Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Sunday - January 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (1/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/7)-(1/8/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/7)-(1/8/7/2)-(1/8/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/8/7)-(4/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/8/7)-(4/3/5)-(3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-2   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5/2/6)-(4/3/5/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(3/2)-(3/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-3   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/1/6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/1/6/4)-(3/2/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2)-(3/5/1/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(3/5/1/2)-(7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-4   WIN (3/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2/4)-(3/5/1/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/1/2)-(7/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/2)-(7/1/2)-(6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-5   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/2/5)-(7/1/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2)-(6/1)-(5/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-6   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/5/4)-(6/1/5/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/1)-(5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(5/8)-(2/6) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
SA-7   WIN (5/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/8)-(5/8/9/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8)-(5/8/9/3)-(5/8/9/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/8)-(2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/8)-(2/6)-(8/5/7/3) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
SA-8   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/5/1)-(2/6/5/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/6)-(8/5/7/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
SA-9   WIN (8/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/3)-(8/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/3)-(8/5/7/3)-(8/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   01/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRSTY PAPPY Dec16 Sep23 Aug20 Jul23   (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of ALSEERA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  BUCK OWENS Nov27 Nov06       (miyadi steven)FREY KYLE 122 4.00 ★    
  (by GRAZEN out of CARRIE ROSE by OLD TOPPER)
3  HONDO CROUCH Nov27 Aug27       (glatt mark)HERRERA A 122 6.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of CHERRY GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
4  DO IT FOR DAVE Nov27         (howey quinn)CEDILLO ABEL 122 20.00    
  (by RICHARD'S KID out of MAMA RUSH by VERRAZANO)
5  STAR PROSPECT Nov27 Nov06       (gaines carla)BRAVO J 122 8.00    
  (by PROSPECT PARK out of Q T SHAE by UNUSUAL HEAT)
6  HERECOMEGEORGIEBOY Nov18 Aug11 Jul23     (mullins je)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 3.50    
  (by TAMARANDO out of ONLY YOU BABE by THORN SONG)
7  MICKEY GOLDMILL Dec20 Nov25       (wong jonath)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 12.00 9% 9.90    
  (by PASSION FOR GOLD out of HOLLADAY VISIT by LONHRO (AUS))
8  WORKDAY Nov06 Jul01       (sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 10% 8.60    
  (by ACCELERATE out of LADYBUG by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
9  MY RANSOM Dec16 Nov06 Oct22 Sep23 Aug26 (sierra javie)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 15.00    
  (by U S RANGER out of JETTIE ANN by BERTRANDO)
SCR  SHIP AND SCAM Nov27 Oct29 Sep04 Aug13 Jul24 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 6.00 ★    
  (by MRAZEK out of ALBEIT by MINESHAFT)
 
SA-2   01/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONLITE IN HEAVEN Dec09         (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 124 5.00    
2  SUPERCENTS Dec17 Nov11 Aug26 Jul03   (pap)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 6.00 ★    
3  PARCO Dec17 Oct30 Sep24 Sep02 Aug04 (papaprodromo)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 2.50 21% 3.90    
4  WORTHINESS Dec30 Dec09 Nov11 Oct21 Sep23 (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
5  MARGOT'S GIRL Nov04 Oct08 Aug26 Aug06 May22 (lewis a)MALDONADO E 124 2.00 10% 8.70    
6  WHAT A WAY TO GO Dec14         (trela rosem)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 8.00 ★    
 
SA-3   01/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUDACIOUS Dec02         (hanson ryan)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00 ★    
2  MISCHIEVOUS PATH Nov19 Oct10 Feb04     (gaines carla)BRAVO J 122 2.50 6% 15.20    
3  FORGIVING SPIRIT Dec02 Oct08 Sep11 Aug12 Jul24 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00 59% 0.70    
4  SO I'M TOLD Dec17 Nov24 Oct30 Sep25 Sep01 (ruiz lorenz)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 8.00 ★    
5  TALKLESSWORKMORE Jun05 May08 Mar25 Feb20   (ruis shelb)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00    
6  LIL NAS Oct10 Sep03 Aug07 Jul24 May30 (sadler jo)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 5.00 ★    
7  SHORTMAN Dec17 Nov06 Oct09 Sep16 Aug28 (naranjo salvado)VAZQUEZ A 124 15.00    
 
SA-4   01/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REEF CITY Nov25 Oct15 Aug27 Jul31   (bonde jeff)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 8.00 12% 7.10    
2  TAKE CHARGE CURLY Dec17 Oct16 Sep18     (oviedo phil)FREY KYLE 122 6.00 10% 9.00    
3  CLOONEY Nov25 Oct21       (yakteen tim)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60 35% 1.90    
4  POST FACTO Nov12 Oct10 Aug21     (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 ★    
5  CHICKNFINGERFRIDAY Nov25 Oct22 Sep17 Aug11 Jul01 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
6  DEEP RIVER Aug26 Jul24       (harty eoin)HERRERA A 122 10.00    
7  MOON TIME Aug11         (saavedra an)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 12.00    
 
SA-5   01/08/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARREST Nov27 Oct28 Sep24 Sep01 Aug11 (puype mike)DESORMEAUX J 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
2  ONCOMING Dec31 Dec04 Nov11 Oct28 Sep17 (saldana ree)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  BEROLIJEAN (FR) Dec11 Nov19       (france reid)FREY KYLE 120 6.00    
4  ALGERIA (IRE) Feb11 Jan28 Jan14     (knapp stev)VAN DRAYDEN 120 8.00    
5  GEORGE HERMAN RUTH Nov20 Nov04       (miyadi steven)VAZQUEZ A 124 5.00 ★    
6  HOODLUM Dec17 Nov27 Oct28 Sep01 Aug04 (ortiz manuel)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 20.00    
7  FLINT STROLL Nov11 Oct16 Sep11 Aug14 Jun03 (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
8  OCULUS Nov06 Oct07 Sep04 Aug06 Apr20 (mullins je)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 6.00    
9  NEVER SEEN BEFORE (IRE) Nov27 Oct16 Sep01 Jun10 Jun03 (harty eoin)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 6.00    
SCR  DERECHO DANDY Dec11 Nov05 Jan02     (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
SA-6   01/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC12 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SATIN DOLL Dec14 Oct28 Aug13 Jul23   (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 15.00 6% 14.90    
  (by CONGRATS out of CLIFF'S SECRET by THE CLIFF'S EDGE)
2  FAST AND SHINY Nov12 Oct09 Sep10 Aug07   (baffert bob)VAZQUEZ A 120 10.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SPOTTED HEART by LION HEARTED)
SCR  JUSTIQUE Nov19 Oct08 Jul31     (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 122 0.80 41% 1.50    
  (by JUSTIFY out of GRAZIE MILLE by BERNARDINI)
4  PARODY Nov19 Oct30       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 ★    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of ROCKSTER by SUPER SAVER)
5  HUNTINGCOCO Nov19 Oct08 Sep04     (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 ★    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SULIS by MARIA'S MON)
6  ICE DANCING Nov25 Oct08 Sep10 Aug14   (mandella richa)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by FROSTED out of WELCOME DANCE by HENNY HUGHES)
 
SA-7   01/08/2023 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS BETTINA Nov12 Oct23 Sep11 Aug07   (eurton peter)BRAVO J 122 5.00    
2  ALWAYS AT EASE Nov25 Oct29 Oct08 Aug20 Jul30 (desormeaux j)DESORMEAUX J 122 6.00    
3  EXCELIA (IRE) Oct09 Sep10       (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.00 ★    
4  JORDAN Dec03 Nov11 Oct05 Sep09 Jul17 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00    
5  THE WILD GRAZER (IRE) Nov24         (mullins je)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
6  HAPPY GAL (FR) Nov12 Oct07 Sep08 Aug04 Jun28 (o'neill doug)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00    
SCR  ARINNITI (FR)         (mandel)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 5.00    
8  MISS BELLIMBUSTO Dec10 Nov19       (jauregui j)FREY KYLE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  FUN MONEY Nov27 Oct29 Oct10 Sep05 Aug13 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  THREAD COUNT Nov19 Oct02       (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 10.00    
SCR  HAVANA ANGEL (IRE) Nov12 Sep10       (powell le)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
 
SA-8   01/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC12 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEWGATE Nov20 Oct08 Sep11 Jul30   (baffert b)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 6.00 ★    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MAJESTIC PRESENCE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
2  NATIONAL TREASURE Nov04 Oct08 Sep03     (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.00 33% 2.10    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of TREASURE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  SPEED BOAT BEACH Dec04 Nov04 Oct02 Sep10   (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 33% 2.10    
  (by BAYERN out of SOPHIA MIA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
4  REINCARNATE Nov25 Nov04 Oct10 Sep11   (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of ALLANAH by ALWASMI)
5  PACKS A WAHLOP Nov04 Oct09 Sep11 Aug05 Jun03 (mullins jeff)VAZQUEZ A 124 6.00 ★    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of CITY BY THE BAY by CITY ZIP)
6  SPUN INTENDED Nov26 Oct30       (glatt mark)SMITH E 120 2.50 12% 7.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of FLORA DORA by FIRST DUDE)
 
SA-9   01/08/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUDSON RIDGE Dec26 Dec04 Jun11 May14 Apr09 (baffert bob)VAZQUEZ A 124 12.00    
2  DEAN MARTINI Nov25 Jul24 Jun19 Apr30 Mar25 (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 124 12.00    
3  OPRY Nov24 Oct21 Aug12 Jun02   (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 124 12.00 8% 12.00    
4  AVENUE Nov25 Oct02 Aug05 Jun19 May07 (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
5  SCRIPT Dec03 Nov11 Oct12 Feb10   (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
6  COUNT OF AMAZONIA (IRE) Dec04 Nov05 Sep14 Aug13 Jun18 (hess b)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 12.00    
7  MECKLENBURG (IRE) Dec04 Oct23       (mullins je)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 4.00 14% 6.10    
8  LINCOLN HAWK (IRE) Dec04 Nov06 Jan30     (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  RIP CITY Dec26 Nov26 Nov05 Oct08 Aug21 (o'neill d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 12.00 6% 16.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.