Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Sunday - January 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (3/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2/1)-(3/4/6/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/6/2)-(6/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/2)-(6/4/5)-(7/6/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SA-2   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5/1/3)-(6/4/5/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(7/6/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(7/6/4/2)-(6/5/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-3   WIN (7/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/2)-(7/6/4/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/2)-(7/6/4/2/1)-(7/6/4/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/4/2)-(6/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4/2)-(6/5/8)-(1/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-4   WIN (6/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/8)-(6/5/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/8)-(6/5/2/8)-(6/5/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/8)-(1/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/5/8)-(1/2/3)-(2/7/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-5   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/7/3/5)-(1/2/7/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(2/7/5/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(2/7/5/3)-(3/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-6   WIN (2/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/3)-(2/7/5/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/3)-(2/7/5/3/6)-(2/7/5/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/5/3)-(3/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5/3)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SA-7   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5/7/6)-(3/1/5/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(3/1/8/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(3/1/8/7)-(7/5/11/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
SA-8   WIN (3/1/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/7)-(3/1/8/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/7)-(3/1/8/7/4)-(3/1/8/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/8/7)-(7/5/11/10/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
SA-9   WIN (7/5/11/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/11/10/9)-(7/5/11/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/11/10/9)-(7/5/11/10/9)-(7/5/11/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   01/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VULIN Nov25 May30 Mar12 Jan29   (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 6.00 ★    
2  VIOLET STORM Dec18 Oct08 Aug26 Jul31 May30 (papaprodromo)DESORMEAUX J 124 5.00 13% 6.50    
3  CLASSY Nov13 Oct08 Sep11     (puype mike)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.60 26% 2.90    
4  TIERGARTEN Nov25 Oct22 Sep10 Aug04   (sise cliff)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.80 24% 3.30    
5  AMAGE Dec31 Oct30 Apr17 Feb27 Jan19 (metz jeffrey)FREY KYLE 124 20.00    
6  ABOVE SUSPICION Dec31 Nov25 Aug26 Jul22   (mandel)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 4.00 14% 5.90    
 
SA-2   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE RACHEL Jan06 Nov19 Oct01 Sep17 Jul29 (barocio li)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.20 ★    
SCR  A NEW PEACE Dec18 Nov12 Oct30 Oct10 Sep04 (rheinford mark)CEDILLO ABEL 122 6.00    
3  SOUL SWEET Dec18 Nov25 Sep23     (agarie rick)HERRERA A 122 12.00 ★    
4  HENNYS CRAZY TRAIN Jan06 Nov27       (o'neill dou)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 2.50 20% 4.10    
5  FLAT OUT JOY Dec18 Oct30 Oct10 Sep24 Aug26 (treece s)FREY KYLE 122 6.00 15% 5.70    
6  SATURDAY HEIST Oct01 Sep09 Aug11 Jun25 Jan16 (brinkerhoff )CONTRERAS LUIS 124 4.00 35% 1.90    
 
SA-3   01/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINALLY HERE Nov26 Oct22 Sep24 Aug25 Jul22 (koriner bri)HERRERA A 122 4.00 ★    
2  FULLY LOADED Nov26 Jun03 May13 Mar05   (puype mike)DESORMEAUX J 122 6.00 7% 12.90    
3  TED Jan02 Nov04 Oct10 Aug27 Aug12 (palma hecto)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 12.00    
4  BARRISTAN THE BOLD (GB) Nov04 Oct01 Sep04 Jul16 Jun11 (farias adan)CURATOLO RYAN 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
5  WINDING Aug22         (uranga jesu)RAMIREZ RICARDO 120 20.00    
6  MAVEN Nov26 Oct22 Sep04 Jul28 May28 (hanson r)ELLINGWOOD A 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
7  CHAOS THEORY Nov26 Sep02 Aug06 May13 Feb20 (puype )BERRIOS ISAAC 124 2.00 24% 3.10    
 
SA-4   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINGER Nov27 Oct21       (hanson r)ELLINGWOOD A 122 15.00    
2  CAT BANDIT Dec18         (miyadi steven)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 ★    
3  AGREE TO SETTLE Dec31 Dec02       (gaines car)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 6.00    
SCR  BLAZING BARDOT Dec02 Sep05 Aug05 Jul02 May28 (headley kar)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 5.00 ★    
5  KISS MY KAT         (mulhall krist)CURATOLO RYAN 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
6  A LITTLE BIT CRAZY Jan14 Dec03 Oct28 Sep30 Aug26 (wong jonathan)VAZQUEZ A 124 1.80 48% 1.10    
7  CHEVY GIRL Nov04         (wallace jerr)DESORMEAUX J 122 15.00    
8  ANNA'S MUSIC Apr15 Mar18       (kruljac eric)FREY KYLE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-5   01/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTHERN KING Oct21 Sep09 Aug12 Jun05   (korine)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 2.00 59% 0.70    
2  OVERDUE Nov24 Oct23 Sep09 Jul29 May21 (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.50 8% 11.20    
3  LARRY'S LEGEND Jan07 Dec18 Dec02 Nov04 Sep19 (hernandez j)ESPINOZA V 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  NILES CHANNEL Dec17 Nov24 Nov05 Oct22 Sep05 (ruiz lorenzo)CURATOLO RYAN 122 10.00    
5  BIG BUZZ Jan06 Nov05 Sep05 Aug21 Jul22 (saldana re)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 ★    
SCR  TEMBO Apr02 Feb20 Jan17     (miyadi steve)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 8.00    
7  EAST RAND Dec09 Nov19 Oct21 Aug07 Jun18 (powell leonard)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 ★    
 
SA-6   01/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 ALL PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT ON Jan02 Nov13       (eurton pet)VAN DRAYDEN 123 6.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SHANON NICOLE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
2  HARLOCAP Jan02 Nov26       (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 123 1.60 34% 1.90    
  (by JUSTIFY out of MEZINKA by BODEMEISTER)
3  TIZ TOK Jan15         (o'neill d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 12.00 9% 9.90    
  (by TIZNOW out of WEEKEND PROSPECT by A.P. INDY)
4  VEGAS BURNER Dec26 Nov26       (papaprodromou geo)FREY KYLE 123 20.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of BLACK VALENTINE by CINDAGO)
5  YELLOW BRICK Dec26         (mandella richa)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.50 17% 4.80    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of A LITTLE BIT SASSY by MORE THAN READY)
6  TEXTHELEGEND Nov26 Oct30       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00 ★    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LIFE'S BLESSINGS by TAPIT)
7  NAVY MAN Jan02 Nov13 Oct09     (mccarthy michael)ESPINOZA V 123 3.50 18% 4.60    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of GENTLE HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  QUINCY MARKET Dec26         (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 123 20.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of COTTON BLOSSOM by BROKEN VOW)
 
SA-7   01/22/2023 3960ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORGIVING SPIRIT Jan08 Dec02 Oct08 Sep11 Aug12 (miller peter)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 4.00 12% 7.10    
2  STOTLAND Nov27 Nov06 Oct07 Aug25 May21 (hess b)VAZQUEZ A 124 8.00    
3  CONCH DADDY Jan02 Nov20 Oct15 Sep25 Jul02 (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 2.50 64% 0.60    
4  KING APOLLO May08 Mar13 Feb19     (mulhall k)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 8.00    
5  SANTA CRUISER Jun08 Apr16 Feb10 Jan13   (desormeaux j)DESORMEAUX J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  DANIEL'S MAGIC Nov27 Oct15 Aug25 Aug11 Jun04 (harty eoin)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 3.00 ★    
7  SAVILE ROW Dec17 Nov26 Oct22 Sep18   (yakteen tim)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 ★    
 
SA-8   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANORELLI Dec31 Nov20 Mar27 Feb27 Jan23 (mendez luis)ESPINOZA V 122 4.00 18% 4.70    
2  TOO BOSSY Nov06 Sep11 Jul22 Jun18 May06 (puype mike)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 6.00    
3  PRINCESS ADALEIGH Nov19 Sep11 Aug14     (cerin vladimir)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00 39% 1.60    
4  BOWL OF CHERRIES Jan06 Dec16 Nov19 Oct21 Oct07 (morfin serg)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 12.00 ★    
5  LASTING LOVE Dec18         (callaghan)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 5.00    
SCR  MONGOLIAN PANTHER Nov27 Oct22 Jun25 Jun05   (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 122 15.00    
7  AMERICAN LILY Dec30 Nov27 Oct23 Sep25   (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 11% 8.50    
8  YOUTEYOURHONOR Nov13 Sep02 Aug14 Jul24 May28 (cerin vladim)DESORMEAUX J 124 4.00 12% 7.20    
 
SA-9   01/22/2023 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 F PT- 7:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH PATSY         (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 15.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of PATSY'S KIM by DIXIE UNION)
2  FAYETTE FOX         (o'neill doug)SMITH E 123 12.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of A. P. INVESTMENT by A.P. INDY)
3  NOT NOW         (sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 6.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of INTERRUPTED by BROKEN VOW)
4  AG BULLET Nov12         (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 123 20.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of NOBLE GREY by FORESTRY)
5  RUBY NELL         (mandella r)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of RICH LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
6  LUNAR IMPACT (GB)         (blacker daniel)VAZQUEZ A 123 12.00    
  (by ZOUSTAR out of BUTTON MOON by COMPTON PLACE (GB))
7  RIVKA (IRE) Jun05 Apr29       (mccarthy micha)CEDILLO ABEL 123 6.00 27% 2.70    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of RUBINA (IRE) by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
8  GILA Sep11 May14 Apr10     (metz jeffre)AGUILAR ARMANDO 116 30.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of BASHOOSHA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
9  MOUNT MARY (IRE) Nov13 Oct22       (callaghan)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 8.00 7% 12.60    
  (by KESSAAR out of THE RIVER WILD by LOPE DE VEGA (IRE))
10  MARINAS TINA (IRE)         (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 4.00 8% 11.10    
  (by BELARDO out of PILE OU FACE by EXCEED AND EXCEL (AUS))
11  PLAYLIST Nov18 Aug25       (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 123 4.00 14% 6.20    
  (by UNCLE MO out of BON JOVI GIRL by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  CON SEAL AND KERRY         (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 123 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MAHOGANY LANE by A.P. INDY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.