Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delaware Park
Saturday - October 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DEL-1   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($42K) 2 ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIX WHIPS         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 6.00    
2  PLAYGROUND LEGEND Oct08 Sep18       (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 1.80 47% 1.10    
3  MO MARIANO         (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
4  LOCO CUGINO Sep24         (rohena rafael)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 8.00 5% 18.60    
5  THAT SUN OF A GUN Sep18         (mcburney )RODRIGUEZ A 122 3.50 ★    
6  ELFUEGOMASBRILANTE         (shuman mark)CEDENO CAROL 122 8.00 ★    
 
DEL-2   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUTTONED UP Sep30 Sep17 Aug31 Aug03 Jul13 (garibay andres)ROSE J 121 12.00 5% 17.20    
SCR  SHED A TEAR Oct13 Sep22 Sep02 Aug03 Jul16 (carrascojr)SANCHEZ J 118 2.50 11% 8.20    
3  MISCHIEVOUS JUAN Oct12 Sep14 Aug31 Aug03   (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 122 10.00    
SCR  TINKER'S PAL Aug04 Jul23 Jul01 Apr23 Apr10 (smith collie)PARISH R 118 12.00    
5  RILEYS DUDE Oct19 Sep17 Aug17 Jul21 Jun23 (sepulveda c)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 1.60 44% 1.30    
6  SHIELD OF FAITH Oct06 Sep22 Aug28 Aug14 Jul31 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 3.50 19% 4.40    
7  ONE NINER TANGO Oct19 Sep17 Aug02 Jun09 May02 (lake a)CEDENO CAROL 118 6.00 ★    
 
DEL-3   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 2 F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAWAIIAN TALENT Sep28 Aug29 Aug13 Jul18 Jun14 (diaz jorge)PEREZ M 119 15.00    
2  FANCY WARRIOR         (ashby lynn)ALICEA JEREMY 115 8.00 7% 12.40    
3  RACE N RETURN Aug04         (simoff andr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 10.00    
4  ARROGANTE Oct06 Sep28 Sep14 Sep01 Aug13 (nazario pedro)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 12.00 ★    
SCR  LITTLE DOYLE Oct12         (lynch cath)SANCHEZ J 122 2.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  NOWYOUSCAN'TLEAVE Oct12         (aristone ph)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 114 8.00    
7  GO NIKKI GO Oct20 Sep16 Jul16     (sano antonio)ARROYO S 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
8  FEARLESS MAE Oct12         (martin cly)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 12.00    
9  RAVEN'S QUEST Oct12         (ashby lyn)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 5.00 32% 2.10    
 
DEL-4   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSY APPLE Oct06 Sep17 Aug26 Jul08 Jun25 (ramirez a)MENA E 118 10.00    
2  BEAUTY QUIST Oct07         (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00    
3  RUSH HOUR TRAFFIC Oct01 Sep01 Jul16 May25   (brinkman b)SANCHEZ J 122 8.00 9% 10.80    
4  R FUNNY BIZNESS Sep20 Aug08 Jul09 Jun12 May28 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
5  VIBRANT JUDY Sep17 Aug21       (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 2.00 27% 2.70    
6  LANFRANKOPHILE Oct21 Oct05 Aug14 Jul31 Jun23 (lucas bonni)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  AWARD WANTED Oct13 Sep17 Sep02 Aug03 Jul01 (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 125 4.00 16% 5.30    
 
DEL-5   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 2 F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINE ALEIGH Oct12         (shuman mar)SANCHEZ J 122 4.00 62% 0.60    
2  LUCKY FREEDOM Oct20 Sep28 Aug31 Aug13 Jul20 (rigattieri jo)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00    
3  HOWMUCHAREYOUWORTH Oct05 Sep13       (wyner harold)OCASIO M 122 10.00 5% 17.30    
4  BELMAR SUMMER Sep11 Sep02 Aug13 Jul31 Jul16 (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 8.00    
5  DON'T TELL DEREN Oct16 Sep30 Jul23     (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 3.00 ★    
6  SHELL BELLE Oct22 Sep28 Aug31 Jul20   (hendriks richa)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 2.00 ★    
7  MY TRUE PASSION Sep13 Aug29 Aug11 Jun04 Apr25 (lake a)CEDENO CAROL 122 6.00 ★    
 
DEL-6   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICTURE THIS Oct06 Sep03       (matz r)ROSE J 122 8.00 10% 9.30    
2  COUNTRY CHARLIE Sep16 Sep09 Jul22 Jul01 Jun12 (deiter kel)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 10.00    
3  WHISTLEJACKET (IRE) Sep18         (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
4  SWIFTY DEVIL Oct20 Sep15 Aug31 Jul20   (gorham michael)CEDENO CAROL 122 8.00    
5  THE COLORA KID Oct02 Sep17 Sep03 Aug17 Jul27 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.00 ★    
6  SENTIR ZULIANO Sep24 Aug29       (ochoa gerard)CENTENO E 122 6.00 ★    
7  FREEDOM ROAD Oct01 Aug27 Jul23     (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 2.00 25% 2.90    
 
DEL-7   10/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOUBLE CROWN Oct22 Sep24 Aug22 Aug08 Jul30 (cash l)CENTENO E 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  MONDAY MORNING QB Oct22 Oct01 Aug24 Jul19 Jun21 (cash l)CENTENO E 122 8.00    
2  DEFEND Oct06 Sep29 Aug06 Jul02 Jun08 (lynch cath)SANCHEZ J 118 6.00    
3  WHERESHETOLDMETOGO Sep30 Jul02 Apr29 Mar19   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 2.00 18% 4.60    
4  FEAST Sep04 Jul31 Jul10 Jun18 May15 (bennett ger)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 4.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  THREES OVER DEUCES Sep30 Sep10 Aug27 Jul16 Jun17 (capuano a)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00 ★    
6  NO CENTS Sep18 Aug28 Jul02 May15   (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 122 10.00    
7  CARPENTERS CALL Sep19 Aug22 Jul23 Jun29 May28 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
DEL-8   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYGIDGETMARIE Oct14 Oct07 Sep14 Aug11 Jul20 (huet k)MENDEZ KEVIN 121 6.00 ★    
2  I'M SO EXTRA Oct05         (lynch cath)SANCHEZ J 121 2.00 25% 2.90    
3  WIND TRYST Oct15 Sep15 Aug27 Jul16 Jun29 (williams a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 8.00 7% 13.10    
4  DOROTHY'S THE BOSS Oct15 Sep23 Sep04 Aug03 Jul04 (werneth r)RODRIGUEZ A 125 3.00 41% 1.50    
5  BUFFUM'S BEAUTY Oct21 Oct07 Jun29 May26 May07 (mohan r)EDWARDS JAVIS 111 8.00    
6  IVY WAY Oct07 Sep30 Aug27 Jul21 Jun08 (saleem gordon)MUSARRO JOE 117 10.00    
7  IRON BERTIE Oct15 Sep15       (deiter l)CEDENO CAROL 121 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.