Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Wednesday - September 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   09/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNI LOVES A FIGHT Aug23 Jul26 Jul05     (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 120 5.00    
COUPS DE PARTY Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 Jul26 May30 (babcock edwa)BERRIOS C 124 15.00    
SCR  DARE TO BE GREAT Aug15 Jul25 Jun29 Jun14 May24 (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 120 3.50 10% 8.70    
TAMI'S ORCHID Sep07 Aug24 Jul21 Jun05 Apr20 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 1.60    
AZOGAR Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 Aug02 Jul19 (morales)NAVARRO J 124 15.00    
IOVA Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 Jul13 Jun29 (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 124 1.80 52% 0.90    
 
FL-2   09/21/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNBRIDLED'S REIGN Aug15 Jun29 Jun15 Apr22 Feb04 (breed jr)GOMEZ O 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
SPECIAL ASSISTANT Aug26 Aug11 Jul21 Jul02   (sells rach)DE EMANUEL 124 8.00 6% 15.50    
MISTY GALE Aug24 Aug01 Jul18     (falk jacquelin)PIERMARINI T 120 12.00    
SCR  MONDEUSE Jun17 May21 Feb19 Feb04   (englehart jef)DAVILA R 124 1.80 17% 5.00    
ALL BIZZ Aug24 Jun30 May07 Apr22   (dixon li)DAVIS A 120 6.00    
TOOSWEETTOBESOUR Aug24 Aug06 Jul01 Mar03   (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 2.00    
 
FL-3   09/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVRYBODYLUVSNORMAN Sep12 Aug29 Jun15     (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
RICHIE'S B L Aug30 Aug03 Jul06 Jun22 Jun08 (wright t)BAEZ JOSE 124 8.00    
STORMY NEW YORK Aug31 Aug16 Aug01 Jul11 Jun28 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 5.00 14% 5.90    
MO CRAZY BLUES Aug29 Aug16 Aug01 Jul06 Jun20 (lopez arca)DE EMANUEL 122 2.50    
PROFESSOR DAVE Aug29 Aug10       (lecesse michael)PEREZ E 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
CLASSY PAPA Aug10 Jul20 Jun15     (ficarella brooke)GOMEZ O 122 15.00 10% 9.30    
GANONDAGAN Sep12 Aug31 Aug16 Aug01 Jul11 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 10.00    
 
FL-4   09/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHWAYTWENTYSEVEN Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 May31 (clarke dylan)PEREZ E 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
DUGOUT May24 May09       (shivmang)DAVIS A 122 5.00    
ALONGCAMETHEPRINCE Aug31 Jul20 Jul06 Jun20 May31 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 20.00    
BEACHSIDE Aug23 Aug10 Jul25 Jul13 Jun14 (dean ii)PIERMARINI T 122 8.00    
SARATOGA PAL Aug31 Aug16 Jul28 Jun23 Feb12 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 3.50 9% 10.00    
BOLDLEE Jul05 Jun14       (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.00 49% 1.10    
SON OF DARKNESS Aug16 Aug02 Jul18 Jun02 May10 (breed jr)GOMEZ O 124 10.00    
SIMBASALLTROUBLE Aug30 Aug02 Jul06 Jun27 May31 (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 124 4.00 13% 6.60    
SMOKIN' ALONE Aug30 Aug17 Aug02 Jul11 Jun14 (sab)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00    
 
FL-5   09/21/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEANAN Sep03 Jul29       (clement christoph)PEREZ E 124 1.40 37% 1.70    
MAGIC GRITS Sep07 Aug24 Aug03 Jul11   (verna maria)BAEZ JOSE 120 8.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  FLIPPING FUN Sep17 Aug03 Jun22     (davis d)GOMEZ O 122 4.00    
BENCH WALK Aug29 Aug09 Jul25 Jul12 Jun29 (huertas )DAVIS A 120 3.00 12% 7.40    
LORENZEN Sep07 Aug24 Jul27 Jul13 Jun13 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 12.00 11% 8.40    
K AND G Aug03 Jul20 Jun28 Jun14 May25 (bond bre)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 6.00    
HARDLY WORKING Aug30 Aug17 Aug03 Jul13 Jun27 (lopez rober)CAMILO D 124 12.00    
 
FL-6   09/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PER KEY D P         (englehart jef)DAVILA R 120 6.00    
SCR  ANNIESALLINCLUSIVE Sep18         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00    
BLUE LIEUTENANT Sep05 Aug07 Jul26     (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 120 3.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  BLUE SOLDIER Aug10 Jul26       (rohena rafa)CAMILO D 120 3.50    
ANGELIC MISSION         (ferraro mic)IGNACIO RODOLFO 120 8.00    
MACDONOUGH Sep05         (sells rachel)SONE Y 120 10.00    
HUTCH Sep05         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 3.00 61% 0.60    
SCR  WORTHYCONVERSATION Sep05 Aug23 Jul26     (sells rachel)BERRIOS C 120 20.00    
BOYS CODE Aug23 Jul26       (dixon k)COA J 120 10.00    
CASHEL KITTEN Sep05         (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 120 10.00    
ALLURE OF MONEY         (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 120 5.00    
10  BUD WON         (torelli)NAVARRO J 120 15.00    
 
FL-7   09/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST FRAN Aug29 Aug16 Jul20 Jul11 Jun13 (shaffer )HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 119 6.00    
1A  SMART BROAD Aug29 Aug10 Jul27 Jul11 Jun13 (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 6.00    
SCR  MA MEATLOAF Sep12 Aug29 Aug10 Jul27 Jul05 (ferraro a)IGNACIO RODOLFO 124 4.00 7% 12.60    
SCR  DOSAGE AND MIMOSAS Sep12 Aug29 Aug10 Jul11   (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 3.50 11% 7.80    
SWEET SHALLOTS Aug29 Aug01 Jul11 Jun22 May09 (breed a)GOMEZ O 124 3.00 7% 12.60    
STABILIZE Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jun22 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 119 15.00 7% 13.40    
SCR  CHRISTMAS DINNER Sep12 Aug29 Aug09 Jul27 Jul11 (breed debr)DE EMANUEL 124 10.00    
R WORKING GIRL Sep06 Aug29 Aug10 Aug01 Jul12 (hen)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00 44% 1.30    
LET'S MAGA Sep06 Aug17 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 12.00    
ALLURE FORTUNE Sep06 Aug16 May13 Apr21 Feb23 (murphy timothy)PIERMARINI T 119 20.00    
10  DAREDEVIL BULL Aug29 Aug15 Jul19 Jun01 May02 (grabowski john)COA J 120 8.00    
 
FL-8   09/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOS VAQUEROS Sep05 Aug22 Aug09 Jul18 Jun21 (ronen assaf)FRET STEVEN 118 6.00    
PAPA TOM B May25 Feb25 Jan09     (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 6.00    
PATROL         (ferraro ant)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 4.50 31% 2.20    
OLD MAN WINTER Aug30 Jul06 Jun20 Jun06 May18 (acquilan)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
QUINTARELLI Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul17 Jun30 (turetsky e)PEREZ E 124 10.00    
TOWN JAK Aug30 Jul26 Jul05 May17 May02 (tebbutt )DAVIS A 118 20.00 9% 10.10    
BEACH ACCESS Aug09         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00 12% 7.60    
WAR OF THRONES Aug16 Aug02 Jul11 Jun23 May28 (acquilano jame)COA J 122 10.00    
LOVER'S LEAP Aug03 Jul20 Jul06 Jun20 May30 (babcock kathleen)BAEZ JOSE 118 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.