Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - July 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   07/07/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOON MEISTER May19 Apr28 Mar15 Feb11 Jan28 (ferreira fern)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 6.00 ★    
2  DIGGERS DIAMOND Jun10 May19 Apr20 Mar29 Mar22 (geist w)BAKER J 120 1.80 18% 4.50    
3  RIPPOLINO Jun17 Apr20 Mar30 Mar09 Feb18 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 21% 3.90    
4  VISHNU Jun10 Apr28 Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 120 6.00 ★    
5  BOCK May20 Apr22 Mar29 Mar15 Mar01 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 118 2.50 35% 1.80    
 
PEN-2   07/07/2022 5490ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADOW BOAT Jun17 May25 May12 Apr22 Mar18 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 118 20.00    
2  SPIN CYCLE Jun29 Jun10 Mar04 Feb15 Jan19 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 11% 8.20    
3  ESPRESSO CALIENTE Jun17 Apr06 Mar16 Mar04 Jan28 (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
SCR  NORTHERN THUNDER Jun30 May21 Apr28 Apr01 Mar11 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
5  TOMASCO Jun11         (farley phill)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 30.00    
6  TIL THE END Jun19 May28 May05 Mar12 Jan20 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 12% 7.40    
7  MY FRIEND FRANK Jun17 May24       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 ★    
8  BEACH TRAFFIC Jun17 May25       (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00    
9  THE TRAIN Jun17         (rodriguez franklin)CORA D 120 8.00 5% 18.80    
10  LEAVE 'EM LOADED Jun23 Jun10 May20 May06 Apr22 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 10.00    
 
PEN-3   07/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKIN COWBOY Jun22 Jun14 May25 Apr27 Apr19 (gonzalez-mi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 12.00    
2  CAMGO Jun09 May11 Apr27 Mar30 Jan11 (o'callahan c)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 30.00 5% 18.00    
3  I SEE THE STARS May12 Apr20 Mar30 Mar18 Feb02 (graci kimberly)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 14% 6.00    
4  TORAZO Jun09 May11 Apr27 Mar18 Mar01 (graci kimb)MELENDEZ MARIANO 117 6.00 37% 1.70    
5  CAUSE OF ACTION Jun22 Jun17 May25 May11 Mar29 (geist dav)VARGAS L 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  WHO YOU SAY I AM Jun23         (smith r)WHITNEY G 124 6.00    
SCR  SO LONG CHUCK         (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 124 6.00    
8  AGAINST THE ODDS Jun22 May11 Apr08 Mar18 Feb23 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50 8% 11.20    
9  BOPPIN ANDA WEAVIN Jun22         (gorham mich)MARIN A 124 4.00    
10  STONE SCULPTOR Jun22 Jun09 May25 May06 Mar30 (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00    
 
PEN-4   07/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURLINGTON Jun22 May07 Apr14 Mar26 Jan07 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 ★    
2  MUCHO MACHO EDDIE May21 Apr28 Mar29 Feb21 Jan28 (ness jamie)AVILES YAN 113 1.60 70% 0.40    
3  BERMONDSEY Jun25 May27 Apr29 Apr20 Mar23 (nunley rand)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 ★    
4  WAR NOVEL Jun10 May21 May08 Apr20 Apr08 (maroun dougl)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 5.00 ★    
5  HELMS DEEP (GB) Jun10 May12 Apr22 Apr01   (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 2.50 ★    
 
PEN-5   07/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT ABOUT TONIGHT May11 Apr11 Mar21 Feb28 Feb09 (velazquez d)NUNEZ Y 122 2.00 27% 2.80    
2  FAIRY DUST Jun16 May25 Apr29 Mar08 Feb09 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00 13% 6.70    
3  STORMY SPELL Jun16 Apr29 Mar16 Jan25 Jan14 (zalalas mic)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00 ★    
4  ORIGINALY FROM DOT Jun11 May13 Apr21 Apr11 Mar28 (moreno tito)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 12.00 ★    
5  SHATTER ME Apr29 Apr08       (kulp l)WHITNEY G 122 3.50    
6  KAREN'S WAY Jun29 May13 Apr27 Mar21 Feb28 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
PEN-6   07/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON ISLAND TIME Jun15 May25 Apr29 Apr06 Feb02 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 2.00 ★    
2  NO EASY ANSWER Jun15 May26       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 12% 7.60    
3  LUSCIOUS LOLA Jun11 May13 May02 Apr12 Mar28 (kulp brando)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 ★    
4  TAK E LADY Jun17 Jun02 May06 Mar23   (stites p)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 ★    
5  MORGANS MELODY Jun11 May13 Feb22 Jan25 Jan07 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 3.00 61% 0.60    
6  ECLIPTICALS SARAH         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
 
PEN-7   07/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARVALOUS MIKE Jun15         (montoya ma)SANCHEZ J 120 2.00 ★    
2  CRITICAL THINKING Jun11 May27 May07 Apr06 Mar16 (shea h)CORA D 120 6.00 ★    
3  MINE THE COIN Jun11 May26       (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  SUPER COMET May21 Apr20 Mar09 Feb10 Jan13 (hawthorne bobb)ADORNO ABNER 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
5  ANNAMATED MOON Jun11 May11 Apr28 Mar01 Feb11 (kreiser timoth)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 15% 5.90    
 
PEN-8   07/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE YUDI Jun10 May20 Apr29 Mar23 Mar15 (kravets bruce )CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 ★    
2  STREET LAMP Jun23 May21 May08 Apr01 Mar18 (sillaman )HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 41% 1.50    
3  MIDDLE EARTH Jun09 May21 Apr29 Feb15 Feb02 (mcmahon demel)ALVELO C 117 3.00 30% 2.30    
4  SOUL STORY Jun11 May26 May13 Apr29 Apr08 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 4.50 ★    
5  THAT'S MY BOI TOY Jun23 Jun01 Apr27 Apr16 Mar25 (jacavone john)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 10.00    
6  LTL BEAR SALOON Jun11 May21 May12 Apr08 Feb08 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 6.00    
7  KHAKI JACK Jun23 Jun03 May13 Apr22   (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.