Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - January 16, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/7)-(6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7)-(6/1/2)-(4/7/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(4/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(4/7/6/5)-(6/4/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/5)-(4/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/5)-(4/7/6/5)-(4/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/6/5)-(6/4/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/5)-(6/4/7/1)-(1/12/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (6/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/7/1)-(1/12/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/1)-(1/12/4)-(12/1/7/4/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-5   WIN (1/12/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/12/4)-(1/12/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/12/4)-(1/12/4/8)-(1/12/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/12/4)-(12/1/7/4/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/12/4)-(12/1/7/4/8)-(10/4/5/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-6   WIN (12/1/7/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/1/7/4/8)-(12/1/7/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/1/7/4/8)-(12/1/7/4/8)-(12/1/7/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (12/1/7/4/8)-(10/4/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (12/1/7/4/8)-(10/4/5/6)-(5/8/9/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (10/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/4/5/6)-(10/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/4/5/6)-(10/4/5/6)-(10/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/4/5/6)-(5/8/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/4/5/6)-(5/8/9/1)-(2/7/11/4/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (5/8/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/9/1)-(5/8/9/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/9/1)-(5/8/9/1/6)-(5/8/9/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/8/9/1)-(2/7/11/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (2/7/11/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/11/4/1)-(2/7/11/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/11/4/1)-(2/7/11/4/1)-(2/7/11/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/16/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT DANCE Dec26 Dec10 Sep06 Aug20 Jul30 (rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ O 118 3.00 30% 2.30    
2  SHIP IT Jan07 Dec17 Dec10 Oct07 Sep23 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  JUST LIKE YOU Dec03 Nov07 Oct04 Sep14 Aug23 (simone v)LEON SONNY 118 2.50    
4  EASY COME EASY GO Jan07 Dec03 Apr05 Jan11 Mar09 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.60 40% 1.50    
5  STAR OF SATURN Jan07 Dec20 Nov30 Nov15 Oct04 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 111 30.00    
6  TWIZZLE Dec26 Dec12 Nov26 Nov09 Oct25 (curto beverl)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 20.00    
7  D' TIGER LILY Dec26 Oct15 Sep14 Aug24 Jul18 (wilson tony)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00 7% 13.60    
 
TAM-2   01/16/2026 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($55.5K) 3 ALL PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHON HAN Aug09 Jun13       (lopez bernar)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00 21% 3.70    
2  MR MO'S MAGIC Dec12 Sep20 Aug20     (rarick lynn)FERRER C 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BULL BY THE HORNS Nov01 Sep26       (joseph saffie )MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00    
4  DAY ONE STARTER Dec06 Nov01 Sep13 Jul19   (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.60    
5  CANDY ROAD Oct17 Sep28 Sep07 Aug23 Aug02 (dobber w)LARA VICTOR 108 30.00    
6  TALLMAR Dec06         (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 118 2.00 41% 1.40    
 
TAM-3   01/16/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILENT AND VIOLENT Dec17 Nov28 Nov08 Sep13 Jul27 (curto beverly)MORALES ANGEL 122 30.00    
2  DESANTIS Apr11 Mar23 Mar12 Feb01 Jan15 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.50    
3  AWESOME MOVE Dec31 Sep05 Aug24 Aug09 Jul20 (birdwell ten)MENESES MARCOS 122 12.00    
4  GUAPO AGAIN (ARG) Jan03 Dec13 Nov21 Nov03 Oct13 (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
5  REBEL EMPIRE Dec13 Nov17 Oct27 Oct15 Sep30 (englehart jef)MORALES PABLO 122 10.00 10% 8.90    
6  MR. SQUEAKY WHEELS Dec24 Nov22 Oct16 Sep29 Aug19 (vargas an)MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.00 11% 8.30    
7  AUGER Dec27 Nov19 Oct03 Sep09 Aug19 (cahill f)CENTENO E 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  WILLTORUN Sep09 Aug04 Jul02 May17 Apr12 (hamm timothy)LEON SONNY 122 3.00    
 
TAM-4   01/16/2026 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SON OF A SLEW Dec05 Sep27 Sep06 Aug10 Jun28 (deaton william)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  YEMREHANAKRISTOS Jan09 Dec20 Jun21 May31 May10 (gonzalez aldana)SERPA ANGEL 119 12.00    
3  FLAT CAP Dec26 Dec03 Jul11 Jun01 May09 (mcgoey monica)MORALES ANGEL 119 30.00    
4  OTTO NIPOTI Nov19 Oct21 Oct13 Sep01 Aug07 (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 4.00 28% 2.60    
5  GAP TO GAP Dec26 Nov28 Oct01 Sep19 Sep07 (avila c)BATISTA A 123 3.50    
6  BREATH DEEPLY Dec12 Oct15 Sep30 Sep01 Aug12 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 4.50 33% 2.10    
7  J SQUARED Dec06 Nov07 Oct12 Aug17 Aug23 (narvaez carlos)CASTANON L 119 6.00 15% 5.90    
8  TWELVE TREASURES Dec24 Dec05 Oct04 Jun14 May17 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00    
9  STRENGTHNGUIDANCE Jan09 Dec20 Dec05 Nov01 Oct04 (sano antonio)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 15.00    
 
TAM-5   01/16/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THAT SUN OF A GUN Dec20 Nov29 Oct10 Sep14 Sep06 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.50 44% 1.30    
2  LAKE CHAPALA Dec20 Nov29 Sep07 Aug23 Aug15 (hernandez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 30.00    
SCR  STANDPOINT Dec31 Nov28 Oct28 Oct04 Sep19 (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 3.00    
4  SURPRISE PACKAGE Nov29 Oct01 Aug31 Aug09 Jul20 (o'connell ka)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 6% 15.50    
SCR  TOOLPUSHER Jan08 Dec26 Nov23 Oct17 Oct03 (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 119 4.50    
6  LOBO SALVAJE Nov20 Oct31 Oct10 Sep27 Sep17 (gonzalez fer)HESS SARA 119 30.00    
7  ZHU DADDY Dec20 Aug17 Jul27 Jul11 Jun09 (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 119 4.50    
8  ENDLESS REIGN Dec20 Nov29 Sep14 Aug31 Apr09 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  CHAZ THE CHIEF Dec20 Nov28 Oct17 Oct10 Sep20 (simone m)MARTINEZ A 119 8.00    
10  JUAN COLORADO Dec12 Aug17 Aug02 Jul04 May16 (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 116 20.00    
SCR  K'S PICK Dec20 Oct11 Oct16 Sep14 Aug24 (copland br)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 20.00    
12  FERAL'S JOY Dec20 Dec12 Nov29 Oct10 Sep26 (wil)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 12.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  OVERHAUL Aug23 Jul10 Jun19 Apr09 Mar28 (alessi jame)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 30.00    
 
TAM-6   01/16/2026 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3 F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN HOTTIE         (yates michael)GOLIBRZUCH S 119 3.50 30% 2.30    
2  BLACK FLY Dec19         (lusk r)HESS SARA 119 30.00    
SCR  FASHION MOLL         (o'connell kat)ROJAS MARTINA 119 8.00    
4  SAGCY         (amaya gustavo)MORALES ANGEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHESA MISCHIEFLADY Dec19 Oct24       (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00    
6  CRITICAL MAGIC Dec19 Dec06 Aug03 Jul11 Jun01 (delgado jose)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 4.50    
7  LOOKIN LOVELY Jan02 Nov29       (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 4.00 9% 9.80    
8  PRECIOUS SIGHT         (moysey chels)MENESES MARCOS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  MOR MISS MOJO Dec06         (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 20.00    
10  BUNDALAY Dec19 Nov19 Oct18     (cascallare)URDANETA J 119 15.00    
11  CHARMING JENNIE         (moysey chel)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 20.00    
12  MARLAS DREAM Jan02 Oct04 Aug31     (sacco gregory )GIL CIPRIANO 119 4.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  CRIMSON RED Sep16 Aug25 Aug06     (potts ron )MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 6.00    
SCR  BY MY DREAMS Nov28 Nov21 Aug03 Jul04   (garcia pedro)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 20.00    
 
TAM-7   01/16/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUST COMPLY Dec24 Nov26 Sep27 Aug24 Jul20 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.50    
2  DANCING BEAR Sep19 Jul19 Jun21 May26 Sep07 (lawrence l)LEON SONNY 119 10.00    
3  INTOLERABLE Dec24 Nov28 Sep30 Sep04 Aug07 (ramos ben)HO WESLEY 119 30.00    
4  MISCHIEVOUS HAN Jun29 Jun06 Apr27 Apr12 Mar14 (parra hernan)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.50 16% 5.20    
5  BOY O' BOY Dec13 Sep27 May03 Mar26 Nov10 (deaton william)CAMACHO SAMY 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SWEET TONE Dec31 Dec13 Nov16 Oct26 Oct04 (ferraro a)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MUNGO Dec13 Oct10 Sep14 Aug31 Jun21 (richards renal)CASTANON L 119 8.00    
SCR  ACQUISITIVE Dec19 Dec05 Aug17 Jul26 Jun27 (ubide max)TORRES R 119 15.00    
SCR  SPARTACUS'S DUDE Dec31 Nov28 Sep14 Aug22 Aug01 (mcburney patr)ROJAS MARTINA 119 30.00    
10  TIGRE Dec13 Nov09 Oct24 Oct12 Oct04 (hamm timothy)GIL CIPRIANO 119 1.80 58% 0.70    
11  STEAM POWERED Dec31 Sep20 Jul18 Jul06 Jun06 (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 119 2.00    
SCR  BRAGGART JOE Dec31 Nov07 Oct15 May27 May19 (davis sc)MARTINEZ A 119 12.00    
SCR  JIBILIAN Dec31 Nov28 Oct09 Sep23 Sep11 (bowersock maria)SPIETH S 119 10.00    
SCR  HYPER VENOM Dec31 Nov28 Oct18 May04 Apr26 (bagwandeen per)GIL CIPRIANO 119 15.00    
 
TAM-8   01/16/2026 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($56.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASTAGNA Dec13 Nov26 Nov19 Oct08 Sep25 (mendieta alej)ROJAS MARTINA 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SUNSET EXPRESS Aug04 May22 Apr27 Mar29 Mar13 (campbell joel)GIL CIPRIANO 118 10.00    
3  DANCING RAQUEL Dec12 Sep13 Aug30 Jul22 Jun14 (becker scott)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 12.00    
4  COSTA AMALFITANA Dec24 Oct05 Sep11 Aug28 Jul26 (munoz carlos)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00    
5  JUNTA May14 Apr12 Apr02 Mar07 Feb08 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 118 3.50 34% 1.90    
6  DANCING MAGIC (IRE) Dec03 Sep11 Aug09 Jul16 Feb08 (campbell michael)LEON SONNY 118 4.00 ★    
7  THREE TIMES Dec10 Nov08 Sep13 Aug20 Jul19 (seale chris)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 15.00    
8  PROFITUNITY Apr27 Feb19 Jan08 Nov27 Nov01 (alvarado )MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 4.50 32% 2.20    
9  COMMISSIONER GULCH Dec13 Sep28 Aug26 Aug14 Jun26 (becker scot)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 8.00 6% 16.90    
 
TAM-9   01/16/2026 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME ELISSA Dec24 Nov22 Oct26 Apr10 Mar10 (levy l)LEON SONNY 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MOONSCAPE Sep04 Aug13 Jul16 May30 Apr25 (hemingway mich)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00 31% 2.20    
3  NEW WAY Dec10 Oct01 Aug31 May04 Apr16 (wil)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 30.00    
4  SUGAR MAGNOLIA (IRE) Nov21 Oct10       (delacour arnau)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  VALIANT JANE Dec24 Dec10 Nov22 Feb26 Feb08 (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 30.00    
6  FULL EXCHANGE May03 Mar16 Feb21 Oct26 Sep13 (laurin ro)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 114 15.00    
7  FORGET TOMORROW Dec19 Dec10 Oct16 Oct01 Sep13 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 121 4.50 23% 3.40    
8  CINDY'S PRINCESS Dec19 Oct31 Sep13     (lusk r)HO WESLEY 121 15.00    
9  PROMAJA Dec19 Aug28 Aug15 Jun10 Apr25 (bowersock mari)CASTANON L 121 6.00    
10  STORMEY MONDAY Dec19 Feb21 Feb09     (hardesty lesl)ROJAS MARTINA 121 20.00    
11  D'ARGENTO BOLT Nov28 Nov02 Sep20 Aug24 Jul19 (ochoa gerard)GIL CIPRIANO 121 4.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  AUNT JOSSY Dec27 Nov26 Nov07 May23 May10 (curto beverl)CASIQUE UBARDO 121 30.00    
SCR  BALITEA Dec10 Oct12 Sep13 Aug15   (cascallare)URDANETA J 121 30.00    
SCR  MIGHTY HEARTLESS Oct21         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.