Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - April 11, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (4/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/8)-(4/2/5/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/8)-(4/2/5/1/8)-(4/2/5/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/5/8)-(2/4/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/8)-(2/4/7/6)-(1/6/7/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/7/6)-(1/6/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7/6)-(1/6/7/2)-(1/7/5/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-3   WIN (1/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/7/2)-(1/7/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/2)-(1/7/5/6)-(7/2/1/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-4   WIN (1/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/5/6)-(7/2/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5/6)-(7/2/1/3)-(2/1/5/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-5   WIN (7/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/1/3)-(2/1/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/3)-(2/1/5/3)-(7/1/8/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-6   WIN (2/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/5/3)-(7/1/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/3)-(7/1/8/5)-(7/3/5/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-7   WIN (7/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/5)-(7/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/5)-(7/1/8/5)-(7/1/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/8/5)-(7/3/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/8/5)-(7/3/5/6)-(3/1/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-8   WIN (7/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/5/6)-(3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-9   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/2/4/7)-(3/1/2/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/11/2026 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRE BARON Apr01 Mar16 Feb28 Jan25 Jan01 (ellebracht )QUINONEZ ALONSO 125 3.50 ★    
2  DOMINATOR C. Mar13 Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 Sep10 (baez ralp)MALDONADO GABRIEL 125 4.00 18% 4.60    
3  CHING CHING Apr01 Feb21 Feb11 Jan21 Aug17 (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 15.00    
4  WHO'S YER MAN         (vinson g)LEON SONNY 118 4.50 49% 1.00    
5  PARTY ON RUFUS Apr01 Mar14 Feb28 Jan31 Jan14 (ba)DA FAUSTO 123 3.00 8% 12.30    
6  VIRGIN ISLAND NICE Apr01 Mar13 Feb22 Jan31 Jan07 (drake robert)MENESES MARCOS 125 30.00    
7  TITANIO COCO Mar04 Jan15 Dec12 Nov02 Oct11 (morales )MARTINEZ A 118 5.00    
8  EL RABANO Apr01 Feb07 Jan17 Dec27 Dec13 (lopez mario )CASIQUE UBARDO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  PRINCE ROYCE Apr01 May22 Apr26     (lusk r)ROJAS MARTINA 125 30.00    
10  ILLUSTRATION Dec06 Sep28 Sep13 Aug10 Jul20 (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 116 20.00    
 
TAM-2   04/11/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN ANTHEM Nov15 Oct25 Oct04 Aug23 Aug02 (dominguez huber)LEON SONNY 122 3.50    
2  JUST LIKE YOU Feb12 Feb04 Jan23 Dec03 Nov07 (gallegos a)CENTENO E 122 1.60 55% 0.80    
3  NOVELLIE Mar11 Jan25 Jan07 May04 Apr23 (aguayo ramon)GIL CIPRIANO 122 4.00    
4  MISS INTERPATATION Mar01 Feb08 Jan02 Dec13 Jun22 (hardesty lesliel)FERRER C 122 3.00 18% 4.70    
5  QUEEN OF CHILL Mar21 Mar11 Feb18 Jun14 May02 (ashmore colee)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 20.00    
6  SLEW CROWN Mar11 Mar01 Feb18 Jan30 Nov22 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  FLOAT AWAY Mar28 Jul28 Jul04 Jun23 May21 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 12.00 6% 14.60    
 
TAM-3   04/11/2026 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET TONE Mar25 Feb28 Jan31 Jan16 Dec31 (ferraro a)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 2.50 26% 2.80    
2  CASINO NIGHT Feb14 Oct04 Jul31 Jul04 Jun26 (waltke thomas )SUAREZ JESUS 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  TIZTIMONIAL Mar25 Mar08 Feb20 Jan25 Dec26 (delgado jose )GONZALEZ ALEX 123 6.00    
4  SO SO Mar25 Feb28 Feb11 Jan21 Jan07 (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 123 4.00    
5  GRAY BEAST Mar28 Feb20 Jan25 Jan04 Dec19 (soler edisl)NOGUERA MARLENI 116 12.00    
6  DEPORTIVO Mar13 Feb28 Feb13 Jan14 Dec31 (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 123 3.00 25% 2.90    
7  MONGOLIAN CHAMP Apr01 Mar08 Feb20 Jan11 Dec26 (padilla tim)GONZALEZ CESAR 116 10.00 23% 3.40    
8  SILVER ORE Mar25 Jan31 Jan07 Dec17 Dec03 (pimental john)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 4.00    
 
TAM-4   04/11/2026 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($28.5K) 3 F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRESCENT RISING Mar22 Feb12 Jan21 Jan02 Nov06 (downing william)FERRER C 119 3.50 40% 1.50    
2  LADY OF TROY Mar14         (dini mike)GIL CIPRIANO 119 6.00    
3  GETAHOLDAYOURSELF Mar22 Feb12 Jan10     (gulick m)LEON SONNY 119 3.00    
4  BAND ON THE RUN Dec27 Nov22 Oct12     (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 119 2.00    
5  STATE CHARMER Mar07 Feb06       (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00 11% 7.90    
6  LADY HATHOR         (amaya gusta)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SANYJ Mar20         (rodriguez ar)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 15.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  MISTRIAL WIND Mar15 Mar01 Jan30 Dec24 Nov19 (arriagad)RODRIGUEZ O 119 8.00    
 
TAM-5   04/11/2026 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT ONYX Mar08 Feb04 Jan28 Jan03 Nov28 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 119 6.00 7% 13.30    
2  WHITING FIELD Mar28 Mar08 Feb12 Jan30 Dec27 (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 119 3.00 8% 12.30    
3  DEVELOP PRODUCT Mar28 Mar13 Mar06 Feb20 Feb05 (baez ralph )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PROTEGE Apr03 Mar18 Feb12 Jan11 Jan03 (baez ralp)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 10.00    
SCR  DENYING Apr04 Mar15 Feb20 Feb08 Oct16 (simone v)LEON SONNY 119 5.00    
6  BOURBON STATE Feb20 Feb04 Jan10 Dec27 Dec10 (mendieta)RODRIGUEZ O 119 6.00    
7  CONSPIRACY FACT Mar29 Mar15 Feb22 Feb08 Jan25 (simone michael)GIL CIPRIANO 119 4.50 60% 0.70    
8  O P FIRECRACKER Mar27 Feb06 Dec06 Nov13 Oct18 (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 15.00    
9  SPEEDY HANS Mar25 Feb22 Feb04 Jan14 Dec24 (escobar marti)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 5.00    
 
TAM-6   04/11/2026 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($55.5K) 3 ALL PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A MILLION DREAMS Mar07 Feb07 Jan01 Dec06 Nov28 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 2.50 31% 2.20    
2  MAX CAPACITY Feb07 Jan03 Dec06 Nov08 Oct26 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 1.20 35% 1.90    
3  SMOLS Nov07 Oct09 Sep28 Sep06 Aug23 (munoz carlos)HO WESLEY 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  MOVE JESSE MOVE Mar29 Dec06 Nov09     (barbazoniii lest)BRACHO A 118 4.00    
5  BALL OF FIRE Mar18 Feb27 Jan24 Nov08 Oct03 (simone michael)GIL CIPRIANO 118 6.00 13% 6.60    
6  MORAL POWER Feb20 Jan11 Jan02 Dec19 Dec06 (posadas )MARTINEZ A 118 30.00    
7  BATTALION LEADER Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 Jan23 Jan04 (spanabel kell)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 10.00    
 
TAM-7   04/11/2026 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($56.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READY TO FLY Mar21 Feb21 Dec17 Oct03 Sep14 (arriagad)RODRIGUEZ O 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
2  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Jan24 Jan17 Dec27 Nov29 Nov19 (baez n)GIL CIPRIANO 119 12.00    
3  THUNDERING Mar04 Jan25 Dec26 Nov08 Sep27 (ryan s)LEON SONNY 123 2.00    
4  ZABO Dec06 Oct25 Sep27 Aug24 Apr19 (attard kevin)CENTENO E 119 6.00    
5  KALIK Nov15 Oct04 Sep06 Jul05 May29 (narvaez carlo)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  TAPIRS VALOR Feb25 Feb06 Jan10 Aug28 Jun21 (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 119 20.00    
7  RIGEL Mar21 Feb20 Jan25 Dec13 Oct03 (gallegos a)HO WESLEY 119 4.00 35% 1.80    
8  EMBRACE MY UNCLE Mar20 Mar13 Feb20 Feb01 Jan04 (seale chris)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 8.00 11% 8.40    
 
TAM-8   04/11/2026 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($55.5K) 3 ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR IN PERSONAL Mar21 Feb21 Nov02 Oct16 Sep17 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 20.00    
2  WINE CANDY Mar21 Mar05 Sep06 Aug09 Jun29 (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.50    
3  RAMAJAY Mar14 Feb08 Jan10 Dec13 Nov15 (joseph a)CENTENO E 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
4  BEST MINET YET Mar29 Feb25       (bennett s)LEON SONNY 118 6.00    
5  ANTRAX Sep06 Aug27 Aug09     (munoz carlos)HO WESLEY 118 8.00 15% 5.60    
6  ELSTON GUNNN Feb27 Jan24 Jan09 Oct12 Sep06 (birdwell tena)BOWEN ROCCO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  UNWRITTEN RULE Feb27 Feb05       (proctor thomas)GIL CIPRIANO 118 1.60 33% 2.00    
8  MR. HOOLIGAN Mar11 Feb07 Jan09 Dec06 Oct24 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 118 15.00    
 
TAM-9   04/11/2026 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC HEART Mar28 Mar11 Feb20 Jan30 Jan09 (schuh ti)RODRIGUEZ O 119 2.50 17% 4.90    
2  PERSISTEN Apr04 Mar22 Mar04 Feb20 Jan24 (simone michael)GIL CIPRIANO 119 4.00 ★    
3  TIGRE Mar28 Mar20 Mar04 Feb13 Jan16 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 58% 0.70    
4  BOY O' BOY Mar13 Jan16 Dec13 Sep27 May03 (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 123 6.00 ★    
5  DIAL HIM UP Mar21 Mar11 Feb14 Jan25 Jan09 (mendieta ale)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 30.00    
SCR  SEBASTIANTHE FIRST Mar20 Mar06 Feb20 Feb05 Dec31 (delgado jose )GONZALEZ ALEX 119 10.00    
7  FERAL'S JOY Mar29 Mar20 Feb14 Jan30 Jan16 (pimental john)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  SHERMAN FURY Mar28 Mar04 Feb20 Jan10 Dec21 (manchan bertram)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
9  MIDNIGHT TEQUILA Aug14 May28 Dec04 Aug30 Aug13 (paterno rob)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 30.00    
10  THAT SUN OF A GUN Mar28 Feb13 Jan16 Dec20 Nov29 (mcburney patrick)LEON SONNY 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.