Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Zia Park
Wednesday - December 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ZIA-7   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($22K) 35 M/F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I GET STORMED Dec06 Nov15 Oct31 Oct18 Oct01 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CHARITY WATER May20 May01 Apr02 Mar20   (summers nan)SCRIVER L 121 10.00 10% 9.30    
3  SISTER MARK Dec06 Nov01 Oct05 Sep03   (smith )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 30.00    
4  LEONA Nov20 Sep15 Aug24     (gonzalez sal)MEDELLIN A 121 20.00    
5  ALWAYS PUNCTUAL Oct11 Jul23 Mar20     (marr h)FUENTES A 121 1.40 24% 3.10    
6  MARKED BY A STORM Nov15 Oct31 Oct01 Sep15   (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 3.50 ★    
7  E BAR SCOUT Mar26 Jan28 Jan01     (marr h)TOHILL S 121 1.80 34% 1.90    
 
ZIA-8   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROBATE Nov13 Oct31 Sep24 Sep04 Aug17 (olguin ever)JUAREZ J 123 6.00 14% 6.30    
2  DESCENT         (marr h)TOHILL S 123 12.00 8% 12.20    
3  MASK OFF Nov21 Nov01 Oct15 Oct02 Sep17 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 1.00 39% 1.50    
4  JERSEY JOE Oct31 Oct17 Sep30 Aug31 Jul23 (green g)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 2.50 ★    
5  GOGO OXBOW Dec01 Sep16 Aug26 Aug06 May22 (rust terri)CHAVEZ R 123 10.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  RANSIER Dec01 Oct25 Sep23 Aug31 Aug05 (gonzalez jo)SCRIVER L 123 8.00    
7  SUPER HUNK Nov21 Sep28 Sep17 Sep08 Aug31 (eliott)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 20.00    
 
ZIA-9   12/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.5K) 35 ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT AN IDEA         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 123 3.00    
2  NONAME BANDIT Nov07         (henry larry)CHAVEZ R 123 15.00 ★    
3  SOMETHIN' FANCY         (fincher todd)FUENTES A 123 1.60 34% 1.90    
4  THIRSTY ECHO Nov01 Oct17 Apr30 Mar05 Jan28 (martinez e)MEDELLIN A 121 10.00 ★    
SCR  JOHNNY ROD Feb18         (smith )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 20.00    
6  ANNA'S IRON MAN Nov01 Oct17       (marr h)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
7  DEACON BEACON Dec01 Nov07 Oct24 Oct11 Sep27 (young a)TORRES J 123 15.00    
8  DE TESTIFY Nov07         (munoz guada)SCRIVER L 121 12.00 ★    
 
ZIA-10   12/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SURF N DELMAR         (marquez l)TORRES J 123 10.00    
2  JUVAL Dec05 Nov21 Nov06 Oct25 Sep16 (vurgun za)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 10.00    
3  BEAR BRIAN Nov21 Nov07 Sep28 Sep16 Aug31 (martine)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 4.00 ★    
4  MT. TAYLOR Nov07 Oct25 Sep28 May28 May13 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 3.00 17% 4.70    
5  CAPTAIN COMEBACK Sep05 Jun20 May18 Apr25 Apr05 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 15.00    
6  GOLDEN MERGER Nov21 Nov06 Oct18 Sep30 Sep18 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
7  CEDAR EXTRA BOLD Nov21 Oct18 Oct05 Sep16 Aug07 (cappellucci j)JUAREZ J 123 8.00 6% 16.40    
8  SWITCHERONIMO Nov07 Oct18 Oct05 Sep16 Sep02 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 3.50 49% 1.10    
9  ATTILA'S FLAG Oct10 Aug13 Jun12 May28 Mar27 (vega v)VORRATH VALENTE 123 15.00    
10  BULLY RIDE Dec05 Nov08 Oct09 Sep14 Aug10 (barrios bern)SALAZAR TERESA 118 30.00    
11  FORT STANTON SCOUT Nov21 Nov01 Sep17 Aug10 May07 (marquez l)MEDELLIN A 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.