Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Tuesday - May 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   05/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXONERATED PREZ May09         (genovese rich)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00    
BRYCE'S ANGEL         (rettele r)CORREA L 119 5.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  BUBBA May10         (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 2.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  AWE PATRIOT         (brown t)VELEZ J 119 15.00    
HE'S A BELIEVER May09 Apr25 Jan01     (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 1.80    
RIDE ON COMANCHE May09 Feb16 Jan26     (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 119 3.50 19% 4.20    
 
TDN-2   05/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOLLY DEAR May07         (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
PSYCHOANALYST May07 Apr16 Jan14     (brown t)VELEZ J 121 3.50    
GIFT FROM MOM May16 Apr28 Apr06 Mar10 Feb26 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
RONNI'S DAY May03 Mar18       (yoder d)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.50    
KIST Mar22 Feb16 Jan26     (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00 8% 11.80    
HIDDEN PRIDE May07 Apr16 Mar18 Mar02 Jan31 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
 
TDN-3   05/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMA MONA Feb23 Jan21       (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
MY TOMMY LEE Apr11 Mar31 Mar10 Feb24 Jan23 (sullivan ellio)DIAZ I 123 2.00 41% 1.50    
MY D'VALENTINE May11 Apr27 Apr11 Mar22 Mar08 (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
SOLDAT TEMPTATION May10 Apr27 Apr03 Mar09 Jan30 (barnes ba)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 8.00    
CORRESPONDER May10 Apr26 Mar18 Feb11   (urieta joha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 2.50 14% 6.30    
IMA SURE BET Apr27 Apr02 Mar14     (tumblin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50    
 
TDN-4   05/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOLA LOUISE         (ott l)TOLEDO S 119 12.00    
GOODNESS SAKES May09         (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 5.00    
CITY SIGNS May09 Mar18 Jan22 Jan05   (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 4.50 39% 1.60    
LADY DYANAFORMER May09         (waltz brian)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00 29% 2.40    
LUCKY PENNY ROSE May09 Apr13 Mar15 Feb21 Jan19 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 117 8.00    
COWCHI May09 Apr11 Mar18 Feb18   (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 115 6.00    
PERFECTINGTHEVIEW May09 Apr25 Apr02 Feb18 Jan22 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
WWINSPIRED May09 Apr02 Mar18 Feb18 Jan22 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 3.50 8% 11.90    
 
TDN-5   05/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R THREE ANGELS Mar26 Feb19 Jan22     (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 115 5.00    
RUNLIKEJACKIEO May09 Apr28 Apr02     (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 115 2.50 24% 3.10    
OPHA MAY Mar26 Mar18 Feb16 Jan14   (lopez a)DAVILA M 119 6.00 7% 12.40    
ARTIES CRYPTONITE Apr28 Mar10 Feb18 Jan08   (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
LARSA Mar26 Feb18 Jan22     (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.50 13% 6.60    
DANCING GRACE Mar18 Feb28 Jan14     (faulkner )CORREA L 119 15.00    
THURSDAY FROST Apr12 Feb26       (pappada juli)KEISER CHELSEY 119 4.50 32% 2.10    
 
TDN-6   05/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALEROSO Mar07 Feb21 Feb01 Jan24   (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50    
1A  SEMI CHARMED DAY May09 Apr25 Apr11 Mar24 Mar07 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.50 8% 11.00    
MAN DOWN May09 Apr27 Apr15 Mar18 Mar01 (faulkner rodney)FELICIANO R 123 4.00 24% 3.10    
ADANO May09 Mar18 Jan22     (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00    
FUEGO CALIENTE Apr27 Apr09 Jan27     (poole jeffr)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 2.50 41% 1.50    
IMTHEPRINCE Apr27 Apr11 Mar18 Mar01 Feb21 (jones e)DIAZ I 123 12.00    
MAKE THE RULES May09 Apr15 Mar26 Mar02 Feb18 (doering mark)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00    
ENJOY BASEBALL May12 Apr27 Apr02 Mar10 Feb26 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.50    
 
TDN-7   05/24/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance Purse ($23.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST CITIZEN May09 Apr15 Mar31 Mar21 Feb28 (welsh r)PAUCAR E 119 4.50 30% 2.40    
FAT DADDY May03         (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
SCR  JOHN'S ROCK May09 Apr11 Mar04 Feb17 Jan23 (brafford mi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 4.00    
STRIKE APPEAL Apr01 Mar09 Jan29 Jan07   (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50    
SURF AND TURF May03 Apr01 Mar09 Feb18 Jan29 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.50 12% 7.60    
OBIWAN Apr23 Mar30 Mar04 Feb04   (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 8.00    
LATIN SPICE May09 Apr15 Mar21 Jan04   (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 5.00 34% 1.90    
 
TDN-8   05/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLE WATASHI Apr16 Feb15 Jan12     (trevino stephe)COLON H 119 20.00 5% 17.70    
C K'S LUCKY DUCK May02 Mar22 Jan19     (poole m)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
MA MOO POWER May03 Apr02 Feb26     (radosevich jake )BAEZ M 114 8.00    
PRECIOUS JULES         (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50    
STONE COLD CAT May02         (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 29% 2.40    
ROLLIN ON TEQUILA         (brown t)VELEZ J 119 20.00    
DYNAMITE CLOUD Apr05 Mar22 Mar08 Mar02 Feb01 (faulkner rodney)FELICIANO R 119 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.