Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Friday - August 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   08/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIEF KIMOSABI Aug03 Jun23 Jun11 Apr30 Apr13 (flint steve)STOKES J 113 5.00    
COMMANDER SCOTT Jul20 Jun22 May20 Apr22 Apr08 (ducoing sturges)MCMAHON J 118 3.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  ITS WILD AGAIN Aug15 Mar26 Mar03 Jan20   (faucheux ron)MAGNON H 113 6.00    
WISH UPON A STAR Jul20 Jun30 Jun18 May20 Apr28 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 2.00 17% 4.70    
AND FIFTY Jul26 Jun03 Apr22 Mar27 Mar10 (david b)DEL-CID VICENTE 108 10.00    
ALIGNED INTEREST Jul27 Jul14 Jun18 Jun01 May18 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 4.00    
HOT LE ROY Aug05 Jun23 May26 May05 Apr20 (larrosa a)FUSILIER C 118 15.00    
I LIKE DREAMING Jul10 Jun25 May07 Mar18 Mar05 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 113 20.00    
 
EVD-2   08/26/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  RESPOSADO Aug06 Jul23 Jun09 Jan28 Jan08 (thomas lee)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 10.00    
SCR  TOP TEN DUCHESS Jul25 Jul11 May11 Feb14 Jan23 (thomas lee)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 10.00    
SUMMERTIME BANDIT Jul28 Jun23 Jun01 Apr20 Jan28 (averett ronnie)FUSILIER C 121 4.50    
SCR  LIL ADEAU Jul08 Jun03 May21 Mar25 Mar04 (breaux samuel)STOKES J 121 3.50    
LA SMOOCHIE Jul16 Jun18 Jun04 May07 Apr20 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
TUGBOAT Jul15 Jul01 Jun15 May26 Apr27 (ramirez eduardo)MCMAHON J 118 6.00 18% 4.50    
IRONIT Jul08 Jun19 May21 May04 Apr14 (courville ri)MAGNON H 118 2.00 19% 4.20    
 
EVD-3   08/26/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
L G GIRL Aug11 Jul30 Jul16 Jun26 May19 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 1.60    
TAKENFORGRANTED Aug12 Jul30 Jul08 Jun23 May27 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
APHRODITES REVENGE Aug12 Jul30 Jul09 Jun24 Jun03 (holden mark)HEBERT J 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
SHE'S MY PRIORITY Aug12 Jul01 Jun08 May19 Apr06 (brown i)STOKES A 120 5.00 13% 6.70    
ARKANSAS BLING Aug05 Jul02 Apr29     (harrison co)BALTHAZAR JARED 123 20.00 9% 9.60    
MISSGREELEY'SSONG Aug18 Jul30 Jul09 Jun24 Jun15 (west henry)MCMAHON J 120 12.00    
SHREW GRIT         (latour)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 123 20.00    
SWIMHARD DREAMBIG Aug12 Jul22 Jun08 May25 May04 (richard russ)MAGNON H 120 10.00    
 
EVD-4   08/26/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CALIFORNIA CALI Jun29 May20       (latour nicholas)STOKES J 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
DIVINE DEFENCE Jul23 Jun24       (alonzo howa)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 8.00    
VALERIE LOUISE Feb16         (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 120 20.00    
GLORIOUS GEARS         (keith d)FUSILIER C 120 12.00 8% 11.90    
LAWLESS TIMES         (calhoun will)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 15.00    
QUOTABELLE Jul04 Jun05       (faucheux ron)MELANCON G 118 1.60    
RYAN'S GRACE Jul01 Jun13 May20 Mar23   (flint steve)THORNTON G 118 5.00    
LEARNING TO WIN         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 118 2.50 34% 2.00    
FINAL QUEST         (brinkman b)ALBERT S 110 6.00 9% 9.90    
 
EVD-5   08/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIGNIFIED N KRAFTY Aug13 Jul27 Jul13 May11 Apr15 (morrell cyn)BALTHAZAR JARED 123 20.00    
EXOTIC GENTLEMAN Aug12         (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 118 3.00 38% 1.60    
JOEY'S LIGHTENING Aug17 Jul15       (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 10.00    
MINE YOUR BIZ         (ladner marvin)RODRIGUEZ L 123 12.00 13% 6.60    
D'FESTIVE CAT         (bourque war)LEDET THEODRICK 123 20.00    
HEZA BREEZIN Aug03 Jul09       (zeno b)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 20.00    
COUNT ON RAIN Jun17 Jun04       (benoit james)LEBLANC C 118 15.00    
PERFECT STRIKE Jul21 Jun11       (thomas lee)ALBERT S 113 3.50 26% 2.90    
MISCHEVIOUS ROBERT May11 Feb19 Jan22     (zeno b)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 123 4.50    
SCR  WILD FIST Aug18 Jun24 Jun04     (ladner j)STOKES J 118 15.00    
11  LANE Jul15 Jun17       (woodley j)THORNTON G 118 6.00    
12  PAC THE PULPIT Aug05 Jul21 Jun29 Jun03 Apr28 (zenon shelton)HERNANDEZ V 123 8.00    
 
EVD-6   08/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MOCITO ROJO Jan12         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 3.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  BEACHCOMBING Jul23 May15 Jan14     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.00    
METROPOL Jul31 Jul09 Jun24 Jun09 May19 (govea cesa)MARQUEZ L 118 4.00    
SCR  FREEDOM FACTOR Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 May04 Mar27 (govea cesar)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 4.00    
SCR  INTIMIDATION Jul28 Jun18 Jun02 May13 Apr22 (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 118 12.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  CITY PARK Aug06 Jul02 Jun04 Apr29 Mar05 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 10.00 14% 6.00    
PACIFICISLANDTIME Aug03 Jul02 Jun16 May26 Apr28 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 115 15.00    
FORTUITY Jul23 Jun22 May25 Apr22 Mar19 (faucheux r)ALBERT S 113 3.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  FORESTDUNGONE Jul14 Jun04 May18 Apr22 Mar27 (bourgeois k)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 8.00    
GET THEM JUSTIN Aug06 Jul14 Jun01 May18 Apr22 (segura kearney)STOKES J 115 15.00    
SARCASTIC TONE Aug04 Jul16 Jul04 Apr09 Mar19 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 15.00    
10  RUNAWAY TRACY Aug13 Jul13 Jun22 Jun02 Apr15 (jackson dwayne)HERNANDEZ V 118 20.00    
11  PIPES AND DRUMS Jul23 Jul02 May25 Apr29 Mar05 (arceneaux victor)FUSILIER C 118 6.00    
SCR  AFLEET ASCENT Jul27 Jun29       (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-7   08/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAWBERRY SUNDAE Aug10 Jul19       (faucheux ron)MAGNON H 117 15.00    
LADY FLURRY Aug06 Jun20       (broberg karl)MELANCON G 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
LA VIE EN ROUGE Aug10 Jul15 Jun17     (landry ray)STOKES J 117 20.00    
STHEPANIE PRINCESS Jul07 Jun17       (cordero an)MARQUEZ L 117 15.00    
DORGENOIS Aug06 Jul15 Jun17     (faucheux ro)BALTHAZAR JARED 119 20.00    
JANET IS READY Aug06 Jul08 Jun17 May13   (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 1.80 47% 1.10    
CAJUN GUMBOW Jul17 Jul02       (gelner j)MCMAHON J 119 4.00    
HEY MADALYN CLAIRE Aug10         (delahoussaye g)THORNTON G 119 12.00    
COPPER MOON Aug10         (richards corale )FUSILIER C 119 8.00    
10  FOR HARPER Aug10         (ducoing stur)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 10.00    
 
EVD-8   08/26/2022 4950ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
K R TARGET Jul21 Jun29 Jun11 Feb18 Jan21 (roberts kenneth)MCMAHON J 115 3.50    
LAMONT Aug06 Jul22 Jun24     (zeno benjam)BALTHAZAR JARED 115 15.00    
NVRFORGET URDREAMS Jul27 Jul06 Jun22 Jun03   (giangrosso r)MAGNON H 120 10.00    
BARNEY'S PASSION Aug03 May25 Apr14 Mar04 Feb17 (charles jon)LEDET THEODRICK 115 12.00    
PLAY MASTER Aug12 Jul15 Jun29 Jun16 May25 (perron ger)ALBERT S 110 4.50    
LITTLE MAN E DUBAI Aug05 Jul06 Jun17     (pennin)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00    
K V TARGET Aug12 Jul27 Jun24     (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 6.00    
ANGOLA VACATION Aug12 Jul27 Jul15 Jun22 May27 (zenon shelton)HERNANDEZ V 115 8.00    
HUDSON HOP Jun02         (rogers andy)HEBERT J 120 20.00    
10  VERDUNVILLE Jul30 Jul15 Jun22 Jun02 May07 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 2.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  HESACALENDARBOY Aug17 Jul30 Jul10 Jun10 May07 (gelner scott)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 2.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  SHOETRICK Aug17 Jul22 May18 Apr22 Mar02 (brinkman bre)MAGNON H 118 2.50 60% 0.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.