Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Wednesday - March 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-1   03/02/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEBASTIAN'S BOY Jan25         (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 11% 8.30    
ASTRONOMICAL Jan25 Jan05       (silva jr)CRUZ M 122 4.50    
NUMEROLOGIST Jan25         (buechler si)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
CAUCUS RULES Feb04         (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00    
DEPARTURE Feb10         (krasner cindy)VERGARA P 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
TUP-2   03/02/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MR PHOENIX Feb01 Jan17       (ortiz l)LULL E 124 5.00    
BRON AND THE BROW Feb16 Feb01 Jan17     (lavanway da)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 6.00 12% 7.60    
CAKE STOMPER         (silva rodriguez)LOPEZ KARLO 118 3.50    
MIZZEN POWER Jan28 Jan16 Jan07     (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00    
WILD PLAN         (van horne )FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00 6% 15.90    
WINNING MAGIC Feb16 Feb07 Jan24 Jan10   (bullene michael)ZUNINO L 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
 
TUP-3   03/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($26.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASCOT STORM Jan27         (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
SCR  MY NOAH Feb17         (schnell d)VALENZUELA A 116 4.50 17% 5.00    
FIRST CALL Feb10 Jan25       (owens kory)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
LARRY'S LEGEND Feb10 Jan27 Jan03     (barraza s)MAWING A 122 8.00    
PIKNITUPLAYNITDOWN Feb10         (hjort donna)LINDSAY CHAD 122 2.50 9% 10.70    
MAJESTIC STREET Jan24 Jan07       (pierce michael )VERGARA P 122 5.00 8% 10.80    
 
TUP-4   03/02/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STONE CARVER Feb14         (rycroft tim)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50 22% 3.50    
RACE HOME         (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
DARNQUICK Feb14 Jan19       (rogers d)LINDSAY CHAD 124 2.50    
SOMETHING SUPER Feb03 Jan13       (ferguson c)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00    
TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY Feb17 Jan27 Jan13     (kubinova eliska)CRUZ M 124 10.00    
GREEK GEEK         (rycroft tim)VERGARA P 124 4.00 20% 4.10    
UNLEASH THE BEAST Feb03         (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00    
 
TUP-5   03/02/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($27.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANCY GI GI         (gangidino )ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 15.00    
JEWEL AZUL Jan27 Jan05       (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
LOOPY Feb22 Jan18 Jan06     (si)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
ALLIE'S PAL Jan21         (wo)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 6.00    
PRANCE Feb11 Jan18 Jan04     (eikleberry)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00    
BIG STRETCH Feb15 Jan31       (schnell don)CORBETT W 122 4.50    
SCR  LITTLE MISS BELLE Feb11 Jan18       (bratcher ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
 
TUP-6   03/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A GEM IS A GEM Feb14 Jan24 Jan04     (homer jason)MAWING A 124 12.00    
OXBOW PARK Feb14 Feb04 Jan17 Jan03   (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00 17% 4.90    
BEAR BRIAN Feb04         (brown jared)CORBETT W 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
TENGO SED Feb07 Jan17       (silva l)CRUZ M 118 6.00    
REDDISH Feb14 Feb02 Jan17     (valerio r)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 8.00    
ZERO DOWN Feb07         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
HANDSOME ACCOUNT Feb14 Feb02 Jan08     (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 8% 12.10    
FLOYD MONEYMAKER Jan17         (brinkerhoff val)ZUNINO L 124 12.00    
TRACK BOUND Jan26 Jan05       (alvarez ser)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 8.00    
 
TUP-7   03/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THRILL'S LEGACY Feb09 Jan27 Jan03     (valerio r)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 8.00    
SWEET HONOR Feb14 Feb02 Jan17     (villamar c)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 15.00 6% 15.00    
SHESAHEATWAVE Feb04 Jan20 Jan11     (diodoro roberti)VERGARA P 124 8.00 6% 15.50    
BOUNTY OF GOLD         (saldana reed)CRUZ M 124 4.50 11% 7.90    
SUNRISE IN THE BAR         (barra)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 15.00    
GUARDING ELK CAMP Feb08 Jan20 Jan12     (mitchell c)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00    
SCR  MCGOLDIE Jan20         (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 6% 14.60    
BOOGIE TWO SHOES Feb11 Feb02 Jan25 Jan03   (brown jar)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
BLACKBERRY LISA Jan28         (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50    
10  TOP HAT HIGH JINKS Feb18 Jan20       (johnston kim)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00 43% 1.30    
 
TUP-8   03/02/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 3 ALL PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEL RAGAZZO Feb07 Jan20       (villamar c)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 12.00    
MINNESOTA RED Jan24         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 121 4.00    
TOLUI Feb08         (brown r)ZUNINO L 121 8.00    
AWEZEE Feb15 Feb01 Jan10     (metz jeff)VALENZUELA A 121 20.00    
THIRD WHEEL Jan20         (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 6.00    
PRETTY LOUD Feb15 Feb01 Jan24 Jan10   (silva p)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 8.00 6% 14.90    
DON DANIEL Feb01 Jan15       (si)DA FAUSTO 121 10.00    
TRAPALIS Jan24         (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 8.00    
SHADYFIED Jan24 Jan09       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 5.00    
10  THIRSTY KISS Feb07 Jan20       (martinez e)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  LUVTHEONEURWITH Feb15 Feb01 Jan14     (silva juan )ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 116 12.00 20% 4.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.