Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Emerald Downs
Saturday - May 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EMD-1   05/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROUGH RIDE         (soranno jill)ANAYA V 124 4.50 16% 5.20    
ORCADIAN STORM Apr13 Apr01 Jan21 Jan03   (essex charles)RADKE K 124 1.60 39% 1.60    
COMMAND SGT MAJOR         (jenne bonnie)WOOTEN W 124 5.00    
MILORDS OATHKEEPER         (wright blaine)GUTIERREZ M 121 8.00 13% 6.90    
STARZAN Apr07 Mar08 Feb15 Jan18   (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
SCR  UNLIMITEDDATAPLAN         (bozell alan)MAWING A 119 3.50    
 
EMD-2   05/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETHEL RIDGE         (simkins rosi)MARTIN A 123 8.00    
SCR  INEEDAMANIANDAPEDI May07 Apr27 Mar31 Mar22 Mar01 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 123 1.80    
VISION OF THE KAT         (craig r)ANAYA V 123 6.00    
BEAU ROCKS         (lowe nick)ZUNINO L 123 4.50 65% 0.50    
SHELBY R.         (cryderman can)GUTIERREZ M 123 4.00    
MEAN SHARON         (cryderman s)RADKE K 123 2.50    
 
EMD-3   05/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAT MAN'S BULL         (martinez b)MATIAS J 121 15.00    
COASTAL WONDER         (gibson vince)ANAYA V 121 10.00    
ANDIAMO BAUM         (martinez da)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 121 12.00 9% 10.00    
SCR  SALTY DAN         (thompson mik)MARTIN A 124 20.00    
COASTING         (gibson vince)RADKE K 121 6.00    
NUMMY NUM         (cryderman candic)ZUNINO L 121 5.00 23% 3.40    
IMAROYALFLUSH Mar28 Feb08       (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 3.00 10% 9.10    
COLTON'S TIGER         (essex charle)BONNET CHESTER 124 6.00 34% 1.90    
TAP THE BANK         (na)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 3.50    
 
EMD-4   05/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROOKED FINGER RAY Mar31 Feb15 Jan05     (pierce l)RADKE K 121 1.80 17% 4.90    
EROTIC Mar26 Mar18 Feb20 Jan23   (gilmour jim)MAWING A 124 4.50    
CREST DRIVE         (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 121 8.00 11% 8.00    
MISO FAST         (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 12.00    
CANDIED LUTE         (simkins rosie)CRUZ M 121 5.00    
THE METAL MAN Mar01 Feb15 Jan18 Jan05   (van debbie)MATIAS J 121 8.00    
ZATTER         (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
EMD-5   05/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($11.55K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME TO ZOOM Apr19 Mar26 Feb27 Feb15 Feb02 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 2.50 15% 5.90    
PULPITS POWER         (essex charles)MATIAS J 121 12.00 12% 7.30    
ROMAN RUSH         (birdwell tena)RADKE K 121 6.00    
BLUE BOY WHO Apr12 Mar25 Mar07 Feb16 Jan31 (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 121 8.00    
CODE CHARLIE         (gibson vince)GUTIERREZ M 121 4.50    
I AM ALLTHATYOUARE May15 Apr25 Apr11 Mar22 Mar01 (bi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 5.00 13% 6.60    
HARBOR KITTY Apr10 Mar18 Feb18 Jan28 Jan09 (gilmour jim)MAWING A 121 3.00 38% 1.70    
 
EMD-6   05/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT May02 Apr12 Feb14 Jan26 Jan18 (johnston kimberl)MAWING A 124 8.00 7% 13.40    
PARTY FOR ONE         (ve)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 10.00    
COASTLINE SERMON Apr12 Mar25 Mar01 Feb10 Jan20 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
BEARCREEK MOUNTAIN         (belvoir howa)OROZCO E 124 12.00    
MASTER RECOVERY         (raudales jose)MATIAS J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
BUCKLEY BAY Mar30 Mar10 Jan13     (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 4.00 41% 1.40    
TUMAC MOUNTAIN         (navarro jose)RADKE K 124 10.00    
DEEPINGREEN         (crowe shelly)GUTIERREZ M 124 8.00    
MARQUE IT UP Mar26 Mar19 Feb25 Feb17 Feb03 (gibson vince)ZUNINO L 124 5.00    
 
EMD-7   05/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASCADE KING Apr07 Mar11 Feb04 Jan21   (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 121 10.00    
MOJAVE (GB) Apr25 Apr08 Mar03 Jan05   (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 121 4.50    
PISTOL POWER         (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 121 8.00    
MIXO         (crowe shelly)RADKE K 121 6.00 9% 10.20    
AZEE RULES Jan14         (ho)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 3.50 23% 3.40    
MAJOR MUNNINGS Apr25 Mar31 Mar22 Mar01 Feb01 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 2.50 39% 1.50    
SCR  DENNARD Apr04 Mar21 Mar01 Feb01 Jan10 (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 121 12.00    
BIG CITY BANE Apr16 Mar27 Mar07 Feb06 Jan14 (gilmour jim)MAWING A 121 5.00    
 
EMD-8   05/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIELO DIAMANTE Apr23 Apr02 Mar12 Jan29 Jan08 (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 118 2.00    
AKASI         (martinez david )CRUZ M 118 10.00 12% 7.10    
WEGOTTODRINKING         (nunnally jennifer)RADKE K 118 15.00    
GOLD N GLITTER         (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 118 3.50 32% 2.10    
PRESKITT Apr23 Apr02 Mar06 Feb20 Jan30 (cryderman can)GUTIERREZ M 118 1.80 30% 2.30    
SMILING SALSA Apr18 Mar17 Feb28 Feb07 Jan17 (person a)MAWING A 118 6.00    
 
EMD-9   05/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($14.5K) 3 F PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET IT REIGN Apr25 Apr10       (metz jeffrey)ZUNINO L 121 4.00 20% 4.10    
RODEO ROSE         (velasquez rigobe)MAWING A 121 6.00 20% 4.00    
HELLS CROSSING         (belvoir howard)MATIAS J 121 8.00    
ZAZEN         (wright blaine)GUTIERREZ M 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
BARSINTHECAR         (nunnally jennifer)RADKE K 121 10.00    
NITEUSTOLEMYHEART         (balcom cliff)OROZCO E 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SHIRL'S HOUSE Apr11         (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 3.50    
AMERICAN RIDGE         (na)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.