Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Sunday - January 11, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(2/1/5)-(5/6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(5/6/1)-(2/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(2/1/4)-(2/8/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(2/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(2/8/3/6)-(6/2/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (2/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/3/6)-(2/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/3/6)-(2/8/3/6)-(2/8/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/3/6)-(6/2/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/3/6)-(6/2/5/7)-(5/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (6/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/7)-(5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/7)-(5/7/8)-(5/3/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (5/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/8)-(5/7/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/8)-(5/7/4/8)-(5/7/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/8)-(5/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-8   WIN (5/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   01/11/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COQUITO Nov20 Oct23 Sep28 Jul27 Jul03 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 123 0.80 33% 2.00    
WHISTLER'S STYLE Dec28 Oct23 Sep28 Sep14 Aug29 (ibrahim emron)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
ENIGMATIC Jan01 Nov20 Oct23 Sep17 Aug31 (synnefias p)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  LUNA MOTH Dec28 Nov20 Oct03 Sep21 Jun29 (friedma)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 4.00    
FOXY CARA Jan01 Dec04 Nov19 Oct09 Sep25 (figueroa ca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 6.00    
 
AQU-2   01/11/2026 5280ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHEASTERN Jan02 Nov14 Jun12     (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 1.80 20% 3.90    
THE OBLITERATOR Jan01 Nov23 Nov09 Sep25 Sep13 (rice linda)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
BALA DE PLATA Dec14 Nov23 Nov02 Oct14 Sep13 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00    
OUR NOTION Dec24 Dec01 Nov04 Oct13   (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00    
CAPANAPARO Oct24 Sep14 Aug03     (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-3   01/11/2026 3630ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUNNY UNCLE Jan03 Dec05 Nov28 Nov14 Oct22 (kantarmaci )KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
GATSBY Nov28 Oct11 Aug24 Aug03 May29 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 0.80    
BURNINHUNKOFLOVE Jan02 Nov22 Nov01 Sep18 Jul12 (abreu ferna)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00    
SCARAMANGA (IRE) Dec31 Dec06 Nov07 Sep14 Aug16 (shivmangal )GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 30.00    
PLAY Nov13 Oct07 Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 (de horacio)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.50 50% 1.00    
LOOMS BOLDLY Dec27 Nov29 Nov13 Oct11 Sep26 (noda or)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 10.00 14% 6.00    
 
AQU-4   01/11/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($31K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEFENDED Dec11 Nov12 Sep20 Aug24 Jul18 (giangiul)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.50 23% 3.30    
MY FIRST LOVE Jan03 Nov20 Oct23 Sep28 May01 (dutrow richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 1.20 45% 1.20    
BEST IMPRESSION Jan01 Dec12 Nov21 Oct23 Sep25 (potts wayne)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00    
OPEN SOUL AUTISM Dec11 Oct21 Sep23 Aug27 Jul23 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
DREAM ON CARA Dec11 Nov21 Sep26 Aug10 Jul10 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 123 10.00    
PROBLEMATICA Jan03 Dec11 Aug17 Jul23 Jul10 (barrera osc)RIVERA A 116 2.50    
 
AQU-5   01/11/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($26.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOUGH CURRANE Dec26 Nov29 Oct05 Aug28 Aug14 (terranova )HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 117 6.00    
GYPSY DREAMING Dec26 Dec12 Aug28 May24 Apr25 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.40 60% 0.70    
MIDNIGHT MUSUME May08         (arriaga ant)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
DAW SAMAA Dec26 Jun22 May26 Apr24 Mar21 (kantarmaci )KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 122 20.00    
HOW ABOUT IT Nov29 Nov13 Oct11 May30 Mar30 (brown b)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50    
JAMAICA REDD Dec26 Nov05 Jul05 Jun12 May15 (richards marvin)SIMPSON W 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
NATURAL HUNK Nov06 Oct24 Oct11 May08   (gittens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
GREY ACE Dec26 Nov29 Sep14 Jul24 Jun26 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.50 14% 6.20    
 
AQU-6   01/11/2026 4290ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($77K) 3 ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP PLAYER Dec11 Oct11 Sep13 Aug29   (weaver george)CIVACI SAHIN 123 10.00    
WAMO Dec11 Nov22 Oct24 Aug29 Jul16 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 18% 4.50    
MIAMI KAZ Dec12         (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 123 12.00    
SCR  PANTHERIAN Dec11 Oct24       (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 123 1.40    
ESCAPE HALL Nov21 Oct23 Sep14 Aug08   (kantarmaci )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 10.00 17% 4.80    
PARTY IN THE ARMY Dec12 Nov22 Oct13 Sep22 Aug29 (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 43% 1.30    
SOCIABLY JOHNNY Dec07 Nov21       (ryan s)LEZCANO JOSE 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
INSTANT SUCCESS Nov10 Oct06 Sep24 Sep01   (d'alessandr)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 30.00    
 
AQU-7   01/11/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($100K) Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTED Nov29 Oct24 Sep25 Aug23 Jul23 (kantarmaci il)SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00    
CRUSHED IT Nov22 Oct24 Oct02 Aug31 Jun14 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.50    
SCR  SUNNY BREEZE Dec08 Oct19 Jul11 Jun14 May21 (allard edward )CIVACI SAHIN 121 15.00    
BRAMITO Dec26 Nov21 Oct18 Aug28 Jul12 (schauer st)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 118 3.50    
DR. KRAFT Nov22 Oct25 Oct18 Aug19 Jun20 (kantarmaci )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00 46% 1.20    
LIGHT THE WAY Dec04 Nov02 Oct18 Sep27 Aug29 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50    
EXACT ESTIMATE Dec04 Sep27 Aug09 Jun19 Apr19 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 18% 4.50    
SIGNATOR Dec27 Dec04 Nov15 Sep10 Aug01 (synnefi)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-8   01/11/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3 F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRIT N GLITTER Dec07 Nov07 Sep11     (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00    
PROBABLE ANGLE Aug16         (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
POWER OF WOMEN Dec07 Nov06       (baker charlto)SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  GAME AND BLUE Dec07         (morley thom)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 5.00    
MY DEVINE ONE Dec07 Oct17 Oct05 Sep11 Aug13 (mott i)CIVACI SAHIN 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
FIONA'S JOY         (sells rachel)GOMEZ O 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
QUINNS SILENT ROAR Dec13 Sep12 Aug20 Jul26   (begg james )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 12.00    
MY FIRST DINAH         (jones eduardo)PANAIJO JORGE 122 30.00    
ISHKABIBBLE Dec13         (brion k)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.