Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Saturday - January 17, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (8/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/7)-(8/4/3/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/7)-(8/4/3/2/7)-(8/4/3/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/4/3/7)-(7/3/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3/7)-(7/3/4/6)-(3/4/2/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-3   WIN (7/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/6)-(7/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/6)-(7/3/4/6)-(7/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/4/6)-(3/4/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4/6)-(3/4/2/1)-(3/5/6/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-4   WIN (3/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/1)-(3/5/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/1)-(3/5/6/4)-(6/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-5   WIN (3/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/6/4)-(6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6/4)-(6/4/5)-(4/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-6   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(4/6/5)-(8/4/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-7   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(8/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(8/4/2/5)-(4/5/1/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-8   WIN (8/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/2/5)-(8/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/2/5)-(8/4/2/5)-(8/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/2/5)-(4/5/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HOU-9   WIN (4/5/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/9)-(4/5/1/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/9)-(4/5/1/9/8)-(4/5/1/9/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   01/17/2026 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOON FACTOR Nov23 Nov01 Oct12 Sep21 Aug16 (torr)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 12.00    
2  LAST ATTACK Nov13 Sep27 Aug14 Jul03 Jun20 (gelner j)LUZZI J 121 6.00 ★    
3  ORE MINE Dec12 Nov13 Oct24 Oct03 Sep11 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 8.00 8% 11.20    
4  THE DEVIL'S BET Jun28 May30 Apr27 Mar30 Mar22 (clary jaylan)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 4.50 29% 2.50    
5  BRILLIANT SPIN Jan04 Dec12 Nov20 Oct18 Mar16 (bravo franci)ALVAREZ L 121 6.00    
6  STREET ROCKIN Nov21 Nov01 Oct09 Oct01 Aug27 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 121 10.00    
7  UNBRIDLED BLING Jul20 Jun29 May26 May10 Apr27 (hernandez ale)RIVERA SANTOS 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  INITIALIZE Jul26 Jun11 May09 Mar21 Feb21 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 121 1.80 35% 1.80    
10  LOUISIANA FLASH Jun13 May07 Mar14 Jan24 Jan05 (h)DE CRUZ 121 15.00    
SCR  TURQUOISE BLUE Jan10 Nov28 Nov14 Oct25 Aug19 ( )TBA null      
 
HOU-3   01/17/2026 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPITSGOTAPISTOL Dec19 Dec05 Nov07 Oct31 Oct18 (davidson brent)PARKER L 123 1.60    
2  TRUE CHIEF Dec05 Nov06 Oct18 Sep17 Aug15 (govea cesa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 123 8.00    
3  YODA WINNER Nov28 Oct31 Oct16 Sep11 Aug22 (rodr)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.00 24% 3.20    
4  EASY FOR ME Dec06 Nov14 Oct10 Aug22 Aug07 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 6.00 23% 3.40    
5  IMMA GOING TO WIN Aug11 Jul22 Jul04 Jun17 Jun01 (rodriguez s)PENA BRYAN 121 12.00    
6  MOLA MIA Nov13 Oct18 Oct04 Sep20 Sep13 (davidson b)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  LET HER BE Nov13 Sep13 Apr20 Feb13 Jan10 (cappellucci)WETHEY JR 121 4.00 32% 2.10    
 
HOU-4   01/17/2026 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3 F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITT'S DUBAI GAL Jan03 Dec17 Nov29 Nov07 Oct03 (davidson sara)RIVERA SANTOS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  INTO SENSE Jan03 Oct09 Jul13 Jun29   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 6.00 10% 9.50    
3  SYNOPTIC Jan02 Nov07 Sep24 Aug11   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 1.60 41% 1.40    
4  K K'S FIRST DANCE Jan03 Dec12 Oct11 Jul13 Jun29 (garza joaqui)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
5  NORTHPARK Nov29 Oct23 Oct03     (davidson br)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00    
6  DIG BABY DIG Dec17 Dec03 Nov07 Oct04   (davidson brent)PENA BRYAN 122 4.00    
7  CRAZY CAROLINE Jan04         (ramirez-rodrigue)PARKER L 122 4.50    
 
HOU-5   01/17/2026 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING ADOLIS Jan11 Oct16 Sep26 Jul04 Jun07 (baldillez a)HAMILTON WESTON 121 30.00    
2  CRAZY RIDGE Jan04 Sep15 Aug19 Aug04 Jul13 (k)DE CRUZ 121 20.00    
3  SUPERSECRETWEAPON Jun08 May25 Apr25 Mar22 Jan24 (hurley tina )WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
4  KING ARTHUR RIDGE Oct18 Aug20 Aug06 Jul13 Jun13 (rodriguez adan )BENAVIDES D 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  SILVER ASSASSIN Jul05 Jun08 May25 Apr17 Mar30 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 121 2.50 17% 5.00    
6  TEXAS CREED Jan02 Sep20 Aug29 Aug08 Jul13 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 1.60 15% 5.60    
7  SUMMER HELP Sep05 Aug15 Jul13 Jun29 Jun13 (padilla a)DIEGO V 121 4.00    
 
HOU-6   01/17/2026 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Not Specified Purse ($35.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS ARLINGTON Nov05 Oct15 Aug03 Jun27 May26 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 1.80    
2  IZATIZ Dec06 Aug28 Jul05 Jun08 Apr17 (hebert matt)WETHEY JR 124 3.00    
3  HONEST Jun29 Jun07 May26 May02 Apr17 (h)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
4  APPROPRIATED FUNDS Jun15 May02 Apr19 Feb09 Aug30 (clary rena)DIEGO V 122 6.00 12% 7.60    
5  BLUSHING BELLE Nov21 Jul05 Jun08 May26 May17 (love alan)FUENTES MARIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  GLEE (GB) Jul05 Apr17 Mar22 Jan25 Dec29 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 123 2.50 51% 1.00    
 
HOU-7   01/17/2026 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO GO BOSS Oct31 Oct02 Sep13 Aug08 Jul04 (hebert matt)ALVAREZ L 121 4.00    
SCR  TRACKING ERROR Dec28 Nov08 Aug31 Jul17 May16 (compton greg)VAZQUEZ A 123 1.80    
3  TIBURON Nov28 Oct18 Aug28 Jun14 Apr26 (cappellucci)WETHEY JR 121 4.50    
4  HEAVENVILLE Dec12 Nov20 Oct09 Jun27 Jun11 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 123 3.00 29% 2.40    
5  MALIBU S S Dec10 Nov06 Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00 8% 11.20    
6  GUITAR BOY Sep10 Aug12 Jul05 Jun02 May03 (kane macken)HAMILTON WESTON 121 12.00 25% 3.00    
7  ONTHESTAGE Dec26 Sep14 Aug16 Jul20 Apr12 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 6.00    
 
HOU-8   01/17/2026 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLUMOON FIRE         (ziadie kirk)DIAZ RENE 122 4.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of WHISTLING STRAITS by CAPE CANAVERAL)
2  CARLY'S SHANCE         (baldillez a)HAMILTON WESTON 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHANCELOT out of ALTERED DREAM by ALTERNATION)
3  CHERRY RED         (gustafson austi)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of PATIENTOFTHEHEART by LION HEART)
4  LEILA MAE         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 5.00 14% 6.40    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of PURPLE TRILLIUM by SEEKING THE GOLD)
5  MO TA Dec19 Dec04 Nov22 Oct16 Sep18 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of TAPICERIA by TAPIZAR)
6  TRUTAP Dec19 Nov26       (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 12.00    
  (by TAPIT out of SPEEDINTHRUTHECITY by CITY ZIP)
7  MARE'S MUSIC Sep28         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of INCREDIBLE YOU by KNIGHT SKIING)
8  INVASION GIRL Dec19         (craddock k)ERAMIA E 122 4.50 59% 0.70    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SEA ISLAND by COACH'S CALL)
SCR  SHADY VALLEY Dec12 Oct22       (ortiz alexan)ELLIOTT S 122 6.00    
  (by CARNIVALAY out of WE WAK HARBOR by WAQUOIT)
SCR  SHE'S A SHOWBOAT Nov15 Oct04       (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 122 12.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of COLOMBE D' ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
HOU-9   01/17/2026 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUBY CANTU Nov24 Oct19 Sep06 Aug14 Jul05 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 121 4.00 10% 9.10    
2  CHATON ROUGE Jan03 Sep16 Jul04 Jun03 May11 (rangel raul)PENA BRYAN 121 20.00    
3  MCKINZIE RIVER Nov29 May03 Mar06     (west w)LUZZI J 123 15.00    
4  CAFEZINHO Nov01 Oct16 Sep12 Jun08 May30 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 8.00 30% 2.40    
5  KAUSE I'M DEVINE Oct16 Sep06 Aug21 Jul13 Jun14 (knox mary)VAZQUEZ A 121 6.00 16% 5.30    
6  RADIO GOO GOO (GB) Nov23 Nov06 Oct02 Sep11 Aug24 (hinckson martin)ROSENDO J 121 20.00    
7  PUT A ROCK ON IT Jan03 Nov02 Oct11 Sep19 Aug23 (torr)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.00    
8  TAPIT FIRST Dec17 Oct11 Sep18 Aug21 Jul06 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 121 6.00 ★    
9  MISSINGYOUCRAZY Sep20 Aug15 Jun27 Jun07 May17 (willis mindy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 12.00 9% 10.10    
10  TAKE MY PICTURE Dec26 May02 Mar22 Mar14 Feb15 (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.