Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - April 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   04/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($21.7K) 2 ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POP D'ORO         (silva l)ZUNINO L 124 2.50 17% 4.90    
2  PAISLEY'S VISION         (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 121 5.00 ★    
3  JUSTIN AZTECA         (buechler simon )LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 5% 17.70    
4  ONE IN VERMILLION         (martinez es)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.60 41% 1.40    
5  PANZER PRIDE         (eikleberry kevin)GARCIA F 124 6.00 ★    
6  DIAMONDS DANZING         (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 4.00    
 
TUP-4   04/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.888K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANTAL Mar16 Feb18 Jan14     (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  MISCHIEVOUSOFFICER         (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 118 3.50 ★    
3  QUEENS RANSOM Mar28 Mar08 Feb09 Jan26 Jan06 (stevens sa)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.00 13% 6.70    
4  SUGAR ON TOP Mar31 Mar09 Feb18 Feb04 Jan20 (toye joe)MAWING A 124 8.00 ★    
5  PREDETERMINATION Mar22 Mar09 Feb21 Jan25 Jan14 (gutierrez j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 ★    
SCR  CANTERBURY GOLD Mar31 Mar08 Jan19 Jan05   (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 124 6.00    
 
TUP-5   04/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($21.7K) 2 ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEYOND AWESOME         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00    
2  NATURAL IMMUNITY         (mendez luis)LINDSAY CHAD 121 2.00 41% 1.40    
3  RAGING RIVER         (rollins scott)LEAHEY HANNAH 124 8.00 5% 17.70    
4  LITTLE AXE SOUL         (mccartn)CAMACHO JESUS 124 6.00 ★    
5  ARIZONA KALEI         (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 121 2.50 17% 4.90    
6  SCATALICIOUS         (rollins scott)CARTER KYLE 121 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-6   04/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NETS LAZY LADY Mar24         (story )FLETCHER D 124 6.00 14% 6.10    
2  SEENEVA THE CAT Apr05 Mar17 Feb24 Feb09 Jan19 (mcdaniel w )NAVA-MARIN JOSE 118 5.00    
3  COME CORRECT Apr05 Feb21       (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 118 8.00 11% 7.80    
4  LIP'S OF WINE Apr01 Mar15 Feb28 Jan31 Jan12 (mcdaniel l)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 10.00    
5  TOSSAPENNYDOWN Mar17 Mar01 Jan10     (score rober)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 8.00 ★    
6  MAGIC START Mar24 Feb24 Feb14 Jan12   (brown jim )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 1.60 43% 1.30    
7  EASY DOES IT Apr01 Feb02       (gangidino lisa)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   04/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24.22K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TENGAS MASTERPIECE Mar24 Feb16 Feb07     (hartman stan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
2  PIKNITUPLAYNITDOWN Mar24 Mar02 Feb10     (hjort donna)LINDSAY CHAD 122 1.80 54% 0.90    
3  ORCADIAN STORM Apr01 Jan21 Jan03     (essex charles)FALES KATE 122 4.50 ★    
4  ASCOT STORM Mar23 Mar02 Jan27     (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00    
5  ROCKYMOUNTAINTWIST Mar07 Jan25       (garrett ty )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00 ★    
6  PARTYOFSIXTEEN Mar24 Feb06 Jan15     (olivas-va)VALENZUELA A 122 3.50    
7  HOLLYWOOD AS USUAL Mar25 Jan25 Jan04     (chattong vi)SCRIVER L 122 12.00 ★    
 
TUP-8   04/13/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.25K) 3 F PT- 7:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARIZONA BREW Apr05 Mar24 Feb09 Jan31   (nelson amy)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 15.00    
2  PARTY POLICE Mar21 Feb14 Jan31 Jan12   (vi)DA FAUSTO 121 4.00 ★    
3  DYNAMIC WOMAN Apr02 Mar01 Feb15 Jan08   (wheeler tra)SCRIVER L 121 20.00    
4  AWESOME LADY Apr05 Mar21 Mar08 Jan08   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.50 27% 2.80    
5  CORAGEOUSCHRISTINE         (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 ★    
6  MISCHIEVOUS EFFORT         (eikleberry kevin)GARCIA F 121 5.00 ★    
SCR  PLUM ROSE Apr01 Mar15 Feb21     (rogers gary )YBARRA MICHAEL 121 15.00    
8  SWEET LADY LANA Mar24 Mar08 Feb09 Jan31 Jan19 (esquibel ma)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 51% 1.00    
9  MY NAME IS INDY         (o'brien debb)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 12.00    
10  ROCKIN IN Mar21 Feb21       (perren a)MAWING A 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.