Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - July 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   07/25/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMILES GALORE         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.00    
2  GATHER IN BALI         (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 5.00 ★    
3  SHE'SMYBUTTERCUP         (gomez c)LOZADA CARLOS 120 8.00 7% 13.50    
4  BIEN JOUE Jun17 May19       (diodoro r)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 3.00 15% 5.70    
5  SUMMER TSUNAMI Jun05 May10 Mar23 Feb26 Jan23 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 ★    
6  EARLY DISMISSAL Jul02 Jun05 May14 May01 Apr15 (witt ii)COTTO L 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
LAD-2   07/25/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORGERON Jul04 Jun15 May21 Apr13 Mar06 (faucheux ro)MORALES ROBERTO 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
2  LANDRY AND LUCAS Jun26 Jun04 May07 Mar24   (lara jorge)CULP BRIANNE 115 3.00    
SCR  BULLETSREVENGE Jul06 Jun22 Jun03 May19 May05 (robbins han)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 6.00 ★    
4  HALF A BUCK Jul02 Jun12 May22 Feb24 Feb11 (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.00 13% 6.40    
5  CHIEFWEAVE May22 May14       (broberg karl)VARGAS P 124 3.50 ★    
6  LULLABY BANDIT Jul06 May22 Apr22 Jan15   (shamsie randy)SINGH R 124 8.00 10% 9.50    
 
LAD-3   07/25/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BODE'S CONNECTION Jul04 May30 Mar26 Mar09 Feb26 (hodges james )LOZADA CARLOS 118 1.80 57% 0.70    
2  TARGET VISION Jul10 Jun27 May16 Feb02 Jan01 (mckellar p)CULP BRIANNE 119 2.50 ★    
3  VIOLET SHADOWS Jul11 Jun25 May11 May02 Mar05 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 118 8.00 14% 6.20    
4  T J'S FIRST Jun21 Jun07 May16 Apr07 Mar24 (cangemi daniel)COTTO L 122 3.00 ★    
5  EL CALIENTE LADY Jul04 Mar02 Jan06     (nelson eric)FLORES S 118 15.00    
6  PAT HAND GIRL Jul04 Jun11 May21 Mar25 Mar09 (hargrave ken)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 4.00 ★    
 
LAD-4   07/25/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MONGOLIAN DIAMOND Jul11         (gibson jonas)BOREL H 120 2.50 25% 2.90    
2  SLEW SOUTH Jun05 May03 Apr04 Mar25 Mar04 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  BAD GAL RIRI Jun27 Jun14 May31 May16 Apr28 (singh s)SINGH R 121 20.00    
SCR  THETHRILLERSGONE Jun27 Jun07 May16 Mar09 Jan01 (balderas alfon)BACA L 117 12.00    
5  THIRSTY SISTER Jun27 Jun07       (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 124 8.00 11% 7.80    
6  COPPER BELLE Jun26 May15 Mar25     (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 ★    
7  BEYOND THE HYPE Jul12 Jun08 May25 Apr29 Apr07 (johnson henry )GUZMAN JORGE 120 2.00 25% 3.10    
 
LAD-5   07/25/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIFTED TALENT Jul16 Jul03 Jun25 Jun05 May23 (beavin judy)GUZMAN JORGE 122 5.00    
1A  DREAMIT Jul16 May07 Mar05 Feb19 Feb03 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 25% 3.00    
2  LEUDEAL Jul10 May28 Apr08 Mar10 Feb19 (gomez c)BACA L 118 6.00 18% 4.60    
3  TOP TEN DUCHESS Jul11 May11 Feb14 Jan23   (thomas lee)COTTO L 120 6.00 ★    
4  AVERI EVER AFTER Jul04 Jun12 May23 Mar18 Feb11 (duke steven)LOZADA CARLOS 120 3.00 ★    
5  PLATINUM QUEEN Jul04 Jun13 May17 Mar25 Mar04 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 1.20 29% 2.40    
6  GOLDEN ARTIST Jun25 May16 Mar12 Jan09   (jeansonne just)MORA GERARDO 116 8.00    
 
LAD-6   07/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. B CAUSE Jul04 Jun20 Jun06 May22 May09 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 118 10.00    
2  MISTS OF TIME Jun26 May31 May16 Mar06 Jan13 (hernandez estefan)BOREL H 122 5.00 9% 10.00    
3  GOLDEN PASSAGE Jul03 Jun04 Apr14 Apr01 Mar19 (ramirez )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 3.50 13% 6.60    
4  CATHOLIC GUILT Mar06 Feb26 Jan16     (johnson henry )GUZMAN JORGE 122 3.00 9% 10.50    
5  PESO IN MY POCKET May24 May08 Jan15     (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 118 15.00    
6  MOCITO ROYALE         (cates al)CULP BRIANNE 117 30.00    
7  REPLETE Jul03 Jun26 Jun17 Jun09 Apr03 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00 11% 8.10    
8  FIRST AVENUE Jul03 Jun23 May22 May01 Mar16 (hurley re)MORA GERARDO 122 6.00    
9  BRICK TOWN Jun26 May21 Mar05 Feb16   (ashford ra)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
LAD-7   07/25/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INPENDING BREEZE Jul09 Jun19       (kanhai joseph)SINGH R 124 6.00    
2  FEDERAL COURT Jun25 Jun12 Jun04 Feb24 Feb02 (kanhai joseph)TORRES HUGO 115 6.00 ★    
3  WHO DAT GREY Jul04 Jun12 May23 Feb23 Jan19 (beavin judy)GUZMAN JORGE 119 12.00    
4  COLD NIGHT AIR Jul09 Jun23 May14 Apr02 Mar25 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 2.00 51% 1.00    
5  MISS CHECKMARK Jul04 Jun25 Jun07 May21   (espinoza)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00 ★    
6  C C'S COWGIRL Jul12 Jun21 May29 May09 Mar17 (schmidt denise)BACA L 120 3.50 ★    
7  STORMY SUNRISE Jul04 Jun25 Feb09 Jan26 Jan13 (nelson eric)FLORES S 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.