Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - February 06, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(4/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(4/8/5/2)-(5/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/5/2)-(4/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/5/2)-(4/8/5/2)-(4/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/5/2)-(5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/5/2)-(5/6/3)-(8/3/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(8/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(8/3/6/4)-(2/6/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (8/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/6/4)-(8/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/6/4)-(8/3/6/4)-(8/3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/6/4)-(2/6/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3/6/4)-(2/6/5/7)-(5/7/8/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-5   WIN (2/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/5/7)-(5/7/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5/7)-(5/7/8/9)-(4/9/3/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-6   WIN (5/7/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/8/9)-(5/7/8/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/7/8/9)-(5/7/8/9/2)-(5/7/8/9/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/7/8/9)-(4/9/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/8/9)-(4/9/3/5)-(5/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-7   WIN (4/9/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/3/5)-(4/9/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/3/5)-(4/9/3/5)-(4/9/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/3/5)-(5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/9/3/5)-(5/6/7)-(4/1/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-8   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/4/7)-(5/6/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(4/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-9   WIN (4/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/5)-(4/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/5)-(4/1/3/5)-(4/1/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   02/06/2026 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE VIOLENT AFFAIR Jan07 Dec05 Oct09 Sep04 Jul20 (o'connell kath)EVANS CECILY 123 3.00    
SHOOPTHEREITIS Jan11 Dec27 Dec12 Nov19 Nov04 (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 121 8.00 23% 3.40    
LADY DOMINANCE Jan11 Nov26 Oct18 Sep28 Sep04 (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 121 4.50    
SCR  CHINA BLUE Jan25 Dec28 Nov29 Nov07 Sep27 (chapman j)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.00    
CHARLIE'S BEAUTY Jan18 Nov29 Nov07 Oct17 Sep19 (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 121 2.50 23% 3.30    
POLA OF TROUBLE Jan18 Jan11 Dec26 Nov19 Aug22 (ochoa gerard)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-2   02/06/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLA HERMOSA Jan31 Dec31 Dec24 Nov28 Oct26 (lopez mario )GONZALEZ CESAR 115 15.00    
HIGH HEARTS Jan24 Jan02 Dec17 Nov22 Sep06 (seale chr)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
MAMA DRAMA Jan09 Jul18 Jun27 Apr13 Mar26 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00    
NAKED EYE Aug08 Jul26 Jul06 Jun07 Jun01 (ryan s)CASTANON L 120 1.20 50% 1.00    
BELLA MENDY Dec17 Nov14 Oct18 Sep14 Aug03 (goodwin nik)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 12.00 12% 7.60    
AWESOME CAMPAIGN Jan04 Dec19 Oct31 Sep19 Sep06 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 120 5.00    
COUNTRY ECONOMICS Jan09 Dec20 Dec03 Nov22 Oct25 (vazquez jose )MORALES ANGEL 120 30.00    
SWEET HAZELY May31 Mar09 Jan01 Dec07 Oct15 (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 120 3.00 12% 7.10    
 
TAM-3   02/06/2026 5400ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDY GATE         (belsoeur yvo)BATISTA A 119 15.00    
  (by CHARLATAN out of GOLD D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  MAMBO TAXI         (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 119 15.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of ALLHAPPYANDBRIGHT by ALTERNATION)
ENDLESS GLORY Jan11 Dec31 Dec06 Oct10 Sep17 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 10.00 11% 7.80    
  (by NYQUIST out of SECRET INGREDIENT by CONGRATS)
MISS WHINNIE Jan10         (dobber arnoud)MORALES ANGEL 119 30.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MISS PLEASANT by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
ALL ABOUT YOU Nov29 Oct31 Sep28 Aug31 Aug16 (barboza victor)MARIN SAMUEL 119 1.40 34% 1.90    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of DUFF ONE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
ALWAYS A RUNNER         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.20 33% 2.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ALWAYS CARINA by MALIBU MOON)
EVANGALINA Jan11 Dec10 Oct24 Aug24   (harty eoin)CASTANON L 119 6.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MONTMARTRE MORNING by TIZNOW)
 
TAM-4   02/06/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK FLY Jan16 Dec19       (lusk r)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 30.00    
STATE CHARMER         (hamm timothy)GIL CIPRIANO 119 6.00    
CAJUN HOTTIE Jan24 Jan16       (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 28% 2.50    
HURRICANE SEASON         (ellebrac)MARTINEZ A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LOOKING AT UNICITY         (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 119 5.00    
RUNTOWN Jan18 Jan07 Dec19 Nov29   (mcgoey monica)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 6.00 16% 5.30    
CHOOSE YOUR WORDS         (vinson jo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 3.50    
SARASOTA HONEY         (braddy dav)GONZALEZ EDWIN 119 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
TAM-5   02/06/2026 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($31K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STILLTHINKINGOFYOU Jan09 Dec05 Nov19 Oct17 Sep06 (ryan s)CASTANON L 119 12.00    
CRAFTY COLLECTOR Dec27 Oct31 Sep20 Aug31 Jul26 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 47% 1.10    
KATIES A LADY Jan17 Jan02 Nov19 Nov09 Apr18 (o'connell kat)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 3.50    
SCR  GUNESH Jan18 Oct05 Sep05 Aug15 Jun27 (sancal murat)GONZALEZ EDWIN 119 4.50    
SISTER SUPREAM Jan23 Jan02 Aug06 Jun02 Apr26 (rodriguez darien)LEON SONNY 119 6.00 10% 8.90    
DYNAMIC ACTRESS Jan17 Dec27 Dec12 Sep13 Aug16 (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00 11% 8.00    
EXPECTING A WINNER Jan10 Dec17 Oct04 Sep20 Sep04 (downing )GALLARDO A 119 12.00 5% 17.80    
PLAY FREE BIRD Jan30 Jan18 Dec26 Dec13 Nov22 (aguayo ramon)BATISTA A 119 30.00    
 
TAM-6   02/06/2026 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YEMREHANAKRISTOS Jan09 Dec20 Jun21 May31 May10 (gonzalez aldana)SERPA ANGEL 119 15.00    
HASTEN Jan17 Dec05 Oct18 Oct02 Sep03 (ward dennis)MARTINEZ R 119 8.00    
STRENGTHNGUIDANCE Jan24 Jan16 Jan09 Dec20 Dec05 (sano antonio)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 6.00    
MY LUCKY ANGEL Jan11 Dec26 Sep12 Aug15 Jul26 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50    
PAVED IN GOLD Jan09 Sep20 Aug30 Jun05 May15 (hamm timothy)LEON SONNY 119 3.00 52% 0.90    
BLUE MARBLE Jan09 Nov19 Sep27 Aug16 Jul26 (mcburney pat)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 30.00    
PAXTON Jan24 Jan09 Dec12 Nov22 Sep12 (miller rory )MENESES MARCOS 119 2.50 12% 7.60    
KING REIGERT Jan09 Dec20 Nov28 Oct22 Oct01 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 119 12.00 6% 15.80    
TONY B Nov26 Jun20 Apr27     (damen daniel)GIL CIPRIANO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-7   02/06/2026 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOSSAD Aug20 Aug30       (ferraro m )MEJIAS A 115 30.00    
SCR  EFFICACY Jan21 Dec13 Nov27 Nov07 Oct19 (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 122 5.00    
DEVILMENT Jan14 Dec03 Nov02 Oct10 Sep14 (orseno josep)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
ALRASIKH Jan21 Jan07 Dec03 Sep26 Aug16 (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 1.20 59% 0.70    
ALL THE LUCK Jan14 Oct21 Sep24 Aug25 May25 (mcburney patri)CAMACHO SAMY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
ORO ROSO Dec31 Sep14       (cascallar)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 30.00    
AND THATS MY STORY Jan21 Dec13 Sep29 Aug18 Jul30 (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 122 6.00    
FLAMEFIRE Jan30 Jan11 Jan02 Nov07   (morzan javier)MORALES ANGEL 122 12.00    
LAST BOTTLE Jan17 Sep14       (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 12.00 5% 17.60    
10  MORALITO Jan25 Jan09 Aug17     (rodriguez dar)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00    
 
TAM-8   02/06/2026 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($56.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEEKING UNITY Jun06 May10 Mar29 Mar07 Jan12 (abreu fernando)GIL CIPRIANO 119 6.00    
TAPIRS VALOR Jan10 Aug28 Jun21 Jun02 Mar15 (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 119 30.00    
OUTOFTHEDARK Jan18 Dec06 Sep06 Aug21 Aug09 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 5.00    
ICELANDER Jan10 Dec10 Nov02 Oct11 Jan03 (narvaez carlos)LEON SONNY 119 6.00    
SKATE AWAY Apr09 Feb22 Jan11     (pletcher todd )MARIN SAMUEL 119 1.40 48% 1.10    
FORGED STEEL Jan17 Dec06 Oct19 Sep06 Aug02 (joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 119 3.50 21% 3.70    
SIR SAFFER Jan17 Dec06 Oct08 Sep17 Aug28 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
ZATARA Dec06 Sep19 Aug25 Aug10 Jun14 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 15.00    
 
TAM-9   02/06/2026 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($56.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIANLUCA BE LUCKY Jan03 Dec10 Nov26 Oct19 Oct05 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  CABLE READY Jan17 Nov06 Oct11 Sep13 Aug10 (dix)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 8.00    
SOLIWAY (FR) Jan17         (belsoeur yvo)MENESES MARCOS 119 10.00 16% 5.20    
SEPTARIAN Apr26 Feb15 Jan04 Nov08 Sep19 (mott riley)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
ATTACK Sep13 Aug23 Aug04 Jul04 Apr23 (smith rob)CENTENO E 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MO TRUMP Jan17 Dec24 Nov06 Oct13 Sep13 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 123 3.50    
JOURNEYMAN Jan17 Dec13 Nov30 Nov15 Oct19 (wright mich)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 6.00    
FREEDOM PRINCIPLE Jan17 Dec24 Nov27 Oct24 Sep12 (ochoa gerard)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 20.00    
SCR  EQUULEUS Dec24 Jul27 Jun03 Apr08 Feb04 (damen daniel)GIL CIPRIANO 119 20.00    
SCR  MOHS Mar12 Jan26 Dec14 Sep14 Aug23 (mcburney patrick)LEON SONNY 119 10.00    
11  EHSAAN Jul26 Apr26 Mar07 Feb08 Dec24 (yates michael)GOLIBRZUCH S 119 10.00    
SCR  KEEP IT EASY Nov24 Oct22 May17 Mar01 Nov30 (romans dale)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.