Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Rillito
Saturday - April 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
RIL-3   04/02/2022 2640ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNOOZY SUZY Mar26 Mar12 Mar04 Feb21 Jan20 (wheeler trav)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 2.00 54% 0.90    
DYNAMIC WOMAN Mar01 Feb15 Jan08     (wheeler tra)SCRIVER L 119 4.50    
LOOKS OUTRAGEOUS Mar12         (williams dewe)DIAZ VALENTIN 126 6.00 7% 14.30    
WISHIHADACHOICE         (homer jason)KING MCKENZIE 121 4.00 14% 6.10    
GATO SICILIANO Mar18 Mar12 Feb26 Jan13   (nelson amy)LARSEN S 124 5.00    
ZIPPING BOMBASTIC Feb27 Jan28       (hinojos alva)AGUILAR DANIEL 119 3.00    
 
RIL-4   04/02/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEMO FIRM NOCTURNO Mar27 Mar13 Feb27     (castillo joe)SALAZAR TERESA 121 3.00    
FRENCH GENERAL Mar20 Mar06 Feb26     (reyes norma)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 5.00    
REAL POUCH Mar26 Mar12 Feb21 Jan15   (simpson shan)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 2.00 35% 1.80    
MAJOR DAYLIGHT Feb26         (belloc)FLETCHER D 126 4.00    
LOST THE MINISTER Mar05 Jan15 Jan09     (crotts jim)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
CONQUEST MOONMAD Mar26 Mar12 Mar06     (alcoverde erne)DEONAUTH P 126 10.00 22% 3.50    
DENALI SUCCESS Mar27         (marquez vanes)KING MCKENZIE 126 8.00    
 
RIL-5   04/02/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RETURN TO HARBOR Mar26 Mar12 Mar05 Feb21 Feb11 (wheeler tra)SCRIVER L 126 5.00    
TRANS MISSISSIPPI Mar23 Mar15 Feb22 Feb08 Jan20 (gomez alejand)KING MCKENZIE 126 6.00    
BLUE CHIP BETTY Feb27         (tsosie terril)BAZAN ANTONIO 121 8.00 9% 9.90    
TOTHEMOONANDBACK Mar27 Mar18 Mar01 Feb16 Jan27 (tsosie terr)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 121 2.50 12% 7.10    
FINISHED MY P H D Mar16 Mar01 Jan14     (rosales jorg)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 4.00 51% 1.00    
NIGHTHAWK SPECIAL Mar20 Mar06 Feb26     (marquez vane)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 10.00    
TWIRLY GIRL Mar28 Mar16 Feb08 Jan21 Jan12 (nelson amy)SALAZAR TERESA 121 12.00    
WINDI'S MOMENT Mar20 Mar13 Feb27 Feb18 Feb03 (hernandez da)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 3.50    
 
RIL-6   04/02/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  INCLUDE HOO Mar20 Mar09 Feb17 Feb07 Jan24 (soto antoni)SCRIVER L 126 2.50    
POPPY'S C NOTE Mar19 Mar07 Feb22 Jan26 Jan17 (madrigal elo)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 3.00 15% 5.50    
MOONLIGHT BLUE Mar26 Feb16 Jan26 Jan11   (nelson amy)LARSEN S 126 5.00    
OUT FOR JUSTICE Mar26 Mar18 Mar05 Feb26 Feb08 (gomez alejand)KING MCKENZIE 126 4.00 11% 8.20    
LIL LATIGO Mar26 Mar13 Mar01 Feb09 Jan24 (tsosie terr)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 121 1.60 49% 1.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.