Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - July 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   07/14/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMIGOS GUITAR Jun24 Jun03 May26     (graci kimberly)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 ★    
2  BANKING ON BIZ Jun01 May05 Apr08     (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 3.50 23% 3.30    
3  WORLD OF FOOLS Jul09 Jun17 Jun04 May29 May06 (smith m)CORA D 118 10.00 12% 7.10    
4  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER Jul04 Jun20 Jun15 May30 May25 (smith lawre)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 12.00    
5  LUPI         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  MISTER GARY Jun23 Jun03 May13 Apr22 Mar29 (carpio er)VARGAS L 120 4.00    
7  COOL YOUR BOOTS Jun16         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00    
SCR  ONE NINER TANGO Jun09 May02 Apr05 Mar15 Feb15 (lake a)WHITNEY G 120 2.50 13% 6.90    
 
PEN-2   07/14/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLOODPROF Jun25 Jun04 Apr16 Jan02   (d'angelo ricardo)AVILES YAN 115 3.50    
SCR  ZORB Jun06 May07 Apr14 Mar31 Feb18 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 8.00 ★    
3  COOS BAY Jun29 Jun01 May11 Apr22 Apr01 (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 120 8.00    
4  HYMN'S SYLVIA Jun29         (shea h)CORA D 120 10.00    
5  MILITARY DRILL Jun17 May28 Apr30 Apr02 Mar03 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 3.00 ★    
6  MYSTIC TIMES Jun25 Apr21 Feb19 Feb03 Jan27 (martin aug)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 113 10.00    
7  DREAMING OF LOVE Jun29 Jun16 May20 May06 Apr22 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
SCR  BIGMANCAN Jun29 Jun03 May19 Apr22 Mar29 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 1.80 11% 8.00    
SCR  HIS NAME IS SUE Jun15 May11 Apr06 Feb23 Jan12 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 1.40 55% 0.80    
10  I GOT A ROCK Jun21 Mar13 Jan12     (joy j)AGUILAR M 120 2.50 10% 9.10    
 
PEN-3   07/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN LUCKY Jun23 May26 May11 Apr18 Mar28 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 43% 1.30    
2  LUCYS GIRL         (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 12.00    
3  HEAVENLY HEART Jun23         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 6.00 ★    
4  OUR JESSICA JOAN Jul01 Jun14 May11 Apr20   (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00 ★    
5  NUMERATOR Jun23         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
6  NYX AND CHAOS Jun23 Jun16 May20 Apr20 Mar25 (kulp brando)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
7  PROVIDING Jun02         (martin w)WHITNEY G 122 12.00    
8  LA CIENEGA         (kreiser timot)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50 12% 7.40    
SCR  GO HALAINN Jun23 May26       (carpio er)VARGAS L 122 10.00    
 
PEN-4   07/14/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIPPY JO         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 15.00    
2  RACINGINTHESTREET Jun11         (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 122 1.60 52% 0.90    
3  MY MASTERPIECE Jun27 May30 Apr25 Apr11 Feb11 (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 15.00    
4  FIRST FOREVER Jun11 May13 Apr14 Mar02 Feb11 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 ★    
5  LADY MUNNINGS May25 Apr29 Mar30 Feb01   (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 12% 7.50    
6  BALI Jun24 Jun15 Feb18 Jan14   (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  JUSTKISSMYGRITS Jun23 May25 Apr29 Apr08 Mar22 (graci kimb)MELENDEZ MARIANO 113 12.00    
8  TRUE HEIRESS Jun09 Apr28 Apr13 Mar04 Jan27 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 3.00 13% 6.90    
 
PEN-5   07/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DASHI May27 Mar23 Mar15 Feb18   (johnston rob)CORA D 120 10.00 8% 12.00    
2  BLEZNIATKA Jun11 May12 Apr28     (lovato patricia)WHITNEY G 120 8.00    
SCR  REINE SECRET Jun11 May20       (reynolds joan )CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 ★    
4  SMOKE AND MIRRORS Jun24 Jun11 May25 May07 Apr20 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 2.50 ★    
5  PARABLE Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May25 May16 (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 12.00 10% 8.50    
6  ELITE SPEED         (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 1.80 44% 1.30    
 
PEN-6   07/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEROCKETMAN Jun22 May25 Apr27 Mar30 Mar01 (shuchman )HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00 ★    
2  FLAT OUT FLASHY Jun22 May26 Apr28 Apr06 Feb22 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
3  THUNDER GRUNDER May05 Mar25 Mar04 Feb15 Jan26 (graci kimbe)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.50 ★    
4  CATTLE DRIVE Jun02 May05 Mar29 Mar11 Mar01 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 20.00    
5  GRIT AND GLORY Jun25         (catalano l)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
6  LEGAL GUMP Jun15 May25 Jan12     (linder loui)NUNEZ Y 124 6.00    
7  DIAMOND SETTER Jun22 Jan26 Jan12     (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 20.00 14% 6.40    
8  PEPE TONO Jun02 May05 Mar29 Mar11 Mar01 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 124 10.00    
 
PEN-7   07/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOZANI R V F Jun17 Jun09 May12 Mar09 Feb11 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00 6% 16.20    
2  SPEEDY ZEPHYR Jun30 Jun14 May28 Apr13 Mar30 (velazquez d)RAMOS C 113 1.50 ★    
SCR  OVER AND THUNDER         (schoenthal)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 1.40 29% 2.50    
4  SHANGHAI CANDY Jun29 May19 May06 Apr15 Mar05 (bullock jo)MELENDEZ Y 110 2.50 ★    
5  STILL THE ONE         (smith s)LLOYD W 122 15.00 27% 2.70    
 
PEN-8   07/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILL TAKE ROSES Jun29 Jun11 May13 Mar22 Mar04 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00 ★    
2  QUEEN ROSEMARY Jun29 Jun02 May07 Apr27 Mar02 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.60 18% 4.40    
3  FAVORITE DOLL Jun02 May19 Mar22 Mar02 Feb16 (ferreira fern)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 12.00 ★    
4  FORGOTTEN ONE Jun16         (farley phill)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00    
5  BIRD TRAFFIC Jun09 May26 May13 Apr28 Apr01 (kreiser timot)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 2.00 53% 0.90    
6  EARLY FROST Jun15 May26 Apr28 Mar29 Mar04 (ippolito mark)CORA D 120 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.