00    
TANGLEDUPINGREY Nov11 Oct16 Aug26 Aug11 Jun12 (sadler w)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00    
SASSY NATURE Jan07 Dec02       (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 115 1.20 51% 1.00    
SCR  CHICK'S DIG IT Nov05 Oct15       ( )TBA null      
 
SA-4   01/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 F PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POINT AND SHOOT Jan02 Nov20       (kruljac ian)DESORMEAUX J 122 5.00 9% 10.00    
  (by STRAIGHT FIRE out of POINT CHANEL by POINT GIVEN)
GOLDEN TEMPER Jan02 Nov24 Nov05     (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SOME TEMPER by WAR FRONT)
KIND OF BLUE Jan07 Nov24       (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 20.00    
  (by BLUE POINT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SPEAKING SPANGLISH Jan02 Dec02 Nov20 Oct10   (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 122 4.00    
  (by TOM'S TRIBUTE out of LADY KATFISH by EXCHANGE RATE)
JACQUELINE COCHRAN Jan02         (miyadi ste)VAN DRAYDEN 122 10.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of MALIBU HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
VIOLET CROWN Jan02 Dec16 Nov20 Oct23 Sep24 (dollase crai)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 6.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of TWINKLE TOES by MANILA)
CEE MINUS Dec29 Dec03 Sep26 Sep07   (saavedra anth)PYFER JESSICA 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COASTLINE out of IN THIS LIFE by GHOSTZAPPER)
LOVE OUR FAMILY Jan02 Dec02 Nov05     (truman eddie)FREY KYLE 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of LOVE YOU SO by WAR CHANT)
TURQUOISE BIKINI Jan02 Dec02       (morfin serg)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 15.00    
  (by PROSPECT PARK out of RAHBADABADOU by RAHY)
 
SA-5   01/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PAT'S LUCY Dec10         (mendez luis)LOPEZ D 122 6.00    
ONLY LIGHTNING Dec10 Oct29 Sep04 Aug21 Jul30 (alvarado rub)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 111 15.00    
MIDNIGHT VOW Jan02 Dec02       (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 122 1.60 45% 1.20    
MAGIC CAPITAL Jan02 Dec11       (palma hecto)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 5.00    
HALF NELSON Jan02 Oct02 Aug14 Jun11 May21 (brinkerhoff )CONTRERAS LUIS 118 12.00 6% 15.70    
PRESTIGIOUS Dec04         (mendez luis)HERRERA A 122 4.00    
DANCE KID Dec11         (farias adan)CEDILLO ABEL 118 5.00 23% 3.30    
RUNAWAY SALLY Dec10         (aquino )CAMACHO JESUS 118 8.00    
 
SA-6   01/27/2023 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOR A LAUGH (IRE) Oct09 Aug21       (callaghan )HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50    
WOUND UP Dec03 Nov04 Oct02 Sep11 Aug11 (mccarthy mi)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 4.00    
REXFORD Nov19 Oct21 Sep11 Aug11   (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 3.00    
MI HERMANO RAMON Dec04         (glatt mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 2.00 58% 0.70    
MAS RAPIDO (GB) Nov11 Oct02 Sep11     (hess b)MALDONADO E 122 4.00    
 
SA-7   01/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($43K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONIC BREES Jan15 Dec30 Dec16 Oct28 Oct09 (ganbat enebi)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 12.00    
DARNQUICK Jan07 Nov20 Oct28 Oct07 Sep02 (sal)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 6.00 9% 10.50    
SAFFA'S DAY Dec11 Oct29 Aug21 Jul03 Jun12 (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 4.00    
OCTOPUS Dec11 Nov06 Aug21 Jul31 Jun12 (mullins j)CEDILLO ABEL 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
SELF TAUGHT Dec11 Nov06 Sep24 Aug21 Jul08 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
AS AMATTER OF FACT Nov19 Sep10 Jul22 Jun18 May28 (knapp )BERRIOS ISAAC 122 3.00 44% 1.20    
DUTCH BUS Dec11 Nov06 Oct02 Aug25 Aug06 (koriner bri)HERRERA A 122 4.00    
 
SA-8   01/27/2023 5940ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIRCLEOFCHAMPIONS Nov27 Nov06 Oct10 Aug28 Jul24 (gaines car)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 6.00    
GENERAL MATHIS Mar07         (mulhall kris)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 3.00 17% 4.80    
FLINT STROLL Jan08 Nov11 Oct16 Sep11 Aug14 (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.80 31% 2.20    
SO I'M TOLD Jan08 Dec17 Nov24 Oct30 Sep25 (ruiz lorenz)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 6.00 16% 5.40    
BIRTH OF COOL Dec04 Oct28 Aug25 Jul22 May29 (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 8.00    
DERECHO DANDY Dec11 Nov05 Jan02     (sadler w)BRAVO J 124 10.00    
CHICKASAW Jan06 Jul09 Jun05     (bell r)FREY KYLE 124 12.00    
OCULUS Jan08 Nov06 Oct07 Sep04 Aug06 (mullins jeff)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 15.00    
CAISSON Nov11 Oct16 Sep11 Aug14 Jun18 (ort)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 12.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  GOLDENEYE Nov26 Apr02 Mar05 Feb10   (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.