Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Mile
Saturday - May 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTM-1   05/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRING HOME STANLEY         (joseph lionel)BALROOP SVEN 121 10.00 12% 7.10    
STRONG AND FREE         (petrowski joan)NELSON DANE 126 15.00    
CAPITAL CALL Feb16 Feb02 Jan06     (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 126 1.40 39% 1.60    
FIRST BASE         (petrowski jo)WALCOTT W 121 2.00    
LUCY TREASURE         (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 121 8.00 17% 4.90    
FIRST PRINCE         (nicholson)ZENTENO JR 126 5.00    
BURNING LOVE         (wyness james)BRYAN D 126 20.00 6% 14.60    
 
CTM-2   05/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNUSUAL ACCOUNT Mar14 Feb22       (rycroft tom)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 20.00    
VICTORY AT LAST         (frey cars)ZENTENO JR 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
ABEEN         (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 121 6.00 16% 5.30    
NORTHERN DREAMIN         (zielke madis)WALCOTT W 126 4.00    
JULIUS THE GREAT Mar11 Feb24 Feb03 Jan07   (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 126 1.20 34% 2.00    
EXPO         (robertson jerri)NELSON DANE 126 2.50 21% 3.80    
GLAVA         (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 121 10.00    
 
CTM-3   05/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR MOON         (leech william)ZENTENO EDGAR 123 15.00    
CARAT'S SONG         (robertson je)WALCOTT W 123 1.20    
SECRET HAVEN Mar28 Feb16       (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 118 12.00    
LIVING SKY         (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 113 1.20 45% 1.20    
KENTUCKY ROLL         (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 123 4.50 20% 4.10    
FIONA BAY Mar31 Mar09       (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 3.50 12% 7.20    
NEW CANADIAN         (zielke mad)RIZO ALEXIS 123 20.00    
 
CTM-4   05/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREVER LADY         (rycroft tim)BYNOE DESEAN 116 8.00 22% 3.60    
STUBBORN LOVE Apr11         (smith craig )WALCOTT W 121 1.40 40% 1.50    
MIDNITESWILDAGAIN         (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 121 3.00    
LILBITSPICY         (payne jodey)BRYAN D 121 10.00    
BAMBITO         (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 121 6.00 10% 9.50    
JIG'S DESTINY         (petrowski )RIZO ALEXIS 121 20.00    
TAKE ME TO BATTLE         (frey carson)NELSON DANE 121 10.00    
GWIZZ         (smith k)MUIR SHAMAREE 121 8.00    
 
CTM-5   05/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOON AMOUR         (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 6.00 25% 3.10    
CORDILLERA         (nicholson)ZENTENO JR 118 10.00    
VIVIEN'S CHARM         (smith rob)NELSON DANE 123 4.50    
QUEEN RHONDA         (smith k)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 10.00 7% 13.50    
MUSICAL RELOAD         (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 113 8.00    
STOLEN JEWEL         (grieves ron)WALCOTT W 123 1.50 27% 2.70    
DIPLOMATICA         (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 118 3.50 14% 6.00    
ROYAL STATUS         (walper dea)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 10.00    
 
CTM-6   05/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREVER JIMMY         (zielke madiso)ZENTENO EDGAR 126 12.00    
FORTITUDE         (petrowski jo)ZENTENO RAFAEL 126 20.00    
NICKYGEORGE         (kettleson alivi)NELSON DANE 121 10.00    
CITY WOLF'S GUY         (robertson jerr)BALROOP SVEN 116 20.00 10% 8.80    
BIG Z         (smith ro)KELLY KEIMAR 116 12.00 8% 11.60    
LITTLE CHICAGO         (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 126 2.00 37% 1.70    
TOUGH LOVING         (joseph lionel)MUIR SHAMAREE 126 20.00 10% 9.00    
GRADY'S SONG         (hedge rick)BYNOE DESEAN 121 3.00 10% 8.80    
SPIRIT RACER         (petrowski)ZENTENO JR 126 3.50    
SCR  HUNGARIAN JOE         (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 121 10.00    
 
CTM-7   05/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJOR SHEPARD         (amthor gordon)BRYAN D 124 10.00 20% 3.90    
DOC COPE         (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 119 6.00 18% 4.70    
BUCK WEST         (joseph lionel)MUIR SHAMAREE 124 20.00    
ALONGTHEWATCHTOWER         (cone ro)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 124 8.00 9% 10.30    
PHANTOM MAC Apr26 Apr14       (brown r)NELSON DANE 121 3.00 21% 3.80    
ANKARA Mar27 Feb05       (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 121 10.00    
SNAP COUNT         (petrowski)ZENTENO JR 119 8.00    
COZY BEAR         (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 20.00    
DARK STORM COMING         (grieves ron)WALCOTT W 119 3.50 11% 8.00    
10  FAST EH         (davies dea)RIZO ALEXIS 124 8.00    
 
CTM-8   05/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
H K MELODY         (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
VIRTUAL SILVER         (cone rodney)BYNOE DESEAN 117 12.00    
ZURI RISASI         (amthor gordon)BRYAN D 122 20.00    
INCREDIBLE HARLEY         (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 117 8.00    
SPOT ON DUDE         (frey carson)NELSON DANE 122 2.00 48% 1.10    
YNOTGIVEITAGO         (bourne elige)BALROOP SVEN 117 20.00    
HIGH KELLY SONG         (humbke chery)ANDROS CORRINE 122 8.00    
TOLUI Mar22 Mar02 Feb08     (brown r)WALCOTT W 122 2.50    
BLINK'S ROCKET         (walper de)ZENTENO JR 122 10.00 21% 3.80    
10  PUMP THE BRAKES         (j)GRIFFITH DELANE 112 30.00    
 
CTM-9   05/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART PLAY         (robertson jerri)NELSON DANE 124 3.50    
MR. ARTISTIC Mar25 Mar14 Feb22 Feb01 Jan17 (humbke cheryl)BRYAN D 126 20.00    
ZICATELA         (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 10.00    
SHARP DRESSED BEAU Mar21 Feb03 Jan25 Jan10   (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 124 12.00    
WAR GIANT Feb21         (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 4.00 7% 12.60    
TRIPLE POWER         (frey carso)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 124 6.00    
PROVOCATIVE PRINCE         (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 119 12.00    
DUNE D'ORO Apr30 Apr07 Jan25     (brown r)WALCOTT W 124 3.00 67% 0.50    
WALKTHELINE         (mcdonal)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 124 15.00    
10  BECKHAM JAMES Mar24 Mar10 Feb10 Jan23 Jan12 (rycroft tom)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.