Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Monday - August 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   08/29/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MUSAMAHA Jun28 May25       (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 31% 2.30    
LADY SIMPATIA Aug13 Jul21 Jul05 Jun15 Jun01 (castillo m)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 6.00    
ET'S MOON MAIDEN Aug22 Jul12 May02 Apr05 Mar21 (cha)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 8.00    
SCR  ELLARELLA Aug13 Jul30       (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 4.50    
BAZZARINA Aug12 Jul29 Jan23     (mazza w)FERRER C 121 20.00    
BALI BABY Jul31 Jun30 May20 Apr14 Mar24 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 117 2.00 26% 2.80    
ONLY DANIELLE Aug08 Jul02 Apr04     (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 124 4.00 19% 4.30    
MERAVIGLIOSO Aug04 Jan22       (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 10.00    
 
MTH-2   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIX O'CLOCK SARAH Aug14 Jul26 Jun28 Jun06 May23 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 117 2.00 13% 6.50    
JOE MIKE JIM Aug20 Jul31 Jul17 Jul06 Jun18 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 3.00 23% 3.30    
BOURBON REBELLION Aug01 Jul02 Jun18 Jun05 May22 (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 2.50 40% 1.50    
SAVE THE FLAG Aug20 Aug08 Jul31 Jul09 Jun14 (foglia m)JUAREZ NIK 117 4.50    
CHAMPAGNE SISTER Jul31 Jul08 May26     (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 117 8.00    
CALIENTE RUM Aug14 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 Jun03 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 117 5.00    
 
MTH-3   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTHINS FREE Aug21 Jul30 Jul09 Jun26 Jun12 (zerpa gilberto)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.00 24% 3.20    
SOUTHERN CENTS Aug21 Aug01 Jul16 Jun26 Jun13 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 8.00 16% 5.10    
ROSE E HOLIDAY Aug20 Aug05 Jul15 Jan16   (carvajal l)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 3.50    
FLASH TOWN Aug01 Jul09 Jun18 May30 Apr23 (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 120 1.60 38% 1.70    
SALSA RITA Aug21 Jul30 Jul09 Jun26 Jun18 (king clarence)SOSA LAUREANO 110 12.00    
MELANCHOLY BLUES Jul15 Jun25 Jun12 May22 Apr20 (wilson tony)CARDENAS LUIS 120 5.00    
 
MTH-4   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOOLS FAREWELL Aug13 Jul02       (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 118 12.00    
LEO AND LUCA Jul08         (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
COCO SHELL Aug01         (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 10.00    
SCR  SHADOW CHASER Aug15 Aug01 Jul08     (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00    
SMALL BUT FEISTY         (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 6.00    
GRO Aug01         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 118 2.50 35% 1.90    
SHOULDHAVEBEENGONE Aug01         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 6.00    
LITTLE BANKER MAN Aug15 Aug01 Jul08     (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
EASTON E         (einhorn kim)MOYA F 118 5.00 7% 13.30    
 
MTH-5   08/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIFIED Aug12 Jul17 Jun24 May27 May01 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.50 63% 0.60    
GUN FOR SUCCESS Aug15 Jul30 Jul02 May14 Apr10 (lucas bonnie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00    
SHIMMERING LEROID Aug21 Aug12 Jul22 Jun25 May28 (mccarthy b)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 6.00    
BEAU BROWN Aug12 Jun25 Jun05 Mar06 Feb06 (hennig mark)FERRER C 121 2.50    
GENERAL COMMAND Aug14 Feb18 Jan29     (schist)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 15.00    
BOB IN OUR MIDST Jul30 Jun29 Jun18 May30 May22 (sanchez jo)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 4.50 7% 13.70    
JAMA DILLON Aug02 Jul29 Jul09 Jun19 Jan21 (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 121 8.00    
MISTER J T Jul29 Jul04 Jun11 Apr29 Apr07 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 12.00    
 
MTH-6   08/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CABRA CHICA Aug05 Jul08 Jun25 May05 Apr24 (schultz linds)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.00    
SWIFT FACTOR Aug11 Jul27 Jul11 Jun13 Apr27 (padilla-p)VARGAS A 124 4.00    
AKEMI Aug05 Jul15 Jun11 May13 Apr03 (cole-d)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 12.00    
CHARLOTTE WEBLEY Aug06 Jul15 Jun12 May22 May09 (simmonds mich)JIMENEZ MANNY 121 10.00    
SPANIKOPITA Jun26 May30 May15 Apr16 Apr08 (cole-davis)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
LUSCIOUS Jul23 Jul04 Jun18 Apr30 Apr10 (bennett geral)PANAIJO JORGE 121 3.50 13% 6.60    
ALARM CLOCK Aug05 Jul23 Jul04 Jun05 Mar06 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 2.50 56% 0.80    
 
MTH-7   08/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUPER ENERGIZER Aug17 Aug07 Jul23 Jul04 Jun17 (pantaleo joseph)FERRER C 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
CONSTANT KNIGHT Aug13 Jul23 Jul04     (black m)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
PIRATE PARADE Aug07 Jul10 Jun12 May07 Mar19 (pimental john )TORRES JOMAR 120 5.00    
TETRAGRAMMATON Jul30 Jul19 Jun25 May28 Apr29 (sweezey ken)JIMENEZ ALBIN 115 6.00    
ARTIE'S ANGEL Aug17 Jul23 Jun25 May30 Apr24 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.00    
CASH NOW Aug13 Jul23 Jul09 Jun26 Jun18 (skelto)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 6.00 12% 7.00    
COMEDIC TIMING Aug12 Jul30 Jul15 Feb06   (gomez pom)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00 13% 6.40    
SOVEREIGN WARRIOR Aug06 Jun25 Jun20 May30 Apr18 (guerrero j )WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
 
MTH-8   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOPE FOR GOLD Aug14 Jul01 Jun16 May19   (follett no)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 20.00    
I'M OVER U Aug05 Jul04 May29     (margotta antho)MOYA F 120 2.50    
CLASSIC ESCAPE Aug12 Jul29 Jul09 Jun26 Jun17 (carvaja)GONZALEZ LUIS 117 10.00    
POP POP SUSI Jul24 Jul01 Jun24 May19 Apr23 (bro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 13% 6.90    
MR. EXTENSION Aug08 Jul24 Jun19 Jun04 May08 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 117 3.00 30% 2.30    
TIZ HANDSOME Aug08 Jul24 Jun10 May21 Apr06 (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00 13% 6.40    
DISTORTED LIMITS Jul16 Jun19       (hemin)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 1.60 20% 3.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.