Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Saturday - May 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/21/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUBLICIST May09 Mar24       (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 21% 3.70    
2  MANHATTAN LADY May04 Mar28 Mar15 Mar01 Jan21 (brown t)VELEZ J 119 5.00    
3  BE AUTHENTIC May09 Apr11 Mar09 Feb16 Jan19 (bird dann)CORREA L 119 10.00 11% 8.20    
4  DARING (IRE) May09 Apr08 Apr01 Feb21   (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 114 2.50 ★    
5  VELVET SAMI May04 Mar28 Mar15 Mar01 Jan04 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 4.50 ★    
SCR  LORAN HOLIDAY (ARG) May09 Mar01 Feb01     (zielinski r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
TDN-2   05/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATIVE VALLEY Mar24 Feb14       (bird dann)CORREA L 123 2.50 ★    
2  YARMA D' BOSS Apr09 Mar02 Feb16 Jan25 Jan15 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 15.00 7% 13.90    
3  SKIRTS KID         (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 3.50 ★    
4  FRESH MORNING         (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00    
5  POOLSIDE COCKTAILS Apr26 Apr02 Mar10 Feb23 Jan21 (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 10.00 22% 3.60    
6  EXCEEDING Apr26 Apr11 Mar26     (zielin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00 29% 2.50    
 
TDN-3   05/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ROSA'S SOUL May04 Apr09 Mar22 Mar08 Feb23 (urieta joha)MARTINEZ R 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TIGER JO May09 Apr13 Jan11     (urieta joh)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 6.00 ★    
2  CHILLIN LADY Mar19 Mar06 Feb19 Feb05   (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 4.50 ★    
SCR  ISLAND WINTER May04 Apr09 Mar26 Mar08 Feb28 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 2.50 53% 0.90    
4  SEEKING VIOLET May04         (manning richar)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
5  CARMEN O'ELECTRA May01 Apr09 Mar10 Feb23 Feb16 (sullivan ellio)DIAZ I 119 3.00 12% 7.10    
6  SISTER IS DEVIL         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   05/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REACHING FOR GOLD May04 Apr27 Apr04 Mar19 Feb16 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 123 5.00    
2  HAUGHTY PRAISE May04 Apr06 Mar15     (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 118 20.00 ★    
3  AFLEET O ME         (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 10.00 ★    
4  NOSEY POWER May04 Apr09 Mar19 Mar07   (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 2.00 9% 10.70    
5  DANES HEART Apr27 Apr04 Mar19 Jan31 Jan22 (vazquez iv)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 3.50 ★    
6  KISS THE DEMON Apr27 Apr04 Mar19 Mar07   (vazquez ivan)LOPEZ ALBERT 118 15.00    
7  YOU'RE OUT Apr28 Apr06 Feb18 Jan25 Jan11 (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 62% 0.60    
 
TDN-5   05/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOBBYS SOCK         (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
2  TRAMORE BAY Apr25 Apr15 Mar18 Feb22 Feb14 (faulkner rodney)FELICIANO R 121 2.50 10% 8.60    
3  LUCKY ANDY         (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 ★    
4  ELGAR Mar31 Mar10 Feb21 Jan19   (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 121 1.80 59% 0.70    
5  BLAZING DESIRE         (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 ★    
6  THE DRAKE         (flores chris)KEISER CHELSEY 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   05/21/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKS GOOD N A TUX Jan25 Jan05       (juarez lorenzo)DIAZ I 123 4.50 ★    
2  ISTILLGOTIT May02 Jan01       (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 118 4.00 ★    
3  KITCHI Apr12 Mar10 Feb26 Jan25   (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 3.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  DOUBLE THE LAUGH May09 Feb18 Jan21     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 10.00    
5  CONDUCIVE Apr25         (genovese rich)BARBARAN ERIK 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROSAS WAY May04 Apr11 Mar19 Mar01 Feb14 (calderon iv)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.50 28% 2.60    
7  MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE         (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 6.00    
8  JUSTENUFFTUFF Apr27 Apr02 Mar08 Feb26 Jan14 (poole m)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 8.00    
 
TDN-7   05/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FU ROO         (feliciano be)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 20.00    
2  ROMANTIC COWBOY May02         (mcdonald jame)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  ARMADA May03         (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 4.50    
4  ROYAL'D         (shanyfelt valer)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
5  IT'S YOUR CALL May02         (radosevich )MARTINEZ R 119 15.00    
6  MISTER MOBIL May07 Apr12 Mar07 Feb14 Jan12 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
7  MIDNIGHT WARSHIP May02 Apr11 Mar16 Feb15 Jan24 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00 ★    
8  TEAM HUCKY May02         (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 8.00 ★    
9  OAKEN Apr12 Mar24 Mar08 Jan04   (sullivan ellio)DIAZ I 119 4.00 13% 6.60    
 
TDN-8   05/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C C'S CLEAR CREEK May12 Apr26 Apr04 Mar15   (flores )PILARES P 119 4.00 ★    
SCR  FARMHAND Apr26 Apr16 Mar15     (bird dann)CORREA L 119 10.00    
3  KRAZY HAWK         (cady khalil)MEJIAS RICARDO 123 8.00    
4  DIAMOND MONEY Jan01         (juarez lorenzo)DIAZ I 123 15.00 6% 14.80    
5  MINDSHIP Q Apr30 Apr09 Feb12     (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.50 15% 5.60    
6  TEMPLE TITAN         (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00 43% 1.40    
7  SHACK THE LIFE         (vernino raymo)CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.50 16% 5.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.