Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sunland Park
Sunday - January 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SUN-1   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/4/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/4/3/5)-(6/1/4/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
SUN-2   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/1/5)-(4/2/6/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(3/5/2)-(6/2/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SUN-3   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2/1/4)-(3/5/2/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(6/2/3/7)-(1/4/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SUN-4   WIN (6/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/7)-(6/2/3/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/7)-(6/2/3/7/1)-(6/2/3/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/7)-(1/4/3/2)-(1/6/2/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
SUN-5   WIN (1/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2/6)-(1/4/3/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SUN-6   WIN (1/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7/3)-(1/6/2/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SUN-7   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(9/5/8/4/10)-(5/1/10/9) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
SUN-8   WIN (9/5/8/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/8/4/10)-(9/5/8/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/8/4/10)-(9/5/8/4/10)-(9/5/8/4/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (9/5/8/4/10)-(5/1/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
SUN-9   WIN (5/1/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/10/9)-(5/1/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/10/9)-(5/1/10/9)-(5/1/10/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SUN-1   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36.8K) 3 ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTFUL CRITIC Jan01 Dec12       (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 2.50 14% 6.30    
  (by ARTFUL RUN out of LAMONSTER MAJESTIC by TO TERAS)
SCR  ROMP N ROLL Dec12         (lambert case)FUENTES A 121 10.00    
  (by BERNSTER out of PUEBLO MAIDEN by ROMAN EMPEROR)
INDIAN RIDER         (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TRAIN RIDER BLUES out of INDIAN TIVA by SHAME ON CHARLIE)
BENDICION         (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 4.00    
  (by MARKING out of PRETTY SUZI by DIXIE BRASS)
WALL STREET LOGIC         (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 4.50    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of ROAD TO REASON by REDATTORE (BRZ))
SWEET MONEY Dec12 Dec01       (summers nancy)TOHILL S 121 1.60 52% 0.90    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of SWEET IRISH EASTER by IRISH OPEN)
 
SUN-2   01/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYEJUST TOOKCHARGE Oct31 Oct17 Sep23 Aug28 Jul31 (rust terri)CHAVEZ R 123 8.00    
ALLERGIC TO LOGIC Dec20 Dec05 Nov14 Oct24 Sep28 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
HOT LIL MESS Jan08 Dec05 Oct24 Sep21 Sep14 (marquez l)TORRES J 123 6.00    
SHE HIT A HOMER Jan10 Dec01 Nov07 Oct19 Sep15 (rojero )FUENTES T 121 1.50 39% 1.50    
EVIL TEMPTATION Jan15 Jan01 Dec20 Dec06 Dec01 (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 121 8.00    
BERNICE WHO Jan01 Dec06 Nov21 Oct25 Oct11 (baldwin lynett)CEBALLOS F 118 3.00 7% 12.80    
 
SUN-3   01/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN MERGER Dec14 Nov21 Nov06 Oct18 Sep30 (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 123 4.00    
RIG RIDER Dec20 Dec05 Nov14     (zamora chris)FUENTES A 121 3.50 13% 6.90    
MT. TAYLOR Dec14 Nov07 Oct25 Sep28 May28 (armstro)FUENTES T 123 2.50 32% 2.10    
SPINNING BLACK Dec20 Dec13 Sep18 Aug10 Apr30 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 8.00    
SILVER DADDY Jan08 Dec13 Oct09 Sep17 Aug24 (hudson jeff)JUAREZ J 123 6.00 24% 3.10    
AMERICAN SOLO Dec13 Nov14 Oct16 Sep30 Sep15 (gonzalez )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 2.00    
 
SUN-4   01/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($12.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUNDLESS AX Jan01 Dec06 Oct31     (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 4.00    
MIDNIGHTONTHENILE Dec13 Oct18 Sep08 Aug20 Jul31 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 121 3.50 20% 4.10    
SAGANAKI Dec20 Dec06 Nov08 Sep24 Sep09 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 3.50 8% 11.20    
STELLA WHEAT Dec13 Nov01 Oct23 Oct09 Sep23 (rojero )FUENTES T 123 8.00    
LEONA Dec14 Nov20 Sep15 Aug24   (gonzalez sal)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 6.00    
LAKE ETHEL         (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 121 3.00 44% 1.30    
RUN FOR RANDY Aug07         (chavez arturo)GOMEZ REYES 123 10.00 5% 17.90    
 
SUN-5   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAD MONTEREY Dec12 Oct25 Oct09 Aug14 Jul30 (armstrong sh)FUENTES A 121 2.50 48% 1.10    
BULLY RIDE Dec14 Dec05 Nov08 Oct09 Sep14 (barrios bern)SALAZAR TERESA 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
KILGORE Jan01 Nov08 Aug20 Aug12 Jul29 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 2.00 9% 9.70    
SO CAL MEMORY Nov08 Oct25 Aug03 Apr24 Mar22 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 3.00 20% 4.00    
FORT STANTON SCOUT Dec14 Nov21 Nov01 Sep17 Aug10 (marquez l)MEDELLIN A 121 6.00    
BEAR DEN Jan10 Nov14 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 (hinojos alvaro)GOMEZ REYES 123 15.00    
CEBOLLA Jan01 Dec05 Nov07 Oct10 Oct01 (olguin )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 12.00    
RIO CUTIE Jan01 Dec05 Nov08 Sep30 Aug19 (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 123 10.00    
 
SUN-6   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RATIONAL D'ORO Jan01 Dec20 Dec06 Nov21 Nov01 (vaughn lonnie)TOHILL S 123 2.00 32% 2.10    
RAISE OUR FLAG Jan15 Jan01 Oct18 Oct05 Sep21 (garcia harold)PEREZ A 123 4.00 15% 5.70    
LA DIAMANT Dec05 Nov14 Oct25 Oct05 Aug27 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 6.00    
SHELL GAME Dec06 Nov21 Oct24 Oct05 Sep04 (smit)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 5.00    
WILEO PROCEED Nov15 Oct24 Sep04 Aug27 Aug14 (sedillo e)CHAVEZ R 121 10.00    
WAY RITE Jan01 Dec20 Feb25 Jan25 Jan04 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 2.50 22% 3.50    
RUN LIKE KATE Jan15 Jan01 Dec06 Nov21 Oct31 (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 123 10.00 6% 15.50    
 
SUN-7   01/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36.8K) 3 F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MS MERAZ Dec12 Nov22 Oct31     (graham )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 20.00    
  (by LAUGH TRACK out of OFFICER'S MATE by OFFICER)
MOONLIGHT WARRIOR Dec12         (marr h)TOHILL S 121 3.00 54% 0.80    
  (by ARCHWARRIOR out of PRAIRIE MOONLIGHT by PREMEDITATION)
VIPERS PRINCESS Oct23 Oct10 Aug24 Jul29 Jun10 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 12.00    
  (by PROCEED out of VIPERVAPOR by DEVON LANE)
SOCIAL CLUB         (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by RIGHT RIGGER out of SECRET SOURCE by MINESHAFT)
CRAFTY MONEY         (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 4.00    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of SONGCRAFT by MR. GROUSH)
SHAME ON CHARLOTTE Jan03 Dec12 Oct18 Sep25   (gonzalez a)TORRES J 121 15.00    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of HEARTSCORE by EVEN THE SCORE)
MARQUEE'S STORM Jan01 Dec12       (lambert t)CARRENO J 121 4.50    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of MARQUEE AVENUE by AVENUE OF FLAGS)
SCR  HADLEY MARI Dec12 Nov06       (graham cliff)VILLANUEVA C 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIBERTY LOVER out of BLOSS by DIABOLICAL)
PRETTY PEPPY Jan01 Dec20 Oct31 Oct05 Aug14 (collier c)MEDELLIN A 121 6.00    
  (by INDESTRUCTIBLE out of ALWAYS A CHANCE by REDATTORE (BRZ))
 
SUN-8   01/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DECK HUMOR Nov15 Oct31 Oct16 Oct10 Sep15 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 10.00    
COLOR ME GONE Jan08 Dec19 Nov30 Oct30 Sep30 (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 123 6.00    
FI FI D'ORO Jan08 Dec05 Nov21 Oct31 Sep21 (rojero )FUENTES T 118 12.00    
TRUST MANDO Dec06 Oct16 Sep18 Aug24 May21 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
HESA PROSPECTOR Jan10 Nov15 Oct16 Aug28 Aug07 (marr h)FUENTES A 123 3.50 29% 2.50    
LOVER BOY BOB Oct09 Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 May29 (hudson )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 8.00    
ESTEEMED Dec12 Nov30 Nov08 Sep03 Aug26 (hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 15.00    
DOM WAYNE Jan08 Sep24 Sep03 Aug28 May21 (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 4.50 6% 16.70    
GUNNERS ONE Oct23 Oct01 Aug19 Jul30 May13 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 5.00 34% 2.00    
10  B A CHAMPION Oct31 Sep30 Aug06 Jul17 Jun26 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-9   01/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BINALLOVERDRINKEN Jan01 Dec13 Nov21 Oct31 Oct10 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 4.50 19% 4.40    
QUICK TO FUSS Jan01 Dec13 Oct24 Sep21 Aug28 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 15.00    
STELLAR WAY Sep23 Aug21 Aug12 Jun18 Apr25 (hudson jeff)CENTENO ALEXIS 123 20.00    
EPWORTH Dec12 Nov28 Nov22 Nov08 Oct30 (hancock david)MARQUEZ LARRY 123 15.00    
ALLIE'S PAL Dec13 Nov30 Oct24 Sep08 Jul31 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 2.50 33% 2.00    
MIDNIGHT SPECIAL T Sep24 Aug31 Aug17 Jul01 Jun12 (sanchez patric)LINDSAY CHAD 123 12.00    
ROBTHEQUEEN Dec13 Nov30 Nov08 Oct10 Sep30 (barrios bernadet)VALDEZ S 123 20.00    
SATURNCLOUD Nov21 Sep03 Aug08 Jun04 May22 (loma p)CARRENO J 123 6.00    
LITTLE SAMURAI Jan01 Nov30 Oct24 Oct05 Sep14 (armstrong sh)FUENTES A 123 8.00 6% 15.00    
10  MINDOFMYOWN Jan01 Dec05 Nov30 Oct10 Sep21 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  TIZ MY HOUR Jan08 Dec20 Sep05 Jul01 Feb15 (van crowell )SALAZAR TERESA 118 15.00    
SCR  CARMON'S DANCE Nov01 Sep15 Aug27 Aug10 Apr12 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.