Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Emerald Downs
Sunday - September 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EMD-1   09/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENNYANDTHECHICKS Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun24 Jun11 (metz jeffre)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 124 6.00 11% 7.80    
NATIONHEART Aug21 Jul16 Jun25 Jun05 May15 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 124 1.40 51% 1.00    
LASTBESTHOPE Aug21 Aug05 Apr03 Mar12 Feb25 (pe)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 4.50    
DIAMOND WILLOW Aug21 Jul30 Jul15 Jul03 Jun05 (baze robert)GUTIERREZ M 121 5.00    
IOWA KID Jul31 Jul23 Jun11 May28   (bean robe)JENSEN P 124 12.00    
CAPTAIN DASHI Aug13 Jul17 Jun11 May15 Jan28 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 12% 7.50    
 
EMD-2   09/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R HAPPY PLACE Aug21 Aug06 Jul02     (toye joe)ANAYA V 120 10.00    
MIA CASA Aug21 Aug12 Jul22 Jul10 Jun26 (raudales jose)RADKE K 123 6.00    
SUMMER PUDDING Aug21 Aug06 Jun10 Apr17 Mar19 (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 120 1.60    
SHIRL'S HOUSE Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 Jun04 May21 (essex charles)GUTIERREZ M 120 2.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  NADITA Jul15 Jun28 Jun21     (kowalski liz)ZUNINO L 120 15.00 17% 4.90    
COASTAL QUEEN Aug21 Aug12 Jul31 Jul15 Jun26 (metz jeffrey)SAMUELS JAKE 120 3.00    
 
EMD-3   09/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE TOUGH May10 Apr15 Mar10     (toye joe)ANAYA V 120 3.00    
TOE DANCER Aug20 Jul31 Jul17     (harwood doris)MAWING A 120 6.00    
SCR  MUNNINGS TALE         (essex charles)CRUZ M 123 2.00 39% 1.60    
QUEENSBORO Aug20         (freeman scott )SAMUELS JAKE 120 5.00    
SHINY TOY Aug27         (meeking a)RADKE K 123 8.00 36% 1.80    
BAKERSFIELD BABE Apr21         (simpson shan)OROZCO E 120 3.50    
 
EMD-4   09/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPERMAX Aug07 Jul17       (we)MARTINEZ NAHERD 120 2.00 10% 9.10    
LIMA ZULU         (martinez david )CRUZ M 120 5.00    
QUALITY GRANDSON         (navarro jose)ANAYA V 120 15.00    
KNOCKOUT GUY Aug21 Jul17 Jun17 Jun04 May14 (fearon john)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
WEGOTBEERONICE Aug14         (nunnally jenni)SAMUELS JAKE 120 3.00 58% 0.70    
MY LAST BULLET Aug14         (perez s)RADKE K 120 8.00    
ICE TOWER Aug14         (gibson vince)MAWING A 120 4.50 7% 13.10    
MY MAN BIGGIE Jul17 Jun17 Jun04 May14   (simpson shan)OROZCO E 120 12.00    
 
EMD-5   09/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP CURVE Aug26 Aug12 Jul29 Jul17 Jun25 (baze robert)GUTIERREZ M 121 2.00 25% 2.90    
TALKINGNONSTOP Aug20 Aug06 Jul22 Jul10 Jun26 (gibson vince)ZUNINO L 123 3.00    
N P FORTY Aug20 Jul29 Mar11     (cooper kay)OROZCO E 120 3.50    
SCR  SADIE'S SNOWSTORM Aug20 Aug12 Jul30 Jul16   (gibson vinc)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 120 8.00 15% 5.60    
YOUONLYLIVETWICE Aug21 Jul24 Jun26 May28   (metz jeffrey)RADKE K 123 4.00 19% 4.40    
ALY'S NATION Aug12 Jul22 Jul16 Jun26 Jun03 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 120 5.00    
 
EMD-6   09/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY ZIP Aug12 Jul24 Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 (bean a)GUTIERREZ M 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
DEFENSE WINS Jul30 Jul02 Jun19 May22 Apr03 (gilmour jim)ANAYA V 124 5.00    
SCR  DUTTON Aug07 Jul10 May28     (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 8.00 15% 5.50    
MAHI MAHI Aug21 Aug07 Jul10 Jun17 Jun03 (gibson vince)RADKE K 124 4.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  CODY'S CHOICE (NZ) Aug12 Jul30 Jul17 Jul01 Jun03 (gibson vince)MAWING A 124 2.50    
MAKAH LANE Aug21 Aug07 Jul10 Jul01 Jun05 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 3.50    
 
EMD-7   09/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRONZE WARRIOR Aug05 Jul17 Jun18 May27 May01 (wright blaine)RADKE K 124 4.00 15% 5.80    
MOJAVE (GB) Aug21 Jul30 Jul26 Jul10 Jun11 (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 121 20.00    
WINE AT NINE Aug13 Jul29 Jul09 Jun24 Jun04 (gibson vince)MAWING A 121 5.00    
ROCKY TOUGH Aug26 Aug14 Jul23 Jul09 Jun24 (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
FRANKS FIX IT Aug07 Jul23 Jul09 Jun19 Jun05 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 121 8.00    
SCR  DYF Aug21 Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 Jun05 (metz jeffre)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 121 12.00    
CLOSE TO MIDNIGHT Aug07 Jun17 May27 May08 Mar16 (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
ALPINE HYPNOSIS Aug13 Jul17 Jun26 Jun05 Apr04 (pierce michael)SAMUELS JAKE 124 10.00    
 
EMD-8   09/04/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPLICATE Aug14 Jul17 Jun18 May06 Apr20 (person kenneth )CRUZ M 124 6.00    
EL ALTO HOMBRE Aug14 Jul30 Jul10 Jun19 Jun05 (ko)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 20.00    
SCR  HARD TO DENY Aug14 Jul02 Mar14 Jan05   (troiani niccol)SAMUELS JAKE 120 20.00    
TOP EXECUTIVE Aug14 Jun26 May28 Apr30   (wright blaine)RADKE K 122 3.00 54% 0.80    
SLEW'S TIZ WHIZ Aug14 Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 May28 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 124 1.60 14% 6.10    
FIVE STAR GENERAL Aug14 Jul24 Jun26 May28   (harwood doris)MAWING A 120 4.00 10% 8.90    
HOUSE OF LORDS Aug14 Jul24 Jun18 May22   (cooper kay)OROZCO E 120 8.00    
SCR  SPITTIN IMAGE Aug28 Aug14 Jul24 Jun26 Jun05 (cryderman can)GUTIERREZ M 120 10.00    
 
EMD-9   09/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALIUS Aug12 Aug06 Jul24 Jul09 Jun17 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  ROCKED Aug12 Jul24 Jul08 May29 Mar31 (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 118 5.00    
AKASI Aug21 Jul10 Jun26 Jun11 May21 (martinez davi)GUTIERREZ M 118 8.00    
ROWDY RETURNS Aug13 Jul30 Jul15     (kowalski liz)ZUNINO L 121 15.00 18% 4.70    
NORTHERN BLEND Aug21 Jul30 Jul16 Jul02 Jun12 (crowe shell)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 121 12.00    
MAYHEM AND CHAOS Aug21 Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 Jun12 (cooper kay)RADKE K 124 1.60    
MANCUSO AT THE MIC Aug12 Jul17 Jun26 Jun19 May28 (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 124 6.00 26% 2.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.