Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Colonial Downs
Thursday - March 12, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-1   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(5/1/6)-(1/3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CNL-2   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(1/3/4)-(4/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CNL-3   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(4/1/6)-(1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CNL-4   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(1/5)-(3/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CNL-5   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(3/2/5)-(4/1/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CNL-6   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(4/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(4/1/3/6)-(4/9/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-7   WIN (4/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/3/6)-(4/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CNL-8   WIN (4/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/1)-(4/9/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/1)-(4/9/7/1/2)-(4/9/7/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CNL-1   03/12/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DAUNTED Feb18 Jan14 Oct27 Sep10 Aug08 (caramori c)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00    
A CAB ON THE ROCKS Jan29 Jan04 Dec06 Oct03   (west w)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.80    
SCR  U CROCS Feb15         (pecoraro antho)ROCCO S 122 3.00    
SECONDARY PROMISE         (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
REBEL PRINCE Jan10 Nov28 Nov08 Oct18   (ashby lynn)SANCHEZ J 122 4.00    
MORE THAN CUTE Mar04 Nov02 Sep27 Aug23 Aug02 (mcgoey monica)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-2   03/12/2026 5280ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLOSE THE GATE Feb21 Feb04 Jan10 Dec19   (salzman e)ROCCO S 120 6.00 13% 6.50    
I DID I DID Jan17 Dec06 Oct26 Sep14 Aug02 (maker mich)SANCHEZ J 120 1.40    
RECKLESS Feb06 Nov05 Sep26     (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 4.00    
CLASSIC NOFTY Jul23         (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 120 5.00    
CODE REVIEW Jan25         (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 58% 0.70    
AMERICAN TACT Mar04         (mcgoey monica)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-3   03/12/2026 4620ft DIRT RC2 Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS WOEJEE Feb25 Jan21 Dec26     (danner kel)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.50 40% 1.50    
HYLLA Feb26 Jul14 Jun11     (mott riley)SANCHEZ J 119 1.80    
KINDA KRAZY Feb13 Aug07 Jul18     (gaudet lacey)BOYCE FOREST 119 4.50 30% 2.30    
RUNTOWN Feb06 Jan18 Jan07 Dec19 Nov29 (mcgoey monica)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
NATTIE'S BOSS Mar01 Feb13       (flores i)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 20.00    
WATCH ME SPARKLE Mar01 Jan09 Dec07 Oct31   (allen ferris)CHUAN MARTIN 119 5.00    
ROTISSERIE Feb11 Jan03 Nov28 Nov01 Oct05 (lauer mich)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00    
 
CNL-4   03/12/2026 5280ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN DIRECTION Feb14 Jan28 Jan02 Aug24 Jun14 (mcgoey monica)TREJOS JOSEPH 126 4.50 34% 1.90    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of GHOSTLY DIRECTION by LIAM'S MAP)
CHATBOT Nov22         (saville niall)PEREZ XAVIER 126 15.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of TIZ ATLANTIS by TIZNOW)
LIMO Feb12 Dec28 Nov13 Oct05 Aug28 (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 126 1.60    
  (by UNCLE MO out of FLIGHTY ALMIGHTY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
RADAUTI Dec28 Nov01 Apr19 Mar22 Jan25 (epley jr)CHUAN MARTIN 126 1.50 38% 1.60    
  (by TONALIST out of RAUCOUS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
VAYA JEFFE Dec17 Apr17 Feb16 Jan17   (gaudet lacey)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 4.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of GOTTA HAVE HER by ROYAL ACADEMY)
ZENCAT Feb04 Nov09 Oct17     (flores )BRICENO GREGOR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ZENBENNIE by COSA VERA)
 
CNL-5   03/12/2026 3960ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOVEKOMA Aug16 Jul31       (duarte jorge )TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
TOSCA Feb05 Aug07 Jul10 Apr17   (lightner mary)MARAGH RAJIV 120 1.80    
SCR  FINANCE FINANCE Feb26 Feb12 Dec10 Oct30   (danner kel)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
SCR  SUNSET RISING Mar01         (mckenzie danie)CHUAN MARTIN 122 2.50    
THIRST FOR HOPE Sep14 Aug14 Jul18 Jul02   (ashby lynn)ROCCO S 120 4.50 14% 6.20    
DIP FANTASIA Dec10 Nov26 Oct25 Sep01 Aug06 (figgins ol)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00    
 
CNL-6   03/12/2026 5610ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THREE COATS Oct01 Aug20 Aug02 Jul01 Jun14 (lauer mich)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00    
NEXT GIRL Feb04 Dec19 Nov15 Oct11 Sep13 (bailes rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
NECESSITY Jan24 Dec26 Nov28 Oct18 Sep14 (mott riley)SANCHEZ J 122 1.50 32% 2.10    
NAVANI Feb14 Jan17 Dec19 Nov28 Nov09 (allen fe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
LATE NITE CALL Feb14 Jan17 Dec20 Nov29 Jun14 (saville niall)PEREZ XAVIER 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPENCERIAN Feb22 Jan17 Nov28 Oct11 Apr19 (mcmahon i)BOYCE FOREST 122 20.00    
SWEET LAURA Feb17 Dec24 Nov18 Oct30 Sep20 (ness jamie)CHUAN MARTIN 122 4.50    
 
CNL-7   03/12/2026 7260ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIGITAL OPS Feb25 Jan16 Sep20 Aug06 Jul12 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 14% 6.30    
MONEY RUN Feb06 Dec12 Nov15 Oct19 Sep21 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 117 2.50    
STOWAWAY Feb14 Dec20 Oct16 Sep18 Aug13 (beckman whit)CHUAN MARTIN 119 3.50 6% 14.80    
MCCULLOUGH Dec26 Nov15 Sep30 Mar19 Feb15 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.00 53% 0.90    
IN THE DANCE Jan17 Dec13 Sep27 Sep01 Aug13 (ashby lynn)ROCCO S 118 15.00    
TAKEITANDRUN Feb01 Nov12 Oct29 Oct14 Sep04 (eggleston )MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
HADES Feb28 Jan10 Dec06 Oct18 Aug30 (orseno joseph )MARAGH RAJIV 121 15.00    
OMAHA OMAHA Feb12 Jan17 Dec21 Nov30 Jun14 (gorham michael )MENA E 118 12.00    
 
CNL-8   03/12/2026 3960ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($93.75K) 3 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILL BELIEVE Feb19 Jan22       (lauer mich)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of ALWAYS BELIEVE by ARCHARCHARCH)
BEAUTIFUL JUSTIFY Dec24 Nov22       (spangl)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 5.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of RED SASHAY by BIG BROWN)
SCR  GOD'S PRIDE         (collins tim)STOKES J 122 15.00    
  (by UPSTART out of FUNNY PEPPER by DISTORTED HUMOR)
EILEEN'S A WARRIOR Jan08         (lightner mary)MARAGH RAJIV 122 3.00 67% 0.50    
  (by CHANCE IT out of FLORADO by COMMISSIONER)
SAVANASRIOGUERRERA         (shuman mark)CHUAN MARTIN 122 20.00    
  (by LONG RIVER out of MISSSAVANNAH'SBABE by OFFLEE WILD)
LILMISSLINGSHOT         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of BOOMERANG MISS by SILVER TRAIN)
THEMIS         (delacour ar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 5.00    
  (by LEONNATUS ANTEAS out of EXECUTIVE PICK by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
HAY GRACE BRENNAN         (allen fe)SANCHEZ J 122 15.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of LADY VICKI by BOYS AT TOSCONOVA)
CUPID'S CHOICE Mar01 Jan17 Oct31 Sep12   (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 4.50 8% 11.60    
  (by EXPLOSIVE DANCER out of GARE DU NORD by NORTHERN JOVE)
10  BOOST Sep01         (bailes rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FLY PAST by ZAMINDAR)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.