Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - March 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   03/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.48K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG TONY Feb22 Jan14       (martinez a)LINDSAY CHAD 124 4.50 25% 2.90    
2  IZEISMAGA Feb14 Feb04 Jan17     (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 4.00 29% 2.40    
3  BY MOONLIGHT Mar01 Feb07 Jan15 Jan08   (mitchell r)LARSEN S 124 5.00    
4  TENGO SED Mar02 Feb07 Jan17     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 118 1.40 ★    
5  ROUGE SUNSET Feb22 Feb02 Jan14     (nelson amy)SCRIVER L 124 8.00 6% 15.60    
6  ELLIE THE NURSE Feb07 Jan10       (silva rodri)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 3.50 9% 10.00    
 
TUP-3   03/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER SERVICE Feb08 Jan04       (christian billy)LULL E 124 12.00    
2  SMOKIN ENCOUNTER Mar01         (rycroft riley)CIVACI SAHIN 124 3.50 19% 4.20    
3  BUCKLEY BAY Jan13         (toye joe)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 4.00 39% 1.60    
4  AL RHYTHM Feb08 Jan21 Jan11     (crystal dus)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 10.00 12% 7.10    
5  TIZ A SPEED BOMB Jan18         (silva pa)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 2.00 ★    
6  RINESHAFT Jan21         (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 124 3.00    
7  UNBRIDLED'S SKYE Feb25 Jan26 Jan05     (dennison da)SCRIVER L 124 8.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   03/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKIN ARROW Feb24 Jan18       (wheeler tr)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 15.00    
2  DEPUTY KNIGHT Feb14 Jan24       (o'brie)FLETCHER D 124 12.00 ★    
3  RANCHER Feb14 Jan24 Jan12     (jimenez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50    
4  SHARP'S FLASH Feb14 Jan10       (sharp j)ZUNINO L 124 12.00    
5  SQUALLSGHOSTMOVER Feb14 Feb06 Jan22     (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 124 5.00 35% 1.80    
6  JUROR Feb01         (si)DA FAUSTO 124 2.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  GONE SOMEWHERE Feb07 Jan18       (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.50 27% 2.60    
SCR  SON OF SMALLS Feb01 Jan17       (wong jonat)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00 7% 12.40    
 
TUP-5   03/10/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZONA Jan03         (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 ★    
2  LOOSE DIAMOND Feb07 Jan14       (story chad)ZUNINO L 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
3  THORN HILL CAT Jan07         (asprino a)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 6.00    
4  OPTIMISTIC VALOR Feb24 Jan19       (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 124 5.00 ★    
5  JACKS OUTLAW Jan14         (brinson clay)MAWING A 122 3.50 ★    
6  COURAGEOUS Feb21 Jan28 Jan13     (hop mike)LINDSAY CHAD 122 10.00    
7  T BONES TRICK Feb03 Jan09       (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
8  PLAYOFF BOUND Jan25 Jan07       (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00 24% 3.10    
 
TUP-6   03/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVABELL Feb16         (gutierrez j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 12% 7.50    
2  PALACE STAR Feb25 Jan27       (chambers mi)SCRIVER L 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
3  LIPSTICK LADY Jan20         (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 116 4.00 17% 5.00    
4  MOUNTAIN PASS Feb25 Jan28 Jan08     (metz jeffrey)CIVACI SAHIN 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  PRINCESS ARANTZA Feb25 Feb08 Jan29 Jan13   (silva rodrigue)LINDSAY CHAD 122 12.00    
6  PRINCESS SOIREE Feb16 Feb03 Jan24 Jan07   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50    
7  SAYITALL Feb25 Feb09 Jan18 Jan04   (blea j)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 4.50 ★    
8  TOP LADY MARGIE Feb22         (salinas linda)ZUNINO L 122 20.00    
 
TUP-7   03/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($26.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD VOYAGER Jan16         (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
2  ROOKIE YEAR Feb17 Feb02       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00 ★    
3  THE BLACK STRAT Feb07 Jan20       (vitali marcu)SERRANO KEIVAN 116 8.00 ★    
4  MISAWA Feb18 Feb04 Jan24     (metz jeffrey)CIVACI SAHIN 122 15.00    
SCR  HOLLYWOOD HEAT Feb18 Feb10 Jan12     (chattong vi)SCRIVER L 122 20.00    
6  SLY Feb21 Jan17       (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50    
7  BECKHAM JAMES Feb10 Jan23 Jan12     (person kenneth )CORBETT W 122 4.50 36% 1.80    
8  TERRACOTTA SOLDIER Feb18 Feb02       (story chad)ZUNINO L 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
9  CLUB MESQUITE Feb02 Jan12       (mccartney)VALENZUELA A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  BREXTON Jan24 Jan03       (woolley be)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00    
SCR  OCULUS Feb25 Feb01       (belvoir van)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 8.00    
 
TUP-8   03/10/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUES RAPPER Mar01 Feb07 Jan28 Jan20 Jan05 (trejo amali)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
2  JEDI WARRIOR Jan31 Jan18       (garcia c)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00    
3  IMPERATOR Jan31 Jan18       (hop mike)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00 10% 9.20    
4  START A RUNNIN Feb01 Jan02       (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
5  ANGELINO Feb16 Jan24 Jan11     (crotts ji)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 7% 13.10    
6  CHEF Mar01 Feb09 Jan26 Jan11   (sepich f)CORBETT W 124 6.00 12% 7.70    
7  SHOTGUN RIDER Feb15 Jan28 Jan17 Jan03   (bullene michael)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 15% 5.70    
8  KING PARKER Mar01 Feb18 Jan18 Jan05   (saldana re)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.00    
9  JOHNNY Feb22 Feb03       (villa)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.