Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Monday - July 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE CARROUSEL Jun11 May07 Apr08 Mar18 Feb11 (gustafson aust)QUINONEZ S 121 8.00 ★    
2  DIAMONDS N ACES Jun05 May22 May07 Mar26 Mar03 (whitelaw mich)EIKLEBERRY RY 118 3.00 ★    
3  SHOW ME GRACE Jun10 Apr30       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.80 52% 0.90    
4  SALTAMONTES DIVA Jun10 May07 Apr08 Mar04 Feb11 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 5.00 9% 9.80    
5  MISSISZIPPY BLING Jun16 May28 Mar26 Mar11 Feb24 (davidson sa)HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00    
6  WHITE WOMAN CREEK Jun11 May13 Apr30     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 15.00    
7  FACESTER Jun11 May28 May15 Apr08 Mar24 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 120 20.00    
8  PEEK FACTOR May27 May06 Feb16 Jan14   (peek kevin)ERAMIA E 123 4.00 8% 12.00    
 
LS-2   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE TRAP         (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 121 20.00 13% 6.90    
2  WITTS SHOWTIME Jun25 Jun16 May22 May13 Mar05 (barton aman)HAMILTON WESTON 121 5.00 ★    
3  RED BIRD'S STORM Jun24 May22 May01 Mar23 Mar11 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 3.00 ★    
4  MUSTBELIEVE Jun04         (butler ken )INIRIO J 124 30.00    
5  PLAY RULE Jun26 May29       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 0.60 63% 0.60    
6  LECTERN May28 May13 Apr08     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 121 20.00    
7  KITTY CAT BLING May29 May07 Apr07 Mar12   (ewing ea)SANCHEZ M 124 12.00 ★    
 
LS-3   07/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUARTERBACK DAK Jun19 May27 May01 Feb26 Jan29 (villafranc)ERAMIA E 120 8.00    
2  HERD IMMUNITY May23 Apr30 Feb13 Jan16   (diodoro r)TORRES A 124 12.00 ★    
3  COAL TRUTH Jun09 May08 Apr10 Mar13 Feb20 (petalino joe)DIEGO V 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  ERNIE BANKER Jun09 May06 Apr02 Mar20 Mar05 (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 3.00 ★    
5  DEFENDER May15 Apr09 Mar13 Feb19   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 1.40 62% 0.60    
6  TOWN CHAMP Apr23 Mar31 Mar13 Feb18 Jan29 (hewitt mich)WETHEY JR 122 3.50 6% 14.90    
7  OLIVER Jun16 May06 Mar05 Feb09   (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00    
8  SARCASTIC TONE Apr09 Mar19 Mar05 Jan30 Jan12 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 8.00    
 
LS-4   07/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNNING JESSE Jun09 Mar18 Feb11 Jan30 Jan13 (k)DE CRUZ 120 3.50 13% 6.60    
2  WARRIORS HAVEN Jun16 May29 May15 Apr29 Apr09 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.00    
SCR  TEXAS THUNDER Jun11 May20 May07 Mar26 Feb19 (jacks k)GONCALVES R 112 3.00 34% 2.00    
4  TENACIOUS LION Jun23 May19 Apr01 Feb25 Feb11 (lucarelli fran)MORA GERARDO 120 15.00    
5  BLING'S BELLWETHER         (smith p)MONTALVO C 120 6.00 19% 4.30    
6  TIMED EVENT May15 Mar18 Mar04 Jan30 Jan13 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 117 10.00    
7  OH SNAP Jun23 Jun16 May19 Apr01 Mar17 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 6.00 ★    
8  MORO MERICA Jun16 May30 May19 May01 Mar17 (chacaltana d)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 20.00    
9  MUCHO BLING Jun24 May19 May01 Apr01 Mar17 (villafranco marti)DIEGO V 120 6.00 6% 14.60    
 
LS-5   07/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOOTIE May22 May06 Mar25 Mar10   (dupuy all)STEINBERG GARRETT 120 10.00 ★    
2  BEBOP BABY May27 May06 Mar26 Mar16 Feb11 (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 123 3.00    
3  CANADA'S CUSTOMS Jun16 May29 May14 May01 Mar25 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 1.80 54% 0.90    
4  INTO CLASSIC Jun11 May06       (frazee )GONCALVES R 118 20.00    
5  MIZONEY Jun05 May12 Apr09 Mar23 Mar09 (castellanos)INIRIO J 121 20.00 ★    
6  APPRECIABLE Jun26 Jun16 May28 May22 Apr01 (broberg k)TORRES A 120 12.00    
SCR  MIZ JAMESON Jun17 May20       (dodwell dal)DIEGO V 118 20.00    
8  DUTCH TREAT Jun23 Jun11 May20 May06 Mar27 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 5.00 ★    
9  ROLLIN CHROME Jun17 May30 May20 Mar19 Mar03 (baldillez a)MELANCON JANSEN 118 4.00 21% 3.80    
 
LS-6   07/04/2022 2640ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET FREEDOM BLING Jun19 Jun05 May14     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 15.00    
2  GLITZ AND GLAMOUR May14         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 15.00    
3  STELLA G May19         (gustafson)STEINBERG GARRETT 119 5.00    
4  FOOLISH DELIGHT         (green greg)ERAMIA E 119 8.00 10% 9.00    
5  GRACIE'S KITTEN Jun05         (davidson sa)MELANCON JANSEN 119 30.00    
6  BLOOMING HILLS         (ashford)GONCALVES R 119 8.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  GENUINE DRAFT         (young e)MORA GERARDO 119 15.00 10% 9.00    
8  SALT N LIME         (diodoro rob)WETHEY JR 119 3.50 12% 7.60    
9  IT'S STORMY Jun05         (herreros steph)MATA U 119 20.00    
10  MO BONITA Jun19 May26       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 1.60 40% 1.50    
 
LS-7   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITTS QUESO Jun03 May21       (barton aman)HAMILTON WESTON 120 20.00    
2  FAVORITE NAN         (gustafson aust)LUZZI J 123 5.00    
3  GOLDEN HAMMER Jun19 Jun03 May21 Feb20 Jan08 (hewitt michael)QUINONEZ S 123 3.00 14% 6.00    
4  ONE RACY LADY Jun24 Jun16 May28 May15 Mar02 (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 120 20.00 6% 14.80    
5  TWO ANGELS Jun18 May22 May12 Apr02 Mar19 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 120 4.50 ★    
6  PHARME'S PHINALE Jun11 May21 May12 Apr30 Mar19 (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 15.00    
7  LUMBERJACK LESLIE May22 May14 Apr02 Mar19 Mar02 (j)DE CRUZ 123 3.50 45% 1.20    
8  SI QUERE Jun19 May22 Apr30 Apr09 Mar12 (castellanos)INIRIO J 123 12.00    
9  CHARMINGSIDE Jun03 May12 Jan29     (pish danny)MONTALVO C 120 5.00 11% 8.40    
10  SHERRYS BABY Jun19 Jun11 May22 May14 Apr30 (echeverri)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 10.00    
 
LS-8   07/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOC IRWIN Jun17 May08 May01 Apr09 Apr01 (witt ii)QUINONEZ S 122 15.00    
2  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Jun25 Jun16 May29 May08 Apr28 (govea cesar)DIEGO V 122 15.00    
3  OKLAHOMA HEAT May24 May11 Apr19 Mar30 Feb17 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 124 15.00    
4  GENOMIC May14 Mar10 Feb10     (calhoun willia)LUZZI J 122 4.50 9% 9.70    
5  SCREENPLAY Jun19 May27 May07 Apr07 Mar23 (davis sha)TORRES A 124 15.00    
6  BEST TIME Jun17 May15 May01 Mar25 Feb12 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 3.00 ★    
7  SCHMOOZE Jun19 May21 May08 Mar17 Feb10 (a)DE CRUZ 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  G VICTORY Jun17 Feb11 Jan20 Jan08   (gelner j)MORA GERARDO 122 5.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  VETERAN'S HOLIDAY Jun25 May29 May08 Mar24 Feb12 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00    
10  COST AVERAGE Mar23 Feb23 Jan27     (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
LS-9   07/04/2022 5940ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIR FORCE ANGEL Jun10 Apr29 Mar31 Feb24 Jan29 (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 4.00 ★    
2  COTTONWOOD Jun10 May20 Mar25 Feb26 Jan15 (lucarelli f)MELANCON JANSEN 120 15.00 ★    
3  SMART BATTLE Apr29 Mar17 Feb16 Jan28 Jan08 (duhon pau)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 120 15.00    
4  WILTON Jun18 May29 May07 Mar12 Feb10 (g)DE CRUZ 123 15.00    
SCR  SIR JASPER Jun19 Jun05 Mar24 Mar03 Feb17 (saavedra mary)QUINONEZ S 123 30.00    
6  DRAGONFLY JACK Feb26         (duhon paul)ELLIOTT S 120 20.00    
7  CANTILLATE Jun03 May15 Mar03     (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
8  OPTIMAL TRIP May20 Apr29 Mar31 Feb24 Feb12 (rossi j)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 5.00 ★    
9  AFTERNOON ANEJO Jun10 May19 May01 Jan22   (smith jos)STEINBERG GARRETT 120 12.00    
10  TIZ AN ACE Jun10         (snipes rand)HAMILTON WESTON 123 30.00    
11  CLIFF DIVER May20 Mar25       (craddoc)GONCALVES R 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
12  BRUCELEA May20 Mar17 Mar05 Feb11 Jan15 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.