Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fresno
Monday - October 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FNO-1   10/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOP REFERENCES Aug29 Jul23 Jul11 May03 Apr01 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 125 3.50 ★    
2  ROSEBUD RYDE Sep02 Aug12 Jul02 Jun19 May28 (jauregui j)ROMAN A 122 2.00 18% 4.70    
3  LIVING WITH AUTISM Sep11 Aug07       (wong jonathan)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 8.00 15% 5.70    
4  LUVAHAPPYENDING Sep18 Sep10 Jul24 Jul10 Jun18 (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 122 1.80 32% 2.10    
5  VALDINI Mar27 Mar06       (jauregui j)RIVERA SANTOS 122 4.00 ★    
 
FNO-2   10/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVER BOY TOM Oct01 Sep09 Jul30 Jul15 Jun17 (maravi)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 4.00 ★    
2  TEE SHOT Sep24 Sep02 Aug14 Jul30 May06 (treece char)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
3  MADE THE TEAM Aug26 Aug12 Jul15 Jun26 Jun05 (paldanius she)RIVERA SANTOS 122 4.50 ★    
4  STAY LIT Oct01 Sep03 Aug12 Jul17 Jun12 (greiner ga)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
5  STRAUS'S PLACE Oct01 Aug26 Aug06 Jul04 Jun19 (wong jonathan)ROMAN A 125 1.80 15% 5.60    
 
FNO-3   10/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG CHEDDAR Sep25 Sep17 Jul09     (nara)GONZALEZ ODILCER 115 6.00 15% 5.70    
2  MISO FAST Sep17 Sep02 Aug26 Aug13 Aug07 (perez s)CRUZ M 125 2.00 23% 3.40    
3  ELUSIVE LOVE Mar07 Feb13 Jan17 Jan02   (de pa)TERRERO M 125 4.50 ★    
4  STAR ENTRY Sep16 Aug27 Aug18 Aug05 Jul10 (metz jeffrey)SAMUELS JAKE 122 4.00    
5  JEDI KNIGHT Sep02 Aug07 Jul15 Jun24 Jun05 (puentes jose)PENA BRYAN 125 3.50 ★    
6  OUR EXPECTATION Sep10 Jul09 Jul02 May22 May01 (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 5.00 21% 3.80    
 
FNO-4   10/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26K) 2 ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALI CONQUEST Sep25 Sep11 Aug14     (wong jonath)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 2.50 66% 0.50    
2  SLIGHTLY DIRTY Sep04 Aug14       (ordonez a)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 120 10.00 ★    
3  SEA DOG Sep11         (jauregui )MARTINEZ CATALINO 120 5.00 ★    
4  MECHANT Sep25         (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 120 6.00    
5  TRINIDAD Sep25 Sep04 Jul24     (hansen roge)TERRERO M 120 3.00 ★    
6  CALCULATED SPIN Aug14 Aug06 Jul24     (davis bo)AMADOR RUIZ 120 2.00 8% 11.90    
 
FNO-5   10/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ INDY Sep25 Aug26 Aug21 Aug14 Aug07 (naranjo salvador)HARVEY B 125 5.00 10% 9.00    
2  TOMMY SPECIAL Jul22 Jul04 Jan15     (prec)GONZALEZ ODILCER 112 8.00    
3  BALLROOM HUSTLER Sep04 Aug21 Jul23 Jul03 May01 (rivera sall)TERRERO M 125 6.00 ★    
4  POTENTE ALBA Aug26 Aug19 Aug04 Jul15 Jul02 (ramos jesus)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 2.50 18% 4.70    
SCR  FORT LEWIS RIVERS Sep17 Aug19 Jul04 Jun20   (williams gab)YBARRA MICHAEL 125 4.50 ★    
6  CASH LIMIT Sep23 Sep10 Aug04 Jul24 Jul03 (hansen roger)FLORES P 125 1.80 40% 1.50    
 
FNO-6   10/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAHASHA Sep11 Sep03 Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 (gilmour jim)CRUZ M 125 15.00    
2  TIMBERLAKE GAGE Aug27 Aug20 Jul04 Jun28 Jun21 (beckner )AMADOR RUIZ 125 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  WICKED SUNSET Sep17 Aug28 Aug06 Jul22 Jul10 (thomas ruby)ROMAN A 125 10.00    
4  SECRETLY PARANOIDE Aug27 Aug20 Aug14 Apr10 Mar13 (aquino m)HARVEY B 125 5.00    
5  MO SUGAFOOT Aug26 Aug19 Jul04 Jun28 Jun20 (beckner l)HERRERA HUGO 125 4.50 7% 13.80    
6  AFTER SUNDOWN Aug27 Aug20 Jul04 May01 Apr08 (delima clif)TERRERO M 125 2.50 5% 19.00    
7  BEAU ROCKS Sep18 Sep03 Aug21 Aug06 Jul10 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 125 6.00 27% 2.70    
8  JOE'S PASSION Apr28 Apr08 Mar13     (rive)GONZALEZ ODILCER 115 12.00 ★    
 
FNO-7   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOLEN VOTE Sep09 Aug06 Jul09 Jun12   (rondan felix)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 4.50 ★    
2  JUANA GALLO Sep23 Aug05 Jul10     (rondan felix)RIVERA SANTOS 119 5.00 14% 6.30    
3  WEGOTBEERONICE Sep18 Sep04 Aug14     (gilmour jim)SAMUELS JAKE 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  RAAJIN RIBBON Sep11 Aug21 Aug14     (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 120 1.80 31% 2.20    
5  EARLY RELEASE Sep04 Aug12 Jul10     (wong jonathan)ROMAN A 120 2.50 ★    
 
FNO-8   10/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($12.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONSUMING Sep24 Aug12       (jauregui j)RIVERA SANTOS 120 10.00    
2  IGO Jun17         (howey )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 120 12.00    
3  MIQUEAS Sep30 Sep09 Aug05 Jul24   (rond)ANTONGEORGI JR 120 6.00 ★    
4  OBJECTIVLYPERFECT Sep30 Sep05 Aug05 Jul24   (hansen roger)FLORES P 120 12.00    
5  LET THERE BE PEACE Sep25 Sep05 Aug12 Jul31   (wong jonathan)ROMAN A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SIX SHOTS OF T Sep10 Aug13 Jul17 Jul10   (metz jeffrey)SAMUELS JAKE 120 2.50 54% 0.80    
7  GO GABRIELLA Sep16         (stortz ma)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 120 8.00    
8  EL CAPRICHO Sep16 Jul31 Jul16 Jun10   (maravilla jorg)ALVARADO T 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
9  PROSPECT OF RAIN         (paldanius s)TERRERO M 120 5.00 15% 5.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.