Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Monday - September 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   09/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEMONADE LADY Aug22 Jul02 Jun02 Apr16 Mar31 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 1.40 48% 1.10    
RACING QUEEN Aug22 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 Jun17 (huertas )DAVIS A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
PAJAMA JAM Aug01 Jun14 May30     (bond brent)GOMEZ O 120 12.00    
FLORALOATS Aug22         (dixon k)COA J 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
TOSCONOVAPRINCESS Aug22         (englehart chris)CRUZ JOEL 120 5.00    
EMPIRE LILY Aug01 Jun27 May12 Feb26   (abr)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 2.50    
 
FL-2   09/05/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE THE EDGE Aug03 Jul20 Jul05 Jun28 Jun08 (babcock edwa)BERRIOS C 121 6.00    
SCR  HONOR THY SECRET Aug16 Aug03 Jul20 Jul11 Jun28 (babcock kathleen)BAEZ JOSE 121 10.00    
STARSHIP OREO Aug17 Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 Jun13 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.00 21% 3.90    
MY INSPIRATION Aug10 Jul13 Jun15 Jun01 May13 (grabowski john)COA J 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
VON ALDENBRUCK Aug10 Jul11       (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 4.50 18% 4.60    
TEXAS TOWER Aug23 Jul16 Jun25 Jun18 Jun03 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 2.50    
 
FL-3   09/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASS APPEAL Aug16 Jul27 Jul13 Jun27 Jun06 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 119 12.00    
DOS VAQUEROS Aug22 Aug09 Jul18 Jun21 May25 (ronen assaf)FRET STEVEN 124 6.00    
WARRIORS REVENGE Aug16 Jul25 Jun27 Jun06   (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 0.50 35% 1.90    
NUMBER ONE DILLON Aug24 Aug08 Jul26 Jul11 Jun22 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
HARRISON KNOWS Aug16 Aug08 Jul27 Jul11 Jun27 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 121 5.00 12% 7.40    
 
FL-4   09/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MOUNTAIN CLIMBER Aug23         (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 10.00    
SCR  FOUR EYES         (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 10.00    
HUTCH         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 10.00    
WORTHYCONVERSATION Aug23 Jul26       (sells rachel)BERRIOS C 120 15.00    
MACDONOUGH         (sells rachel)SONE Y 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
TIZ LUCKY         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 4.00 11% 8.20    
MO TRUMP Aug23         (ferraro anth)COA J 120 3.00 56% 0.80    
BLUE LIEUTENANT Aug07 Jul26       (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 120 3.50    
CASHEL KITTEN         (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 120 6.00    
SCHIFTY'S HALOID Jul02         (acquila)NAVARRO J 120 6.00    
 
FL-5   09/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INVALUABLE WILL Aug24 Jul25 Jul13 Jun27 May10 (breed a)ALVARADO R 122 5.00    
STONE GUITAR Jul26 Jul12 May25 May11   (bireta donn)IGNACIO RODOLFO 122 10.00    
DEPUTY FLAG Aug16 Jul25 Jun27 Jun06 May24 (oyola da)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 122 3.50 13% 6.90    
DR. LLOYD Aug17 Aug09 Jul26 Jul13 Jun27 (domingu)NAVARRO J 122 12.00    
DEE BO Aug17 Jul25 Jun30 May28 May14 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 1.50    
BUSTIN HOFFMAN         (progno christopher)GOMEZ O 122 5.00 37% 1.70    
FORWARD MOTION Jun22 May30 May16 Apr29 Apr01 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
FL-6   09/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JOHN'S SECRET Aug22         (englehart jeffrey)CRUZ JOEL 120 10.00    
SCR  THE HONORABLE EYE         (englehart je)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 10.00    
FRANKIE C Jul28         (bireta donna)GOMEZ O 120 20.00    
RUBYS MISSION Aug22         (sha)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 4.50    
PUZZLE Aug08 Jul18 Jun05     (barrow p)DAVIS A 120 6.00    
SCR  PRETTY MISS PENNY         (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 120 8.00    
ICE'S IRONICDANCER Aug22 Aug08       (sells rachel)SONE Y 120 20.00    
DR LARCARBEAU         (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 120 8.00    
WARSAICHI Aug22         (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
WAITWAITDONTTELLME Aug08         (ferraro anth)COA J 120 4.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  TRUE DESTINY Aug08 Jul18       (progno christophe)BAEZ JOSE 120 10.00    
 
FL-7   09/05/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANYTHING PAZIBLE Aug23 Aug03 Jul27 Jul13 Jun27 (gutierre)DAVIS A 120 10.00    
SCR  NIGHTSPOT Aug29 Aug09 Jul27 Jul13 Jul05 (sparlin)NAVARRO J 118 30.00    
SIX PERCENT Jul15 May29 May08     (englehart je)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 8.00 7% 12.70    
UNO Aug24 Aug08 Jul19 Jul05 Apr30 (ferraro michae)COA J 122 3.00    
SCR  WINSTON'S CHANCE Jul25 Jun27 Jun13 May30 May02 (breed a)ALVARADO R 122 2.00 63% 0.60    
SCR  SEA URCHIN Aug22 Jul27       (dix)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 30.00    
SCR  LEXATOGA Aug17 Jul27 Jun27 Jun07 May12 (calderon iv)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00    
DANCERS FOR TOKEN Jul25 Jun07       (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 122 6.00    
SIMPLY Jul16 Jun21       (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 5.00    
 
FL-8   09/05/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUTCHMEN FOREVER Aug10 Jul27 Jul06 Jun15 May24 (lecesse)NAVARRO J 124 6.00 5% 17.40    
SCR  JERUSALEM GATES May21 Apr29 Apr02 Mar20 Feb11 (englehart jeff)COA J 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  BOSTON BILLY Aug23 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 124 20.00    
V PATTERN Aug16 Jun15 May23 May09 Apr25 (fer)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00 6% 15.10    
FOTIS Jul27 Jun12 Jun04 May01 Apr22 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 20.00    
SYNONYM B C Aug22 Jul25 Jun28     (baker charlton)BAEZ JOSE 124 10.00    
YAH HUH Aug23 Aug07 Jul22 Jun18 Jun10 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 124 2.50 10% 8.60    
SWINGING STICKS Aug23 Aug03 Jul20     (smith julie)ROHENA JR 124 10.00    
ESOR Aug10 Jun29 May21 Apr11 Mar18 (rohena rafa)CAMILO D 124 4.00 12% 7.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.