Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - August 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   08/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY SEQUOIA Aug05 Jul22 Jul09 Jun24 Jun04 (velasquez rigo)SAMUELS JAKE 121 3.00 19% 4.20    
2  EROTIC Aug13 Jul22 Jul03 Jun26 Jun12 (baze robert)RADKE K 121 4.00 ★    
3  MILORDS OATHKEEPER Aug13 Jul22 Jun26 Jun05 May21 (wright blaine)GUTIERREZ M 121 2.50 ★    
4  STONUS MAXIMUS Aug12 Jul24 Jul09 Jun17 May29 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 121 1.80 34% 2.00    
5  IRISH TERRIER Jul29 Jul03 Jun12     (soranno jill)ZUNINO L 121 6.00 13% 6.70    
 
EMD-2   08/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($11.55K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR DEPUTY Aug12 Jul30 Jul15 Jun24 Jun10 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 124 2.50 20% 3.90    
2  ZATTER Aug13 Jul23 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 (toye joe)GUTIERREZ M 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
3  IRON ROB Aug06 Jul23 Jul03 Jun12 May28 (nunnally jennifer)RADKE K 124 2.00 22% 3.60    
4  BRONY BOY Aug05 Jul10 Jul03 Jun11 May28 (soranno jill)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 ★    
5  ROMAN RUSH Aug06 Jul23 Jul03 Jun12 May21 (bi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 8.00 ★    
6  FREESTONE Aug06 Jul23 Jun25 Jun12 Apr26 (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 124 6.00    
 
EMD-3   08/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMISSBAYMEADOWS Jul02 Jun11       (fearon john)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  GOOD OLD FAITHFUL         (simpson sha)DISDIER NICOLLE 121 3.00 60% 0.70    
3  BOSS NINE Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 Jun12 May22 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 118 2.50 ★    
4  MILEYS BLUECAT Aug21 Jul30 Jul16 Jun10 May15 (perez s)CRUZ M 121 2.00 ★    
5  SYZSLAK Aug13 Jul22 Jun18 Jun05 Apr26 (nunnally jenni)SAMUELS JAKE 121 6.00    
6  PHILIPIE FAST Jun11 May28 May15 Mar25 Mar12 (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 124 4.50 ★    
 
EMD-4   08/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANGATA MIST Jul24 Jul10 Jun19     (we)MARTINEZ NAHERD 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
2  SHINY TOY         (meeking a)RADKE K 123 4.00 6% 15.70    
3  SIGNATURE COLORS Aug06         (toye joe)ANAYA V 120 6.00 28% 2.50    
4  GOLD COAST GIRL Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 Jun26   (bullock steve)CRUZ M 120 5.00 ★    
5  MUCH ABOUT ONE Jan31 Jan07       (garcia jesus)ZUNINO L 120 20.00    
6  FLY ROBYN FLY Jul15 Jul02 Jun05     (toye joe)GUTIERREZ M 120 3.50 5% 17.50    
SCR  DONTFORGETHESUGAR Aug06 Jul10 Jun18     (cryderman cand)SAMUELS JAKE 120 8.00    
 
EMD-5   08/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORTY SMOOCHES Jul31 Jul09 Jun18     (cooper kay)MAWING A 124 4.50 27% 2.70    
2  HUNTERS GHOST Aug14 Jul30 Jul15 Jun26 Jun04 (perez s)RADKE K 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
3  MISCHIEF ROAD Aug13 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 Jun18 (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 121 4.00    
4  IDIDNTSEETHATCOMIN Jul31 Jul16 Jun26 Jun04 May15 (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 121 3.00 ★    
5  RINGS OF SATURN Aug13 Jul23 Jun18 Jun03 May15 (cooper kay)ANAYA V 124 5.00 12% 7.20    
6  ABRAAJ MIRAGE Jul30 Jul09 Jun12 May29 May03 (toye joe)ZUNINO L 121 8.00 ★    
7  AFTER THE CANDY Aug05 Jul22 Jan06     (metz jeffrey)SAMUELS JAKE 121 6.00    
 
EMD-6   08/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLING TO BURN Aug05 Jul16 Jun18 Jun04 May15 (essex charles)GUTIERREZ M 120 3.50 14% 6.00    
2  BIG FASHION Aug07 Jul10 Jun17 Jun04 May28 (cr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 120 10.00    
3  RED NOON RISING Aug14 Jul29 Jul10 Jun25 Jun10 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 120 2.50 13% 6.60    
4  PLEASE ME Aug14 Jul22 Jun26 May22   (toye joe)RADKE K 120 4.00 41% 1.40    
5  BLOWING BAYOU Aug13 Jul29 Jul16     (abrahamson mar)SAMUELS JAKE 120 12.00    
6  KISS RIDE GOODBYE Aug12 Aug10 Jul30 Jul22 Jun03 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 123 10.00 ★    
7  MEAN SHARON Aug13 Jul29 Jul16 Jun18 Jun04 (person kenne)OROZCO E 120 6.00 5% 17.80    
8  LE TUB Aug06 Jul29 Jul16 Jun26 Jun10 (toye joe)ANAYA V 123 5.00    
 
EMD-7   08/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROSPERA Aug19 Jun19 May29     (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 120 3.50 ★    
2  FIRE ESCAPE Aug07 Jul01 May29 Apr23   (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 117 5.00 ★    
SCR  DONTKISSNTELL Jul24 Jun26 Jun12 May22   (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 123 1.60 61% 0.60    
4  OREO'S DREAM Aug05 Jul16 Jun26     (moore gregory)GUTIERREZ M 123 6.00 ★    
5  UNSINKABLE MOLLY B Aug14 Jul16 Jun19 May28   (jenne bonnie)MAWING A 120 8.00    
6  YOU GO GIRL Aug14 Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 May22 (bullock steve)RADKE K 120 3.00 10% 9.40    
 
EMD-8   08/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOSCOW LADY Aug20 Jul30 Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 (bullock steve)RADKE K 120 5.00 22% 3.60    
2  LAFONDA Aug12 Jul30 Jul10 Jun18 Jan17 (harwood m)MAWING A 120 8.00 ★    
3  EASY DOES IT Aug12 Jul17 Jun25 Apr28 Apr13 (koler steve)ZUNINO L 123 15.00    
4  SHE'S MY RIDE Aug11 Jul02 Jun04     (simpson sha)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 120 10.00    
5  IT'S CURLIN TIME Aug12 Jul29 Jul03 Jun11 May29 (toye joe)GUTIERREZ M 123 4.00 19% 4.40    
6  SWEET KATIE O Jul17 Jul01       (essex charles)ANAYA V 123 8.00    
7  LET IT REIGN Aug14 Jul30 Jul10 Jun18 Jun04 (metz jeffrey)SAMUELS JAKE 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
8  TYCHE AWAITS YOU Aug07 Jul03 Jun05 May21 May08 (markle dan)CRUZ M 117 2.50 5% 18.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.