Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Albuquerque
Saturday - September 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ALB-1   09/24/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURBS ICE LADY Aug13         (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  GUY IN THE SKY Apr22 Feb01 Jan09     (chavez la)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 10.00 7% 12.80    
IMPEACHABULL Sep04 Jul31       (barrios berna)LOPEZ E 122 12.00    
B R KIDD ROCK Sep04 Aug17 Jul31 Apr02 Mar08 (buechler si)SCRIVER L 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
SMOOTH WATERS         (sedillo carlos)PEREZ A 122 4.50    
D ORO'S GIFT         (loma humbert)SALAZAR TERESA 116 8.00    
MONARCHOS DREAM         (villalobo)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 122 20.00    
RAFAEL'S SURPRISE         (morales danny)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50 13% 6.80    
 
ALB-2   09/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP ME A TEXT Aug21 Jul23 Jul02 Jun04 May02 (fincher todd)FUENTES A 122 3.50    
SCR  NOT NOW VICTORIA Sep08 Apr30       (singh johnny)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 3.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  LUCY K Jul30 Jul11 May02 Apr11   (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
CUZ I CAN DARLING Sep08 Apr07       (singh johnny)CEBALLOS F 122 15.00    
HALEY WHO Sep08 Jul31 Jun26 Apr02   (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 122 6.00    
HEMATITE Aug17 Jul30 May29 May14   (marquez jose )ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00    
OUR TEN ANGELS Jul03 Jun12 May08     (valdez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 4.50 18% 4.60    
 
ALB-3   09/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHELLY D'ORO Aug21 Aug12 Jun11 Mar26 Feb27 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 122 3.00    
RIVER JUMPER Aug17 Aug06 Jun25 May13 Feb21 (lavanway dayso)VAZQUEZ JOSE 121 3.50    
THIRSTY KITTY Sep14 Jun25 Mar22     (armstr)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 10.00 7% 13.20    
INVODKAWETRUST Sep14 Aug24 Aug06 Jul02 May27 (barrios berna)LOPEZ E 121 6.00    
AMY'S HONEY Feb11 Jan08       (olguin ever)MEDELLIN A 121 10.00    
ARRANGED VOWS Aug24 Aug10 Jul17 May22 Apr29 (chav)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 4.50 57% 0.80    
MIDNIGHT SPECIAL T Aug31 Aug17 Jul01 Jun12 May21 (sanchez patr)SIGALA ALFREDO 124 6.00    
WAGES Aug24 Jan23 Jan04     (olguin ever)SALAZAR TERESA 116 15.00    
CRITICAL DECISION Sep15 Aug24 Mar22 Feb06 Jan23 (baldwin lyn)SCRIVER L 121 12.00 6% 16.30    
 
ALB-4   09/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARSHIP CHEWY Sep18 Aug13 May28 Apr30 Feb22 (marquez j)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 15.00    
HAPPY FORTY EIGHT Aug28 Aug07 Jun26 May13 May01 (buechler j)MEDELLIN A 124 4.50    
BRICKBAT Sep05 Aug24 Aug14 Apr03 Mar19 (barrios berna)LOPEZ E 124 3.50 45% 1.20    
PROVOST Aug21 Aug06 Jul02 May02 Apr11 (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00    
CHUCKIES CHANCE Sep14         (arms)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 6.00 10% 9.20    
FLICKERING LIGHT Aug03 May27 May07 Mar08 Feb05 (morale)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 12.00 5% 17.80    
LEATHERNECK Sep03 Aug13 Jul30 Jun05 May27 (gonzalez jos)FUENTES A 124 10.00 10% 8.80    
SHARPSHOOTINGEORGE Sep03 Aug19 Jul23 May13 Apr22 (acosta carlo)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 3.00    
DOM WAYNE Sep03 Aug28 May21 Apr30 Feb19 (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 124 10.00    
 
ALB-5   09/24/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET'S DOUBLE Sep15 Aug20 Aug06 May22 Apr29 (clemmer phil)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 4.50 38% 1.70    
ROWDY MAMBO Sep08 Aug17 Aug06 May07   (esparza steph)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00    
PROBATE Sep04 Aug17 Jul31 May22 Apr22 (olguin ever)SIGALA ALFREDO 124 8.00    
PANCHO LEFT ME Feb22 Feb01 Jan11     (cappellucci )FUENTES A 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  MR CHARLIE KING Jan14         (marquez j)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 124 15.00    
MCMERCELUS Sep15 Aug26 Aug06 May14 Apr22 (summers nan)SCRIVER L 124 3.00 12% 7.30    
ROLL ON CAMRON Aug24         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 119 3.50 6% 15.90    
 
ALB-6   09/24/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT-10:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GODDARD Sep05 Aug13 Jul03 May29 Apr22 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
OFFSHORE AFFAIR Aug18 Jul03 Jun11 May13 Apr08 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
PEPPER SPRAY Aug28 Jul30 Jul09 May03 Mar27 (kere)GOMEZ PORTILLO 117 12.00 15% 5.70    
RAISEBEFORETHEFLOP Sep05 Aug26 Aug03 Jun17 May13 (gonzalez jos)FUENTES A 115 20.00    
MINE THAT STAR Sep03 Jul31 May30 Apr22 Apr02 (summers nan)SCRIVER L 119 6.00    
ZESTFUL Sep03 May29 Apr02 Mar05 Jan23 (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 119 6.00 34% 1.90    
FLEETRIDGE Aug07 Jul09 Jun27 Jun13 Feb25 (arnett jo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 3.50 17% 4.90    
SHERIFF BROWN Sep03 May30 May07 Apr02 Mar05 (fincher w)CEBALLOS F 121 2.50    
ASTRONOMICAL Aug21 Jun04 May21 Apr18 Apr06 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 115 20.00    
10  TARTINI Sep09 Aug07 Jun12 May06 Jan07 (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 115 30.00    
11  SLY Sep03 Jul31 May29 Apr11 Apr02 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 117 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.